UNLV at North Texas

Away
UNLV
1-1 L1 · Cold
Home
North Texas
0-1 W1 · Mixed
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:45 PM · DATCU Stadium

Fan take

How they got here

Last two games

UNLV · 1-1

Picked #91 in the preseason · now #90 — about right.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 21–6 @ Hawai'i #67 of 669

won by 15 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 21–27 vs Memphis #113 of 669

lost by 6 as a 5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

North Texas · 12-2

Picked #134 in the preseason · now #80 — better than expected.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 49–47 @ San Diego State #61 of 668

won by 2 as a 3-point favorite

L 21–34 @ TulaneTop 25 #45 of 668

lost by 13 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 52–25 vs Temple #137 of 668

won by 27 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 56–24 @ Rice #172 of 668

won by 32 as a 18.5-point favorite

W 53–24 @ UAB #162 of 668

won by 29 as a 17.5-point favorite

W 31–17 vs NavyTop 25 #59 of 668

won by 14 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 54–20 @ Charlotte #243 of 668

won by 34 as a 25.5-point favorite

W 55–17 vs UTSA #49 of 668

won by 38 as a 3.5-point favorite

L 36–63 vs South FloridaTop 25 #16 of 668

lost by 27 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 36–22 vs South Alabama #111 of 668

won by 14 as a 11.5-point favorite

W 45–38 @ Army #70 of 668

won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 59–10 vs Washington State #176 of 668

won by 49 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 33–30 @ Western Michigan #85 of 668

won by 3 as a 12.5-point favorite

W 51–0 vs Lamar #191 of 668

won by 51 as a 27.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

UNLV · 1%1% → 5% if win1% → 2% if loss
North Texas · 1%1% → 0% if win1% → 0% if loss

Win the conference

UNLV · 19%19% → 35% if win19% → 32% if loss
North Texas · 8%8% → 5% if win8% → 5% if loss

Win it all

UNLV · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
North Texas · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

CFP odds as of September 13, 2026

The series

UNLV leads the series 5-2

7 meetings since 1986 · North Texas won the last meeting

  • 2026North Texas 44–6
  • 2022UNLV 58–27
  • 2013 · neutral siteNorth Texas 36–14
  • 2000UNLV 38–0
  • 1999UNLV 26–3

Best players

UNLV

North Texas

The line, and the room

UNLV fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (48th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.

evenModel 38% · Market 40%North Texas fans · 55thUNLV fans · 48thUNLVNorth Texas

Home +3 · O/U 58.5

Conditions

98°F · 9 mph wind · Clear

North Texas is worth +3.3 points (±4.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 35th percentile.

57% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (24–18 home, 21–26 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.2 at home vs. away over 76 games — inside the ±7.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,042 miles to get here.

UNLV 6 – North Texas 44

North Texas 44: 88%UNLV 6: 12%

Missed — picked UNLV, North Texas won.

Recent games

North Texas

  • Wk 1Lat Indiana16-52

UNLV

  • Wk 1Lvs Memphis21-27
  • Wk 1Wat Hawai'i21-6

Trajectory

-0.49-3.60-6.71Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2UNLVNorth Texas

North Texas upset the pregame pick, beating UNLV 44-6.