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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Micah Alejado /Hawai'i

Micah Alejado

QB · Hawai'i · Fr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

3,106 PASS YDS · 24 PASS TD · 105 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Hawai'i for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Hawai'i for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Hawai'i

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (16 in / 9 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Hawai'i · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #124

QB · HAWAI'I · MOUNTAIN WEST

Micah Alejado

  • 1
  • #12
  • 5-10 | 180 lb
  • Las Vegas, NV

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2320

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1672 national
CFB
College
Hawai'i
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey12
Measurements5-10 | 180 lb
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Primary teamHawai'i

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1672 recruit
Composite rating 0.8467 HighSchool
Signed with Hawai'i 2024
Origin Bishop Gorman Las Vegas, NV, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8467 No. 1672 recruit | HighSchool | Hawai'i

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2320Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2605Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3106 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3106).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Hawai'i

Composite

0.8467

#1672 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Micah Alejado

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 4 mentions · belief +50 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Micah Alejado

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
3,106Pass yards
24Pass TDs
9INT
Per game
282.4Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,671Pass yards
28Pass TDs
11INT

✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,106.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,106): needs 447/game over remaining 2.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Micah Alejado's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Hawai'i, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2320 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 62.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,106 24 TD | 9 INT | #30/382 (92nd pct)
Completion rate 66.3% 285/430 completions | #111/383 (71st pct)
Yards/attempt 7.2 Explosiveness through the air | #156/382 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
285 97th
ATT
430 97th
CMP%
66.3% 71st
Y/A
7.2 59th

Passing Production

YDS
3,106 92nd
TD
24 94th
INT
9 12th

Rushing

CAR
81 81st
YDS
105 68th
YPC
1.3 29th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 23-20vs Stanford27/39210205.448.33 TD passes
Wk 1L 6-40@ Arizona18/31157015.128.33 TD passes
Wk 4L 21-23vs Fresno State28/47219134.720.83 INTs — rough day
Wk 5W 44-35@ Air Force35/47457309.777.9Season-high 457 yds
Wk 7W 44-26vs Utah State34/54413317.650.73 TD passes
Wk 8W 31-19@ Colorado State26/38301317.966.63 TD passes
Wk 10L 38-45@ San José State31/46367308.066.03 TD passes
Wk 11W 38-6vs San Diego State22/34256317.570.63 TD passes
Wk 13L 10-38@ UNLV15/24163116.832.0
Wk 14W 27-7vs Wyoming17/242892112.071.6
BowlW 35-31vs California32/46274306.077.6
Total285/43031062497.355.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Hawai'i9-4HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Hawai'i28543066.3%3,1067.2249141.2----
Career1 loaded season28543066.3%3,1067.2249141.2----
SeasonTeam
2025Hawai'i811051.31--
Career1 loaded season811051.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 105 1 rush TD | #133/408 (68th pct)
Usage 62.7% 89.8% pass share | 19.9% rush share | #8/428 (98th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.35 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #42/200 (80th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,106 #30/382 92nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 24 #24/407 94th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 285 #14/383 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.3% #111/383 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.2 #156/382 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 105 #133/408 68th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.35 #42/200 80th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 436 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 62.7% #8/428 98th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 430 #14/407 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 9 #359/407 12th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 81 #79/408 81st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 30 #107/391 73rd pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.3 #288/407 29th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 89.8% #65/428 85th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 78.9% #9/428 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 74.6% #16/428 96th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 66.4% #7/428 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 56.9% #7/428 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 52.7% #17/428 96th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 19.9% #63/428 86th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.11 #127/140 10th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 58 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g2772.37.21.0
Road5g2892.07.50.6

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins7g3142.78.00.6
Losses4g2261.26.21.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g2882.06.40.8
Weeks 8+5g2752.48.40.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

60Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass tds (85th). Strength: pass yards (83rd). Concern: interceptions (21st).

Pass TDs#24 / 183 · 85th pct
24pass
Pass yards#30 / 183 · 84th pct
3106pass
Completion %#37 / 183 · 80th pct
66.3%pass
Yards / att#85 / 183 · 52nd pct
7.2pass
Rush yards#102 / 183 · 45th pct
105rush
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Interceptions#135 / 183 · 22nd pct
9pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

163/237 (68.8%) · 10 TD · 5 INT

Short

0–9 yds
60%of completions
97 comp5.2 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
27%of completions
44 comp12.8 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds
13%of completions
22 comp33.8 yds avg4 TD

Overall 68.8% completion on 237 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 33.8 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.350
62th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.35Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.11Below (<p25) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Micah AlejadoHawai'iOwen McCownUTSA· 87% simCaden VeltkampFlorida Atlantic· 85% simBraylon BraxtonSouthern Miss· 85% sim
Pass TDs
85
Alejado
96
McCown
85
Veltkamp
85
Braxton
Pass yards
84
Alejado
80
McCown
96
Veltkamp
82
Braxton
Completion %
80
Alejado
88
McCown
84
Veltkamp
60
Braxton
Yards / att
52
Alejado
57
McCown
49
Veltkamp
68
Braxton
Rush yards
45
Alejado
27
McCown
32
Veltkamp
62
Braxton
Fumbles lost
38
Alejado
18
McCown
38
Veltkamp
66
Braxton
Rush TDs
26
Alejado
26
McCown
59
Veltkamp
26
Braxton
Interceptions
22
Alejado
44
McCown
0
Veltkamp
32
Braxton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Noah Fifita’s 2025 season.

Noah Fifita

63%match

Arizona · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Chris Reynolds

Charlotte · 2021

60%
#3

Chase Cunningham

Middle Tennessee · 2022

59%
#4

Brady McBride

Texas State · 2020

51%
#5

Taulia Tagovailoa

Maryland · 2023

All-Big Ten
52%

Matches Noah on

INT rate

Differs from Noah on

Class year (lower)
Yards / attempt (lower)
TD rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Chase Cunningham’s path through Middle Tennessee.

Chase Cunningham

83%match

Middle Tennessee · 2022

#2

Parker McKinney

Eastern Kentucky · 2023

80%
#3

Mikey Keene

Fresno State · 2024

All-Mountain West
80%
#4

Darius Curry

Colorado State · 2025

76%
#5

Chandler Fields

Louisiana · 2024

76%

Matches Chase on

Completion %
Yards per attempt
Height

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Levi Lewis's sophomore season at Louisiana (2021).

Levi Lewis

51%match

Louisiana · 2021

All-Sun Belt
#2

Chris Reynolds

Charlotte · 2021

43%
#3

Jayden de Laura

Washington State · 2021

43%
#4

Noah Fifita

Arizona · 2023

All-Big 12
41%
#5

Chandler Rogers

North Texas · 2023

39%

Differs from Levi on

Class year (lower)
Completion % (higher)
INT rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Timmy Chang

Pass share

60.2%

540 pass / 357 run

Plays / game

69.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

427 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i

Played his entire career under Timmy Chang.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Hawai'i QB1 #2320 #2605 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Hawai'i Mountain West QB 1 No. 12 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2024 Hawai'i Mountain West QB 1 No. 12 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Las Vegas, NV