North Texas routs UNLV 44-6
Team pages: UNLV · North Texas
North Texas routed UNLV 44-6. Share this game
We had UNLV favored. North Texas won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave North Texas a 38% chance, and the closing betting line (North Texas was a 3-point underdog) put it at 40%.
North Texas 44-6 UNLV
North Texas wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.UNLV 6-44 North TexasUNLV lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 5:10FumbleGlover 4-yd run, fumblesNorth Texas 60% → 71% (+11)
- 2Q1 3:51Jackson 32-yd TD pass to White, North Texas leads 13-0North Texas 72% → 82% (+10)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 5:10FumbleGlover 4-yd run, fumblesUNLV 40% → 29% (−11)
- 2Q1 3:51Jackson 32-yd TD pass to White, North Texas leads 13-0UNLV 28% → 18% (−10)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (UNLV -3), at 49% for North Texas (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
North Texas scored on 8 of its 12 drives; UNLV on 2 of its 12.
North Texas’s drives are teal, UNLV’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“We came to play MEAN GREEN”
When fans got loud
Roaring
The second quarter is when fans got loud.
The jump was roaring; the crowd was quiet.
What it cost
UNLV’s chance to make the playoff fell from 4% to 2%.
Make the playoff
Win the conference
Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score
North Texas 44, UNLV 6
North Texas covered +3 by 41. The total, 50, stayed under 58.5.
| Team totals | UNLV | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 301 | 444 |
| Passing | 19 of 33, 203 yds | 17 of 29, 261 yds |
| Rushing | 39 for 98 yds | 38 for 183 yds |
| First downs | 18 | 22 |
| Third down | 7 of 17 | 7 of 13 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Penalties | 8 for 64 yds | 10 for 73 yds |
| Time of possession | 27:45 | 32:15 |
UNLV leaders
- Passing Jackson Arnold 18 of 27, 194 yds
- Rushing Jai'Den Thomas 10 for 37 yds; Alex Orji 2 for 32 yds
- Receiving Tastean Reddicks 5 for 75 yds; Taeshaun Lyons 5 for 37 yds
North Texas leaders
- Passing Tayven Jackson 15 of 26, 233 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Jahiem White 12 for 124 yds, 1 TD; Brendon Haygood 12 for 36 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Corri Milliner 3 for 65 yds; Justin Stevenson 2 for 43 yds
Feels like 107° to 110° through the game
101° at kickoff · feels like 107° to 110° · no rain recorded · wind 12 mph from the southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 24
A feels-like 110° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.
Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.
Warmer than every one of the 60 other games played at DATCU Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 80°, with about 7 in 10 games between 71° and 87°.
September game-day temperatures at DATCU Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Denton airport, 2.4 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
UNLV · 1-1
Rated 91st in our preseason ratings, 91st now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last three games · 2025 season
North Texas · 12-2
Rated 135th in our preseason ratings, 123rd now, up 12 spots.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 49-47 @ San Diego State #70 of 667
won by 2 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 21-34 @ TulaneTop 25 #38 of 667
lost by 13 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 52-25 vs Temple #164 of 667
won by 27 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 56-24 @ Rice #191 of 667
won by 32 as an 18.5-point favorite
W 53-24 @ UAB #163 of 667
won by 29 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 31-17 vs NavyTop 25 #92 of 667
won by 14 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 54-20 @ Charlotte #229 of 667
won by 34 as a 25.5-point favorite
W 55-17 vs UTSA #73 of 667
won by 38 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 36-63 vs South FloridaTop 25 #27 of 667
lost by 27 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 36-22 vs South Alabama #92 of 667
won by 14 as an 11.5-point favorite
W 45-38 @ Army #107 of 667
won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 59-10 vs Washington State #117 of 667
won by 49 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 33-30 @ Western Michigan #131 of 667
won by 3 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 51-0 vs Lamar #185 of 667
won by 51 as a 27.5-point favorite
Week by week
North Texas
- Wk 1Lat Indiana16-52
UNLV
- Wk 1Lvs Memphis21-27
- Wk 1Wat Hawai'i21-6
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: North Texas’s EPA/play against UNLV, 47 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
North Texas’s EPA/play against UNLV’s defense
North Texas offense, 92nd percentile · UNLV defense, 45th
North Texas’s explosive plays against UNLV’s defense
North Texas offense, 84th percentile · UNLV defense, 41st
North Texas’s rushing EPA against UNLV’s defense
North Texas offense, 69th percentile · UNLV defense, 25th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
The series
UNLV leads the series 5-1
6 meetings since 1986 · UNLV won the last meeting
- 2022UNLV 58-27
- 2013 · neutral siteNorth Texas 36-14
- 2000UNLV 38-0
- 1999UNLV 26-3
- 1995UNLV 34-24
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
North Texas fans are in a better mood than UNLV fans (88th vs 12th among FBS fanbases), even with UNLV favored.
UNLV favored by 3 · Total 58.5
How games like this usually go
UNLV by 3, on the usual path until Q1 14:24
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 3.5 points toward North Texas.
The total fell 3 points.
Spread: +6.5 → +3 · Total: 61.5 → 58.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 108° at kickoff.
UNLV at North Texas · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · DATCU Stadium, Denton
- 108°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 33weather score, Harsh
- Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 5 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's five kickoff times. At DATCU Stadium that day, a 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 57, against 33 at 2:30 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
- 11 am: 38, Harsh
- 2:30 pm: 33, Harsh (this game)
- 3:15 pm: 34, Harsh
- 6 pm: 48, Harsh
- 6:45 pm: 57, Rough
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
North Texas is worth +3.8 points (±4.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 43rd percentile.
58% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (25-18 home, 22-27 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 101 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,042 miles to get here.