CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 80th percentile.
Micah Alejado
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,106 PASS YDS · 24 PASS TD · 105 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Hawai'i for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Hawai'i
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Hawai'i · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #124
QB · HAWAI'I · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 80th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2320
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8467 | No. 1672 recruit | HighSchool | Hawai'i |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Hawai'i
Composite
0.8467
#1672 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,106.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,106): needs 447/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Micah Alejado's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Hawai'i, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-20vs Stanford | 27/39 | 210 | 2 | 0 | 5.4 | 48.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 1 | L 6-40@ Arizona | 18/31 | 157 | 0 | 1 | 5.1 | 28.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | L 21-23vs Fresno State | 28/47 | 219 | 1 | 3 | 4.7 | 20.8 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 5 | W 44-35@ Air Force | 35/47 | 457 | 3 | 0 | 9.7 | 77.9 | Season-high 457 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 44-26vs Utah State | 34/54 | 413 | 3 | 1 | 7.6 | 50.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 31-19@ Colorado State | 26/38 | 301 | 3 | 1 | 7.9 | 66.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | L 38-45@ San José State | 31/46 | 367 | 3 | 0 | 8.0 | 66.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 38-6vs San Diego State | 22/34 | 256 | 3 | 1 | 7.5 | 70.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | L 10-38@ UNLV | 15/24 | 163 | 1 | 1 | 6.8 | 32.0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-7vs Wyoming | 17/24 | 289 | 2 | 1 | 12.0 | 71.6 | |
| Bowl | W 35-31vs California | 32/46 | 274 | 3 | 0 | 6.0 | 77.6 | |
| Total | 285/430 | 3106 | 24 | 9 | 7.3 | 55.5 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Hawai'i | 285 | 430 | 66.3% | 3,106 | 7.2 | 24 | 9 | 141.2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 285 | 430 | 66.3% | 3,106 | 7.2 | 24 | 9 | 141.2 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Hawai'i | 81 | 105 | 1.3 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 81 | 105 | 1.3 | 1 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,106 | #30/382 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 24 | #24/407 | 94th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 285 | #14/383 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 66.3% | #111/383 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.2 | #156/382 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 105 | #133/408 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.35 | #42/200 | 80th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 436 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 62.7% | #8/428 | 98th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 430 | #14/407 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 9 | #359/407 | 12th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 81 | #79/408 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 30 | #107/391 | 73rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.3 | #288/407 | 29th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 89.8% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 78.9% | #9/428 | 98th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 74.6% | #16/428 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 66.4% | #7/428 | 99th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 56.9% | #7/428 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 52.7% | #17/428 | 96th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.9% | #63/428 | 86th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.11 | #127/140 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 58 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 277 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 1.0 |
| Road5g | 289 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 314 | 2.7 | 8.0 | 0.6 |
| Losses4g | 226 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 288 | 2.0 | 6.4 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 275 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: pass tds (85th). Strength: pass yards (83rd). Concern: interceptions (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 68.8% completion on 237 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 33.8 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Noah Fifita’s 2025 season.
Noah Fifita
Chris Reynolds
Chase Cunningham
Brady McBride
Taulia Tagovailoa
Matches Noah on
Differs from Noah on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Chase Cunningham’s path through Middle Tennessee.
Chase Cunningham
Parker McKinney
Mikey Keene
Darius Curry
Chandler Fields
Matches Chase on
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Levi Lewis's sophomore season at Louisiana (2021).
Levi Lewis
Chris Reynolds
Jayden de Laura
Noah Fifita
Chandler Rogers
Differs from Levi on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Timmy Chang
Pass share
60.2%
540 pass / 357 run
Plays / game
69.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
427 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Timmy Chang.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Hawai'i | QB1 | #2320 | #2605 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.