Louisiana Tech beats Old Dominion 26-0
Team pages: Old Dominion · Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech beat Old Dominion 26-0. Share this game
We had Louisiana Tech favored. It won.
Next: Old Dominion vs Marshall, Sat Oct 31 · 1:00 PM ET · Old Dominion underdog by 3
Next: Louisiana Tech at South Alabama, Sat Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET · Louisiana Tech favored by 5.5
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Louisiana Tech an 86% chance, and the closing betting line (Louisiana Tech was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.
Favored the whole way: Louisiana Tech never fell below 86%.
Old Dominion never had better than a 14% chance.
Louisiana Tech 26-0 Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Old Dominion 0-26 Louisiana TechOld Dominion lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Louisiana Tech -13.5), at 87% for Louisiana Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Louisiana Tech scored on 5 of its 10 drives; Old Dominion on 0 of its 11.
Louisiana Tech’s drives are teal, Old Dominion’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
What it cost
Louisiana Tech’s chance to win the conference rose from 12% to 13%.
Win the conference
Before the game (October 23, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.
Louisiana Tech plays at South Alabama on Sat Oct 31 with a 13% chance to win the conference.
Box score
Louisiana Tech 26, Old Dominion 0
Louisiana Tech covered −13.5 by 12.5. The total, 26, stayed under 43.5.
| Team totals | Old Dominion | Louisiana Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 141 | 438 |
| Passing | 18 of 34, 154 yds | 29 of 35, 302 yds |
| Rushing | 22 for -13 yds | 45 for 136 yds |
| First downs | 13 | 24 |
| Third down | 5 of 13 | 11 of 19 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Penalties | 5 for 32 yds | 9 for 75 yds |
| Time of possession | 20:41 | 39:19 |
Old Dominion leaders
- Passing Jaxon Potter 18 of 34, 154 yds, 1 INT
- Rushing Ja'Varien Salter 1 for 9 yds; Devin Roche 8 for 9 yds
- Receiving Leon Haughton Jr. 4 for 45 yds; Josh Rodriguez 4 for 43 yds
Louisiana Tech leaders
- Passing Blake Baker 28 of 34, 303 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Andrew Burnette 20 for 63 yds; Trey Kukuk 6 for 17 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Eli Finley 10 for 128 yds, 1 TD; Jalen Mickens 8 for 110 yds
No rain through the game
86° at kickoff · no rain recorded
The usual here around this date is 64°, with about 7 in 10 games between 50° and 74°.
October game-day temperatures at Joe Aillet Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Ruston airport, 4.1 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Old Dominion · 2-5
Rated 65th in our preseason ratings, 122nd now.
1-2 in its last three, including a 7-point win over App State as an 8.5-point underdog.
Last three games
Louisiana Tech · 4-2
Rated 88th in our preseason ratings, 69th now, up 19 spots.
Three straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.
Week by week
Louisiana Tech
- Wk 2Lat LSU14-45
- Wk 3Lat Baylor19-36
- Wk 5Wvs Army31-29
- Wk 6Wvs Louisiana32-31
- Wk 7Wat UL Monroe24-0
Old Dominion
- Wk 3Lvs East Carolina17-20
- Wk 4Lvs James Madison20-46
- Wk 5Lat Georgia State10-42
- Wk 6Wat App State10-3
- Wk 7Lvs Georgia Southern15-23
Power rating by week
Louisiana Tech is rated 4.7 points ahead as of week 7. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: Old Dominion’s EPA/play against Louisiana Tech, 89 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Old Dominion’s EPA/play against Louisiana Tech’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 0th percentile · Louisiana Tech defense, 89th
Old Dominion’s passing EPA against Louisiana Tech’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 3rd percentile · Louisiana Tech defense, 87th
Old Dominion’s explosive plays against Louisiana Tech’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 49th percentile · Louisiana Tech defense, 29th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
The series
Old Dominion leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2014 · Old Dominion has won the last 2
- 2021Old Dominion 23-20
- 2014Old Dominion 30-27
Each line is Louisiana Tech’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Louisiana Tech fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (77th percentile among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
Louisiana Tech favored by 13.5 · Total 43.5
How games like this usually go
Louisiana Tech by 13.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 415 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 5 points toward Louisiana Tech.
The total fell 1 point.
Spread: −8.5 → −13.5 · Total: 44.5 → 43.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Louisiana Tech is worth +7.7 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile.
62% at home, 27% on the road against FBS opponents (24-15 home, 14-37 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±5.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 975 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages
- Old Dominion 23, Louisiana Tech 20Oct 30, 2021
Where next
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- Louisiana Tech2nd2-0
- Old Dominion13th1-3