CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 100th percentile.
Alex Orji
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
37 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 42 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to UNLV for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · UNLV
Returning around him
- 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +0 net (15 in / 15 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UNLV · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #51 · 2026 recruiting class #95
QB · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST
Alex Orji
- 4
- #1
- 6-3 | 240 lb
- Sachse, TX
Heisman Heat
#424
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+640%
Up 640% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8848 | No. 493 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Michigan -> UNLV | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Michigan
Composite
0.8848
#493 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Alex Orji
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Alex Orji
Only 3 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 3g
37Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
12.3Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
160.3Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 37): needs 296.3/game over remaining 10.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 37): needs 396.3/game over remaining 10.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 10.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.5/game over remaining 10.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Alex Orji's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UNLV, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Highly efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
3 16th
ATT
3 15th
CMP%
100.0% 100th
Y/A
12.3 95th
Passing Production
YDS
37 16th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
10 36th
YDS
42 52nd
YPC
4.2 68th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-31vs Idaho State | 3/3 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 12.3 | 96.6 | Season-high 37 yds |
| Wk 1 | W 38-21@ Sam Houston | — | — | — | — | — | — | Season-high 37 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 30-23vs UCLA | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 3/3 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 12.3 | 96.6 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 37 | #320/382 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 3 | #321/383 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 100.0% | #1/383 | 100th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 12.3 | #19/382 | 95th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 42 | #196/408 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 8.3% | #287/428 | 33rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 3 | #346/407 | 15th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #281/391 | 28th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 10 | #263/408 | 36th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #132/407 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.1% | #253/428 | 41st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 10.6% | #150/428 | 65th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.0% | #303/428 | 29th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.8% | #283/428 | 34th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.6% | #314/428 | 27th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.3% | #342/428 | 20th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 0.0% | #394/428 | 8th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #73/140 | 49th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 59 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 18.5 | 0.0 | 12.3 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 12.3 | 0.0 | 12.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 12.3 | 0.0 | 12.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: yards / att (100th). Strength: completion % (100th). Concern: pass tds (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Alex OrjiUNLVCade KlubnikClemson· 56% simLuke AltmyerIllinois· 52% simJoe FagnanoUConn· 52% sim
Yards / att
Completion %
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dan Mullen
Pass share
46.5%
423 pass / 487 run
Plays / game
65.0
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
283 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coaches2022
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2023era →
Barry Odom
UNLV
2024
Barry Odom
UNLV
2025era →
Dan Mullen
UNLV
Played under 3 different head coaches: Marcus Arroyo, Barry Odom, and Dan Mullen. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSachse, TX
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUNLV
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.