Austin Peay beats UT Martin 35-12
Team pages: UT Martin · Austin Peay
Austin Peay beat UT Martin 35-12. Share this game
We had Austin Peay favored. It won.
Next: UT Martin beat Tennessee State 42-28, Sat Oct 10
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Austin Peay a 90% chance, and the closing betting line (Austin Peay was a 15.5-point favorite) put it at 89%.
Favored the whole way: Austin Peay never fell below 61%.
UT Martin never had better than a 39% chance.
Austin Peay 35-12 UT Martin
Austin Peay wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.UT Martin 12-35 Austin PeayUT Martin lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Austin Peay -15.5), at 89% for Austin Peay (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Austin Peay scored on 4 of its 12 drives; UT Martin on 2 of its 13.
Austin Peay’s drives are teal, UT Martin’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Austin Peay 35, UT Martin 12
Austin Peay covered −15.5 by 7.5. The total, 47, stayed under 53.5.
UT Martin leaders
- Passing Tate Surber 20 of 27, 175 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing Chris Franklin 12 for 63 yds; Greg Ard 4 for 37 yds
- Receiving Makhia Sherrard 5 for 85 yds; Kaleb Washington 3 for 25 yds
Austin Peay leaders
- Passing Chris Parson 17 of 21, 254 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Chris Parson 14 for 82 yds, 2 TD; Kaden Williams 4 for 24 yds
- Receiving Jaden Robinson 5 for 65 yds; Marvin Sims 4 for 58 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last 4 games
UT Martin · 1-3
Rated 148th in our preseason ratings, 185th now.
1-3 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 42-7 vs Chicago State #255 of 668
won by 35 as a 45.5-point favorite
L 24-36 vs Central Arkansas #177 of 668
lost by 12 as a 3-point favorite
Last 4 games
Austin Peay · 3-1
Rated 118th in our preseason ratings, 112th now.
3-1 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Week by week
Austin Peay
- Wk 1Wvs Gardner-Webb35-17
- Wk 1Lat Vanderbilt9-28
- Wk 2Wvs Morehead State63-7
- Wk 3Wat West Florida38-16
UT Martin
- Wk 1Lvs Central Arkansas24-36
- Wk 1Wvs Chicago State42-7
- Wk 2Lat West Virginia7-52
- Wk 3Lat Memphis21-45
Power rating by week
Austin Peay is rated 4.7 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
UT Martin leads the series 13-3
16 meetings since 2003 · UT Martin won the last meeting
- 2021UT Martin 17-16
- 2019Austin Peay 38-24
- 2018UT Martin 37-7
- 2017Austin Peay 7-0
- 2016UT Martin 45-31
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Austin Peay’s chances here.
Austin Peay favored by 15.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
Austin Peay by 15.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Austin Peay.
The total rose 2 points.
Spread: −14.5 → −15.5 · Total: 51.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points (±16.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.
50% at home, 21% on the road against FBS opponents (1-1 home, 3-11 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 52 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 85 miles to get here.