No. 8 LSU routs Louisiana Tech 45-14

Louisiana Tech1-114
No. 8 LSU2-045Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, La. · Crowd 102,321SECN+

No. 8 LSU routed Louisiana Tech 45-14.

We had LSU favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Now just imagine what Louisiana Tech could have done with a few professional players.

Q2 0:39 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave LSU an 83% chance, and the closing betting line (LSU was a 34.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

LSU led by 10 after the first quarter and by 3 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+31+31
Pick-sixLouisiana Tech · Q2 1:53
FinalLSU 45-14 Louisiana TechLSU wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
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No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 0:39Leavitt throws interception as LSU leads Louisiana Tech 10-7 with 39 seconds leftQuoted at the top of the page.Sam Leavitt might have been comprised by ISISr/CFB game thread
  2. Q3 12:42LSU fans mock Clemson after Jones stalls drive near goal linelmao he was insanely offsidesr/CFB game threadAwesome. They're in the backfield every play. Let's run a slow-developing fake.r/CFB game thread
  3. Q3 10:12Louisiana Tech struggles to gain yards against LSU defense in third quarterLouisiana Tech has 8 yards and is only down 6 to LSU in the 3rd quarter lmaor/CFB game threadThat Louisiana Tech defense is something elser/CFB game thread
  4. Q3 6:52Spears breaks up Baker pass for turnover on downs, giving LSU controlComplete control and up by 6 lmaor/CFB game thread
  5. Q4 11:26LSU defense forces fumble on Baker pass, fans praise defensive dominanceBlake Baker bringing a 2011-like defense back to LSU is why he's going to be a P4 HC within 5 years.r/CFB game threadGood defensive game, and while the INTs are worrisome I'd rather throw them now in a very winnable game rather than against Miss next week or Bama. Feeling way better than I did…r/CFB game thread
LSU’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (LSU -34.5), at 99% for LSU (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a LSU or Louisiana Tech flair (486 and 55); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show LSU’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 3:46Leavitt 5-yd TD runLSU leads 10-0Q1, 3:46 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 010-0score after the play10-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 14:59Leavitt 12-yd pass to WilsonfumbledQ2, 14:59 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 010-0score after the play10-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 13:30Baker sacked for a 7-yd lossQ2, 13:30 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 010-0score after the play10-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 12:36Leavitt intercepted by Franklin at the LAT40Q2, 12:36 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 010-0score after the play10-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 1:53Leavitt intercepted by Mcrae at the LAT00 and returned for a TDcuts it to 10-7Q2, 1:53 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 7▼2%LSU’s chance to win, 99% to 97%▼2%LSU’s chance to win, 99% to 97%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 0:29Leavitt intercepted by Hill at the LAT05returned 25 yardsQ2, 0:29 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 710-7score after the play10-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 10:57Leavitt sacked for a 8-yd lossQ3, 10:57 · LSU 10, Louisiana Tech 710-7score after the play10-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q3, 4:32Leavitt 9-yd TD runLSU leads 21-7Q3, 4:32 · LSU 21, Louisiana Tech 721-7score after the play21-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q3, 3:45Baker intercepted by Pickett at the LAT43returned 32 yardsQ3, 3:45 · LSU 21, Louisiana Tech 721-7score after the play21-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q3, 0:57Baker sacked for a 10-yd lossQ3, 0:57 · LSU 24, Louisiana Tech 724-7score after the play24-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  11. Q4, 11:49Baker 6-yd pass to MickensfumbledQ4, 11:49 · LSU 31, Louisiana Tech 731-7score after the play31-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  12. Q4, 9:39Leavitt 10-yd TD pass to GreenLSU leads 38-7Q4, 9:39 · LSU 38, Louisiana Tech 738-7score after the play38-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  13. Q4, 8:08Baker 67-yd TD pass to Mickenscuts it to 38-14Q4, 8:08 · LSU 38, Louisiana Tech 1438-14score after the play38-14score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  14. Q4, 1:48Clark 7-yd TD runLSU leads 45-14Q4, 1:48 · LSU 45, Louisiana Tech 1445-14score after the play45-14score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

LSU scored on 8 of its 15 drives; Louisiana Tech on 1 of its 15.

LSU’s drives are teal, Louisiana Tech’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1LSU: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 80 yards out to 82PuntLSU: Field goal, from 63 yards out to 11Field goalLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntLSU: Touchdown, from 44 yards out to 0TouchdownLouisiana Tech: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 59FumbleLSU: Punt, from 41 yards out to 46PuntLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 86 yards out to 86PuntLSU: Fumble, from 56 yards out to 46FumbleQ2Louisiana Tech: Missed field goal, from 19 yards out to 36Missed FGLSU: Interception, from 64 yards out to 62InterceptionLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 60 yards out to 58PuntLSU: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 80 yards out to 6Interception TDLSU: Interception, from 75 yards out to 14InterceptionLouisiana Tech: End of half, from 70 yards out to 65End of halfQ3Louisiana Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 77PuntLSU: Field goal, from 52 yards out to 6Field goalLouisiana Tech: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 40DownsLSU: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownLouisiana Tech: Interception, from 75 yards out to 74InterceptionLSU: Field goal, from 11 yards out to 5Field goalLouisiana Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntLSU: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Louisiana Tech: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 58FumbleLSU: Touchdown, from 20 yards out to 0TouchdownLouisiana Tech: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownLSU: Punt, from 65 yards out to 60PuntLouisiana Tech: Turned over on downs, from 86 yards out to 55DownsLSU: Touchdown, from 45 yards out to 0TouchdownLouisiana Tech: End of game, from 75 yards out to 64End of game

Where fans got loudest

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.

  1. first quarter
  2. second quarter
  3. third quarter
  4. fourth quarter
How we know

We look at when the most different fans were posting during the game thread, then name the part of the game it falls in. Only threads with a clear peak and enough fans get a word.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Louisiana Tech fans

cumbie“Shame we pay Cumbie all this money to be an "offensive genius" and every year we're just counting on our defense”

Box score

LSU 45, Louisiana Tech 14

Louisiana Tech covered +34.5 by 3.5. The total, 59, went over 54.5.

Louisiana TechLSUTotal yardsLouisiana Tech 140LSU 528140528Passing yardsLouisiana Tech 143LSU 381143381Rushing yardsLouisiana Tech -3LSU 147-3147First downsLouisiana Tech 8LSU 26826TurnoversLouisiana Tech 3LSU 434Time of possessionLouisiana Tech 25:51LSU 34:0925:5134:09
Team totalsLouisiana TechLSU
Total yards140528
Passing14 of 24, 143 yds27 of 41, 381 yds
Rushing31 for -3 yds44 for 147 yds
First downs826
Third down3 of 148 of 17
Fourth down0 of 21 of 1
Turnovers34
Penalties5 for 50 yds10 for 101 yds
Time of possession25:5134:09

Louisiana Tech leaders

  • Passing Blake Baker 11 of 21, 128 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Andrew Burnette 6 for 16 yds; Sergio Snider 2 for 8 yds
  • Receiving Jalen Mickens 6 for 101 yds, 1 TD; Eli Finley 2 for 15 yds

LSU leaders

  • Passing Sam Leavitt 25 of 38, 344 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
  • Rushing Dilin Jones 18 for 66 yds; Sam Leavitt 11 for 22 yds, 3 TD
  • Receiving Trey'Dez Green 6 for 104 yds, 1 TD; Eugene Wilson 6 for 93 yds

No rain and calm

86° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 7 mph from the southwest, gusts to 18

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 67 other games played at Tiger Stadium (LA) since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).

September game-day temperatures at Tiger Stadium (LA)

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4LSU favoredLouisiana Tech favored100%Win chanceLSURaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F75°105°feels like 89°air 82°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4LSU favoredLouisiana Tech favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F75°105°feels like 89°air 82°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:49 left6:33 p.m.
Louisiana Tech 0, LSU 0 · LSU 99% to win
no rain · wind 10 mph from the southwest, mostly across the field, gusts to 17 · 87°, feels like 96°
Leavitt 6-yd pass to Wilson
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport, 8.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Louisiana Tech · 8-5

Rated 88th in our preseason ratings, 88th now.

Three straight wins, including a 12-point win over Missouri State as a 2.5-point underdog.

W 23-14 vs Coastal Carolina #181 of 667

won by 9 as a 10-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 23-14 vs Coastal Carolina. Chance to win started at 79%, low 24%, high better than 99%.

W 42-30 @ Missouri State #140 of 667

won by 12 as a 2.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech won 42-30 at Missouri State. Chance to win started at 32%, low 27%, high 96%.

W 34-28 vs Liberty #122 of 667

won by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech won 34-28 vs Liberty. Chance to win started at 57%, low 2%, high better than 99%.

L 3-28 @ Washington State #59 of 667

lost by 25 as a 10.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech lost 3-28 at Washington State. Chance to win started at 17%, low under 1%, high 22%.

L 24-25 @ Delaware #157 of 667

lost by 1 as a 5.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech lost 24-25 at Delaware. Chance to win started at 57%, low under 1%, high 93%.

W 55-14 vs Sam Houston #227 of 667

won by 41 as a 16.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 55-14 vs Sam Houston. Chance to win started at 91%, low 91%, high better than 99%.

L 27-28 vs Western Kentucky #113 of 667

lost by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech lost 27-28 vs Western Kentucky. Chance to win started at 74%, low under 1%, high 96%.

L 7-35 @ Kennesaw State #124 of 667

lost by 28 as a 5.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech lost 7-35 at Kennesaw State. Chance to win started at 61%, low under 1%, high 84%.

W 30-11 @ UTEP #119 of 667

won by 19 as a 3.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 30-11 at UTEP. Chance to win started at 51%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

W 30-20 vs Southern Miss #111 of 667

won by 10 as a 3.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 30-20 vs Southern Miss. Chance to win started at 69%, low 66%, high better than 99%.

W 49-14 vs New Mexico State #217 of 667

won by 35 as a 10.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 49-14 vs New Mexico State. Chance to win started at 83%, low 75%, high better than 99%.

L 7-23 @ LSUTop 25 #11 of 667

lost by 16 as a 36.5-point underdog

Louisiana Tech lost 7-23 at LSU. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

W 24-0 vs SE Louisiana #167 of 667

won by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite

Louisiana Tech won 24-0 vs SE Louisiana. Chance to win started at 87%, low 74%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

LSU · 7-6

Rated 31st in our preseason ratings, 27th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 35-38 @ HoustonTop 25 #61 of 667

lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog

LSU lost 35-38 vs Houston. Chance to win started at 64%, low under 1%, high 72%.

L 13-17 @ OklahomaTop 25 #13 of 667

lost by 4 as an 11.5-point underdog

LSU lost 13-17 at Oklahoma. Chance to win started at 17%, low under 1%, high 69%.

W 13-10 vs Western Kentucky #82 of 667

won by 3 as a 25.5-point favorite

LSU won 13-10 vs Western Kentucky. Chance to win started at 96%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

W 23-22 vs Arkansas #32 of 667

won by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite

LSU won 23-22 vs Arkansas. Chance to win started at 69%, low 22%, high 90%.

L 9-20 @ AlabamaTop 25 #7 of 667

lost by 11 as a 10.5-point underdog

LSU lost 9-20 at Alabama. Chance to win started at 18%, low under 1%, high 29%.

L 25-49 vs Texas A&MTop 25 #9 of 667

lost by 24 as a 1.5-point underdog

LSU lost 25-49 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 55%, low under 1%, high 71%.

L 24-31 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

LSU lost 24-31 at Vanderbilt. Chance to win started at 36%, low under 1%, high 50%.

W 20-10 vs South CarolinaTop 25 #24 of 667

won by 10 as an 8.5-point favorite

LSU won 20-10 vs South Carolina. Chance to win started at 75%, low 63%, high better than 99%.

L 19-24 @ Ole MissTop 25 #4 of 667

lost by 5 as a 3.5-point underdog

LSU lost 19-24 at Ole Miss. Chance to win started at 32%, low 1%, high 62%.

W 56-10 vs SE Louisiana #150 of 667

won by 46 as a 48.5-point favorite

LSU won 56-10 vs SE Louisiana. Never in doubt.

W 20-10 vs FloridaTop 25 #14 of 667

won by 10 as a 5.5-point favorite

LSU won 20-10 vs Florida. Chance to win started at 73%, low 50%, high 99%.

W 23-7 vs Louisiana Tech #147 of 667

won by 16 as a 36.5-point favorite

LSU won 23-7 vs Louisiana Tech. Chance to win started at 99%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 17-10 @ ClemsonTop 25 #16 of 667

won by 7 as a 5.5-point underdog

LSU won 17-10 at Clemson. Chance to win started at 34%, low 11%, high 92%.

Week by week

LSU

  • Wk 1Wvs Clemson51-10

Louisiana Tech

  • Wk 1Wvs Northwestern State80-6

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Louisiana Tech’s success rate against LSU, 76 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Louisiana Tech’s success rate against LSU’s defense

    76 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Louisiana Tech offense, 21st percentile · LSU defense, 97th

  2. Louisiana Tech’s rushing EPA against LSU’s defense

    57 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Louisiana Tech offense, 19th percentile · LSU defense, 76th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Louisiana TechLSU
EPA/play, offense
Louisiana Tech · 39LSU · 82
EPA/play, defense
Louisiana Tech · 77LSU · 99
Success rate, offense
Louisiana Tech · 21LSU · 95
Success rate, defense
Louisiana Tech · 76LSU · 97
Explosive-play rate, offense
Louisiana Tech · 81LSU · 34
Explosive-play rate, defense
Louisiana Tech · 26LSU · 83
Rush EPA, offense
Louisiana Tech · 19LSU · 50
Rush EPA, defense
Louisiana Tech · 62LSU · 76
Pass EPA, offense
Louisiana Tech · 70LSU · 88
Pass EPA, defense
Louisiana Tech · 82LSU · 99

The series

LSU leads the series 17-1

18 meetings since 1904 · LSU has won the last 16

LSU wonLouisiana Tech won1904: LSU by 171904: Louisiana Tech by 61906: LSU by 171907: LSU by 281908: LSU by 221909: LSU by 231913: LSU by 181914: LSU by 601927: LSU by 451929: LSU by 461930: LSU by 711940: LSU by 321941: LSU by 252003: LSU by 392007: LSU by 482009: LSU by 82018: LSU by 172025: LSU by 1619042025
  • 2025LSU 23-7LSU won 23-7 vs Louisiana Tech. Chance to win started at 99%, low 98%, high better than 99%.
  • 2018LSU 38-21LSU won 38-21 vs Louisiana Tech. Chance to win started at 91%, low 74%, high better than 99%.
  • 2009LSU 24-16
  • 2007LSU 58-10
  • 2003LSU 49-10

Each line is LSU’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Louisiana Tech fans are in a better mood than LSU fans (77th vs 4th among FBS fanbases), even with LSU favored.

  • Model · 83%
  • Line · 100%
  • LSU fans · 4th
  • Louisiana Tech fans · 77th

LSU favored by 34.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

LSU by 34.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward LSU.

opened −31.5now −34.5

The total fell 1 point.

opened 55.5now 54.5

Spread: −31.5 → −34.5 · Total: 55.5 → 54.5

The books’ cut: 2.3%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 91° at kickoff.

Louisiana Tech at LSU · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge

  • 91°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 75weather score, Mixed
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 5 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's five kickoff times. At Tiger Stadium that day, a 2:30 pm kickoff would have scored 44, against 75 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 46, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 44, Harsh
  • 3:15 pm: 46, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 75, Mixed (this game)
  • 6:45 pm: 75, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

LSU is worth +7.1 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 92nd percentile.

82% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (42-9 home, 19-19 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 170 miles to get here.

Where next