Austin Peay routs Morehead State 63-7

Morehead State1-27
Austin Peay2-163Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Governors Stadium, Clarksville, Tenn. · Crowd 6,657ESPN+

Austin Peay routed Morehead State 63-7.

We had Austin Peay favored. It won.

Next: Morehead State lost to Western Illinois 59-2, Sat Sep 19

Next: Austin Peay beat West Florida 38-16, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Austin Peay a 79% chance, and the closing betting line (Austin Peay was a 36.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Austin Peay led by 7 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+56+56
63 unansweredAustin Peay · Q1 6:29
FinalAustin Peay 63-7 Morehead StateAustin Peay wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Austin PeayWon63-7Scores63 unanswered
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Austin PeayWon63-7Scores63 unanswered
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Austin PeayLowest 0%Lost7-63Scores63 unanswered
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Austin PeayLowest 0%Lost7-63Scores63 unanswered

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Austin Peay’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Austin Peay -36.5), at 99% for Austin Peay (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

Austin Peay scored on 8 of its 12 drives; Morehead State on 1 of its 13.

Austin Peay’s drives are teal, Morehead State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Morehead State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt, from 68 yards out to 66PuntAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 87 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 53PuntAustin Peay: Punt, from 92 yards out to 86PuntMorehead State: Punt, from 52 yards out to 53PuntAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Morehead State: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 69FumbleAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 31 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 95 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt returned for a touchdown, from 86 yards out to 81Punt TDMorehead State: End of half, from 73 yards out to 70End of halfQ3Austin Peay: Interception, from 75 yards out to 20InterceptionMorehead State: Turned over on downs, from 89 yards out to 44DownsAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 74PuntAustin Peay: Punt, from 93 yards out to 39PuntQ4Morehead State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 74PuntAustin Peay: Touchdown, from 52 yards out to 0TouchdownMorehead State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 75PuntAustin Peay: End of game, from 82 yards out to 83End of game

Box score

Austin Peay 63, Morehead State 7

Austin Peay covered −36.5 by 19.5. The total, 70, went over 62.5.

Morehead State leaders

  • Passing David Parsons 13 of 21, 121 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Bryce Patterson 3 for 28 yds; Craig Cunningham 11 for 15 yds
  • Receiving Riley Purcell 5 for 66 yds, 1 TD; Anthony Ice 3 for 22 yds

Austin Peay leaders

  • Passing Chris Parson 12 of 15, 260 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Kaden Williams 2 for 120 yds, 2 TD; Matthew Wilson 5 for 103 yds
  • Receiving Denver Harper 3 for 124 yds, 2 TD; Marvin Sims 3 for 78 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Morehead State · 1-1

Rated 223rd in our preseason ratings, 234th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 75-24 vs Kentucky Christian

Morehead State won 75-24 vs Kentucky Christian. Chance to win started at 61%, low 61%, high better than 99%.

L 40-42 vs Ohio Dominican #333 of 668

Last two games

Austin Peay · 1-1

Rated 118th in our preseason ratings, 105th now, up 13 spots.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Austin Peay

Wk 1: W 35-17 vs Gardner-Webb▲18Gardner-WebbWk 1: L 9-28 at Vanderbilt▼19Vanderbilt
  • Wk 1Wvs Gardner-Webb35-17
  • Wk 1Lat Vanderbilt9-28

Morehead State

Wk 1: L 40-42 vs Ohio Dominican▼2Ohio DominicanWk 1: W 75-24 vs Kentucky Christian▲51Kentucky Christian
  • Wk 1Lvs Ohio Dominican40-42
  • Wk 1Wvs Kentucky Christian75-24

The series

Austin Peay leads the series 5-1

6 meetings since 2005 · Austin Peay has won the last 5

Austin Peay wonMorehead State won2005: Morehead State by 322006: Austin Peay by 22017: Austin Peay by 562018: Austin Peay by 382021: Austin Peay by 242025: Austin Peay by 4920052025
  • 2025Austin Peay 56-7
  • 2021Austin Peay 59-35
  • 2018Austin Peay 78-40
  • 2017Austin Peay 69-13
  • 2006Austin Peay 23-21

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Austin Peay’s chances here.

50-50Model · 79%Line · 100%Morehead StateAustin Peay

Austin Peay favored by 36.5 · Total 62.5

How games like this usually go

Austin Peay by 36.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Austin Peay.

opened −34.5now −36.5

Spread: −34.5 → −36.5

Home field

Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points (±16.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.

50% at home, 21% on the road against FBS opponents (1-1 home, 3-11 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 52 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 244 miles to get here.

Where next