UT Martin at Memphis
Memphis (2‑1) hosts UT Martin (1‑2). Too early for a market line, but the model likes Memphis (85%).
How they got here
Last three games
UT Martin · 1-2
Picked #148 in the preseason · now #167.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 7–52 @ West Virginia #168 of 669
lost by 45 as a 41.5-point underdog
W 42–7 vs Chicago State #258 of 669
won by 35 as a 45.5-point favorite
L 24–36 vs Central Arkansas #178 of 669
lost by 12 as a 3-point favorite
Last three games
Memphis · 2-1
Picked #100 in the preseason · now #91 — about right.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 6-point win over UNLV as a 5-point underdog.
L 20–38 @ Boise State #31 of 669
lost by 18 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 42–24 vs Arkansas State #161 of 669
won by 18 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 27–21 @ UNLV #89 of 669
won by 6 as a 5-point underdog
What’s at stake
UT Martin
- UT Martin needs 5 more wins in the final 8 to reach bowl eligibility.
- UT Martin is still shaking off a 45-point loss.
Memphis
- Memphis needs 4 more wins in the final 8 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Memphis is still shaking off a 18-point loss.
The series
Memphis leads the series 2-1
3 meetings since 2009 · Memphis won the last meeting
- 2013Memphis 21–6
- 2012UT Martin 20–17
- 2009Memphis 41–14
Best players
Memphis
- Jaylin Carter (RB) · 375 rushing yards
- Hunter Tipton (TE) · 291 receiving yards
- Zach Ruffin (LB) · 24 tackles
Conditions
90°F · 6 mph wind · Fair
Memphis is worth +3.3 points (±3.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 36th percentile.
80% at home, 52% on the road against FBS opponents (37–9 home, 23–21 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.2 at home vs. away over 75 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 105 miles to get here.
Recent games
Memphis
- Wk 1Wat UNLV27-21
- Wk 1Wvs Arkansas State42-24
- Wk 2Lat Boise State20-38
UT Martin
- Wk 1Lvs Central Arkansas24-36
- Wk 1Wvs Chicago State42-7
- Wk 2Lat West Virginia7-52