Morehead State at Austin Peay
How they got here
Last two games
Morehead State · 1-1
Picked #223 in the preseason · now #226.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 75–24 vs Kentucky Christian
L 40–42 vs Ohio Dominican #315 of 669
Last two games
Austin Peay · 1-1
Picked #119 in the preseason · now #103 — better than expected.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 9–28 @ Vanderbilt #47 of 669
lost by 19 as a 29-point underdog
W 35–17 vs Gardner-Webb #198 of 669
won by 18 as a 14.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Morehead State
- Morehead State needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Morehead State is still shaking off a 56-point loss.
Austin Peay
- Austin Peay needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Austin Peay is coming off a 56-point win.
The series
Austin Peay leads the series 6-1
7 meetings since 2005 · Austin Peay has won the last 6
- 2026Austin Peay 63–7
- 2025Austin Peay 56–7
- 2021Austin Peay 59–35
- 2018Austin Peay 78–40
- 2017Austin Peay 69–13
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on Austin Peay’s chances here.
Home −36.5 · O/U 62.5
Conditions
85°F · 4 mph wind · Rain Shower
Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points (±16.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.
50% at home, 21% on the road against FBS opponents (1–1 home, 3–11 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.0 at home vs. away over 44 games — inside the ±10.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 244 miles to get here.
Morehead State 7 – Austin Peay 63
Called it — picked Austin Peay to win.
Recent games
Austin Peay
- Wk 1Wvs Gardner-Webb35-17
- Wk 1Lat Vanderbilt9-28
Morehead State
- Wk 1Lvs Ohio Dominican40-42
- Wk 1Wvs Kentucky Christian75-24
Trajectory
Austin Peay won 63-7, as picked pregame.