Deuce Bailey

#2 · QB · R-Fr. · Coastal Carolina6′1″ · 190 lb · Bowling Green, KY

ZPR3991st of 119 QBsLast gameW 31–20at Georgia State · Oct 31
Nextvs Old DominionSat Nov 7 · 1 pm ET

Graded Solid or better in each of the last two games.

Last game: W 31-20 at Georgia State, Oct 31 · 22 of 32 for 297 yards, 3 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, a lost fumble · 11 carries for 2 yards. Started all eight of Coastal Carolina’s games.

Coastal Carolina’s next game: vs Old Dominion, Sat Nov 7, 1:00 p.m. ET

Coastal Carolina is 3-5 in the eight games played. A dual-threat quarterback who throws deeper than most.

Strongest: a touchdown on 8.8% of throws, 5th best of 158 starters. Weakest: completes 56% of throws, 20th lowest of 158 starters.

Passing yards

1,935

131 of 236, 56%

TD–INT

19–6

8.2 per throw

NCAA rating

145.9

48th of 119

ZPR

39

91st of 119

How ZPR works

Boom or bust: great in 2, shaky or worse in 5.

Best by our grade: at Georgia State. Lowest: at Marshall, with 1 interception. Best play: Completion for 71 yards, touchdown, against App State, Q2 11:47. Win chance 27% to 53%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Season

Fades after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Dual-threat

Also: mobile, deep thrower, big-play arm

Why this word
Runs6.2 a gameRarelyA lot
Throws10.8 yards past the lineShortDeep
Completes56%FewerMore
Takes sacks6% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws deeper than most and runs some. 6.2 carries a game. Closest matches: Raynor, Hoover, Daniels ’25, Arnold.

Where the throws go

Behind the line9%typical 17%
Short47%typical 47%
Middle25%typical 22%
Deep19%typical 14%

Runs 6.2 times a game; 72% of starters run less.

Closest in style

RaynorHooverDaniels ’25ArnoldThis QB

Nearer the middle means more alike.

  • Raynor Iowa State · Mobile passer
    1,416 yards, 10 TD, 5 INT so far. Both hit big plays and rarely throw behind the line.
  • Hoover Indiana · Vertical passer
    1,860 yards, 19 TD, 2 INT so far. Both throw deep and rarely throw behind the line.
  • Daniels ’25 Kansas 2025 · Dual-threat
    2,504 yards, 22 TD, 7 INT. Both throw deep and hit big plays.
  • Arnold UNLV · Dual-threat
    1,660 yards, 13 TD, 4 INT so far. Both throw deep and rarely throw behind the line.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

  • RecordCoastal Carolina is 3-5.

What’s being said

More news and what fans are saying

Worth knowing

  • Deuce Bailey spent one season at Missouri State before this one.
  • Deuce Bailey has 37 rushing yards a game at home, 21 on the road.

His most important play this season

  1. Q2, 11:47 · Coastal Carolina down 7, ties itDeuce Bailey finds Robby Washington for a 71-yard touchdownApp State at Coastal Carolina, week 7Q2, 11:47 · Coastal Carolina 14, App State 147171-yard touchdown pass7171-yard touchdown pass71-yard touchdown passD.Bailey pass complete deep middle to R.Washington caught at APP33, for 71 yards to the APP00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football

All 14 of his plays on video

Deuce Bailey

QB · Coastal Carolina · #2

On Trialas of Nov 4

Deuce Bailey takes over from Tad Hudson at Coastal Carolina.

1,935passing yards19passing TD232rushing yards

PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP

+61

perception vs production percentile · 2026

Coastal Carolina fans keep putting the player's case on trial, week to week.

medium confidence9 sources

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

The production (82nd) is outrunning the reputation (21st). The recognition is the thing lagging behind.

Read the story so far

Deuce Bailey arrived as a 3-star prospect. Deuce Bailey lines up at QB for Coastal Carolina.

On the field, the headline is 1,935 pass yds, with 19 pass td.

Deuce Bailey inherited the QB job from Tad Hudson (4-star).

Coastal Carolina fans keep putting the player's case on trial, week to week.

The number to watch: +61 — produces above perception · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith
  • Inherited fromTad Hudson 4★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04