Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion (2‑7) travels to Coastal Carolina (3‑5), with Coastal Carolina favored by 7. The model gives Coastal Carolina a 61% shot. Coastal Carolina’s offense is at the 34th percentile on success rate; Old Dominion’s defense is at the 79th.
How they got here
Last three games
Old Dominion · 2-7
Rated 65th in our preseason ratings, 165th now.
Three straight losses.
Last three games
Coastal Carolina · 3-5
Rated 231st in our preseason ratings, 143rd now, up 88 spots.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 11-point win over Georgia State as a 3.5-point underdog.
Biggest mismatch: Coastal Carolina’s success rate against Old Dominion, 45 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Coastal Carolina’s success rate against Old Dominion’s defense
Coastal Carolina offense, 34th percentile · Old Dominion defense, 79th
Old Dominion’s rushing EPA against Coastal Carolina’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 1st percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 36th
Old Dominion’s explosive plays against Coastal Carolina’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 58th percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 84th
What’s at stake
Old Dominion
- Old Dominion hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2018.
Coastal Carolina
- Coastal Carolina needs 3 more wins in the final 3 to reach bowl eligibility — 25% to get there with a win here, 3% with a loss.
- Coastal Carolina hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2020.
The series
Old Dominion leads the series 3-2
5 meetings since 2012 · Old Dominion won the last meeting
- 2025Old Dominion 47-7
- 2024Coastal Carolina 45-37
- 2023Coastal Carolina 28-24
- 2022Old Dominion 49-21
- 2012Old Dominion 63-35
Each line is Coastal Carolina’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Old Dominion
The chip · vs the blue bloodsOld Dominion has beaten Virginia Tech three times now, and the 2025 rout in Blacksburg was the first on the Hokies' own field — a program that didn't exist a generation ago putting a Power Four neighbor on the floor. The fanbase keeps those nights close.
What this game touches
Built from nothing, doubted every step. Old Dominion didn't field a team between 1941 and 2009 — it had to construct an FBS program from scratch in the Tidewater. The wound is the doubt that follows a young program: that the Virginia Tech wins are flukes and that a school this new can't sustain a winner. The 2025 season was the loudest answer yet.
Coastal Carolina
The chip · vs the blue bloodsChanticleer fans heard the whole sport ask 'where is that?' during the 2020 run — and they say the same people who couldn't find Conway on a map were the ones most eager to call the whole thing an accident the moment it ended.
What this game touches
The Beck era ends in a losing season. Coastal went 6-7 in 2025 — a season that ended with three straight blowout losses (51-7 at South Carolina, 59-10 to James Madison) and an Independence Bowl defeat — and Tim Beck was fired before it was even over, closing a 20-18 run that never recaptured the heights of 2020.
Best players
Old Dominion
- Lucas Struck (S) · 69 tackles
- Jackson Forrest (LB) · 64 tackles
- Mario Thompson (LB) · 59 tackles
Coastal Carolina
- Marcellius Pulliam (LB) · 75 tackles
- Deuce Bailey (QB) · 1,935 passing yards
- Ja'Marion Wayne (CB) · 43 tackles
What to watch
Leading passer and rusher so far this season. Coastal Carolina: Deuce Bailey (1,935 passing yards).
The total has moved down 2.0 points since opening (45.5 → 43.5): books now expect fewer combined points.
The betting line, and the fans
Coastal Carolina fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (99th percentile among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
- Model · 61%
- Line · 71%
- Coastal Carolina fans · 99th
- Old Dominion fans · 1st
Coastal Carolina favored by 7 · Total 43.5
Coastal Carolina by 7: where a favorite like this usually runs
Half of games8 in 10 games
Coastal Carolina’s chance through the game, if this goes like the 427 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
Weather at kickoff
Typical at Brooks Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 96, noon Saturdays 88
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina · Saturday, Nov. 7 · 1 pm ET · Brooks Stadium.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
If it kicked off at
Typical at Brooks Stadium: noon Saturdays score 88, 3:30 pm 89, 7:30 pm 96.
- noon: 88, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 89, Mixed
- 7:30 pm: 96, Comfortable
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Typical means the average of regular-season Saturdays at this stadium, 2018 to 2025. It is not a forecast for this game.
Home field
Coastal Carolina has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.4 points (±4.3), home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.
58% at home, 54% on the road against FBS opponents (26-19 home, 27-23 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.4 at home vs. away over 103 games — inside the ±6.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 263 miles to get here.
Season profile
Week by week
Coastal Carolina
- Wk 4Lvs Liberty17-34
- Wk 5Lvs Georgia Southern24-31
- Wk 6Wat Marshall27-21
- Wk 7Lvs App State32-35
- Wk 9Wat Georgia State31-20
Old Dominion
- Wk 5Lat Georgia State10-42
- Wk 6Wat App State10-3
- Wk 7Lvs Georgia Southern15-23
- Wk 8Lat Louisiana Tech0-26
- Wk 9Lvs Marshall23-36
Power rating by week
Coastal Carolina is rated 1.0 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The market
The total fell 2 points.
Total: 45.5 → 43.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- Coastal Carolina4th2-2
- Old Dominion14th1-5
Last meeting in our History pages
- Coastal Carolina 28, Old Dominion 24Nov 4, 2023
Our History pages cover 2 of their meetings since 2022.