CFB Zeitgeist Score
22
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.
Kemper Hodges
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
207 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 49 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Air Force for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Fullback · Air Force
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129
FB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
22
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4119
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 207): needs 90.5/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 207): needs 132.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 207): needs 215.5/game over remaining 6.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.8/game over remaining 6.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kemper Hodges's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Air Force, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | L 37-49vs Boise State | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | |
| Wk 5 | L 35-44vs Hawai'i | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Wk 6 | L 31-34@ Navy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | W 26-16@ San José State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 16-26@ UConn | 10 | 62 | 6.2 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 13 | L 3-20vs New Mexico | 20 | 50 | 2.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-21@ Colorado State | 14 | 87 | 6.2 | 1 | 27 | Season-high 87 yds |
| Total | 49 | 207 | 2.9 | 3 | 27 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 74 | #1/15 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Passing | Attempts | 14 | #1/25 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Passing | Completions | 6 | #1/15 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 5.3 | #11/15 | 33rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Passing | Completion % | 42.9% | #15/15 | 7th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/25 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS peers |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #2/25 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 207 | #1/53 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Carries | 49 | #1/50 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 27 | #1/29 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #20/49 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #1/54 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Defense | Forced fumbles | 1 | #1/10 | 100th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS peers |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 19.8% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS peers |
| Usage | Pass share | 16.5% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS peers |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.1% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS peers |
| Usage | Role share | 13.1% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS peers |
| Usage | Rush share | 12.4% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS peers |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.1% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS peers |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.5% | #1/6 | 100th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS peers |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.5% | #2/6 | 83rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS peers |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #29/34 | 18th pct | Turnoversvs FBS peers |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 19.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Road4g | 37.5 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 43.5 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Losses5g | 24.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 49.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the FB cohort
Concern: rush yards (7th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · FB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jakobi Buchanan’s 2020 season.
Jakobi Buchanan
Bryan Bradford
Tyson Riley
Joshua McCray
Dawson Pendergrass
Matches Jakobi on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyle Porter’s path through Houston.
Kyle Porter
Deon Jackson
Gary Brightwell
Carson Smith
Darius Wilson
Matches Kyle on
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Bryan Bradford's sophomore season at Kent State (2021).
Bryan Bradford
Tyson Riley
Tucker Gleason
Qualan Jones
Tavion Thomas
Matches Bryan on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Air Force | FB3 | #4119 | #4498 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.