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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Anthony Colandrea /UNLV

Anthony Colandrea

QB · UNLV · Jr · #10

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Anthony Colandrea arrives at UNLV with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

3,459PASS YDS23PASS TD650RUSH YDS

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.41

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 92 plays

Read the story so far

Anthony Colandrea arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at QB for UNLV.

On the field, the headline is 3,459 pass yds, with 23 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Hajj-Malik Williams (3-star).

The number to watch: +0.41 — rushing value · wepa.

QB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromHajj-Malik Williams 3★
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 92 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UNLV → Nebraska for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Nebraska

2025UNLV
2026Nebraska

QB · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST

Anthony Colandrea

  • 3
  • #10
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • St. Petersburg, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

73

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#100

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Virginia · QB

2024

Virginia · QB

2025

UNLV · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
1,9582023
2,1252024
3,4592025

+77%

Up 77% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1463 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Primary teamUNLV

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1463 recruit
Composite rating 0.8483 HighSchool
Signed with Virginia 2023
Origin Lakewood St. Petersburg, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8483 No. 1463 recruit | HighSchool | Virginia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Nebraska 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UNLV -> Nebraska 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2025 Virginia -> UNLV 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#100Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#118Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3459 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (650).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NIL Valuation · On3

$1.12M

On3 ranking · Jun 2026

Whisper Rate

$2.00M

per-deal market estimate

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Virginia

Composite

0.8483

#1463 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Anthony Colandrea

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Life after Colandrea: Onetime 5-star recruit taking shot at redemption at UNLV &"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Early buzz connects FSU football to conference player of the year quarterback An"RivalsNational: 4 mentions · belief +50 · "HALFTIME: Notre Dame 28, Virginia 0 The Irish are just better at all positions "National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Anthony Colandrea

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 14g
3,459Pass yards
23Pass TDs
9INT
Per game
247.1Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Final
3,459Pass yards
23Pass TDs
9INT

✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,459.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Anthony Colandrea's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For UNLV, he has 3,459 passing yards and 23 touchdown passes, but he also adds 650 rushing yards and 10 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #100 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 56.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,459 23 TD | 9 INT | #17/382 (96th pct)
Completion rate 65.9% 275/417 completions | #116/383 (70th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.3 Explosiveness through the air | #74/382 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
275 96th
ATT
417 96th
CMP%
65.9% 70th
Y/A
8.3 81st

Passing Production

YDS
3,459 96th
TD
23 92nd
INT
9 12th

Rushing

CAR
127 92nd
YDS
650 96th
YPC
5.1 78th
TD
10 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 38-31vs Idaho State15/21195109.354.0
Wk 1W 38-21@ Sam Houston19/232492110.892.1
Wk 2W 30-23vs UCLA15/21203309.784.43 TD passes
Wk 4W 41-38@ Miami (OH)29/43293226.852.0
Wk 6W 31-17@ Wyoming11/20102105.127.0
Wk 7W 51-48vs Air Force20/323611011.375.1
Wk 8L 31-56@ Boise State18/30215217.275.9
Wk 10L 35-40vs New Mexico36/46382308.369.8Season-high 382 yds
Wk 11W 42-10@ Colorado State15/222512111.470.8
Wk 12W 29-26vs Utah State24/43276116.434.8
Wk 13W 38-10vs Hawai'i21/26253309.792.03 TD passes
Wk 14W 42-17@ Nevada15/222701212.397.0
Wk 15L 21-38@ Boise State18/38225105.976.8
BowlL 10-17@ Ohio19/30184016.150.0
Total275/41734592398.668.0
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Virginia3-9HC: Tony Elliott · Run-leaning
2024Virginia5-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV27541765.9%3,4598.3239149.5----
2024Virginia19832061.9%2,1256.61311124.2----
2023Virginia15424662.6%1,9588.0139139.6----
Career3 loaded seasons62798363.8%7,5427.74929138.8----
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV1276505.110--
2024Virginia1282772.22--
2023Virginia732253.10--
Career3 loaded seasons3281,1523.512--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 650 10 rush TD | #19/408 (96th pct)
Usage 56.1% 96.1% pass share | 20.2% rush share | #32/428 (93rd pct)
Passing WEPA +0.34 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #49/200 (76th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,459 #17/382 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 23 #32/407 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 275 #18/383 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 65.9% #116/383 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.3 #74/382 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 650 #19/408 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.34 #49/200 76th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 398 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 56.1% #32/428 93rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 417 #16/407 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 9 #359/407 12th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 127 #34/408 92nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 37 #80/391 80th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 10 #14/408 97th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #91/407 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 96.1% #14/428 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 71.8% #37/428 92nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 67.5% #50/428 89th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 55.5% #45/428 90th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 51.6% #23/428 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 49.1% #39/428 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 20.2% #61/428 86th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.41 #7/140 96th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 92 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g2782.09.10.2
Road8g2241.48.21.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins10g2451.79.30.7
Losses4g2521.56.90.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2271.48.40.6
Weeks 8+7g2671.98.70.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

73Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass yards (90th). Strength: rush tds (90th). Concern: fumbles lost (18th).

Pass yards#17 / 183 · 91st pct
3459pass
Rush TDs#14 / 183 · 91st pct
10rush
Rush yards#19 / 183 · 90th pct
650rush
Yards / att#27 / 183 · 84th pct
8.3pass
Pass TDs#32 / 183 · 82nd pct
23pass
Completion %#42 / 183 · 77th pct
65.9%pass
Interceptions#135 / 183 · 22nd pct
9pass
Fumbles lost#132 / 174 · 18th pct
3fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

109/171 (63.7%) · 8 TD · 4 INT

Short

0–9 yds
53%of completions
58 comp6.0 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
27%of completions
29 comp13.6 yds avg2 TD

Deep

20+ yds
20%of completions
22 comp35.3 yds avg4 TD

Overall 63.7% completion on 171 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 35.3 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.340
59th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.34Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.41Elite (≥p90) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Anthony ColandreaUNLVDemond Williams Jr.Washington· 90% simByrum BrownSouth Florida· 89% simDiego PaviaVanderbilt· 88% sim
Pass yards
91
Colandrea
83
Jr.
85
Brown
93
Pavia
Rush TDs
91
Colandrea
74
Jr.
96
Brown
91
Pavia
Rush yards
90
Colandrea
88
Jr.
98
Brown
95
Pavia
Yards / att
84
Colandrea
91
Jr.
97
Brown
98
Pavia
Pass TDs
82
Colandrea
89
Jr.
93
Brown
95
Pavia
Completion %
77
Colandrea
94
Jr.
80
Brown
96
Pavia
Interceptions
22
Colandrea
32
Jr.
44
Brown
32
Pavia
Fumbles lost
18
Colandrea
18
Jr.
8
Brown
38
Pavia

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Frank Harris’s 2021 season.

Frank Harris

80%match

UTSA · 2021

All-Conference USA
#2

Diego Pavia

New Mexico State · 2023

All-Conference USA
74%
#3

Jake Retzlaff

Tulane · 2025

72%
#4

Jordan Travis

Florida State · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
68%
#5

Frank Harris

UTSA · 2022

All-Conference USA
68%

Matches Frank on

Completion %
Weight
TD rate

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Parker Navarro’s path through Ohio.

Parker Navarro

92%match

Ohio · 2025

All-MAC
#2

Jack Abraham

Southern Miss · 2020

All-Conference USA
88%
#3

Zac Thomas

App State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
87%
#4

Giovanni Lopez

North Carolina · 2025

84%
#5

Frank Harris

UTSA · 2023

All-AAC
82%

Matches Parker on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jake Retzlaff's junior season at Tulane (2025).

Jake Retzlaff

73%match

Tulane · 2025

#2

Dillon Gabriel

Oklahoma · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
66%
#3

Devon Dampier

Utah · 2025

All-Big 12
65%
#4

John Rhys Plumlee

UCF · 2022

62%
#5

Nick Vattiato

Middle Tennessee · 2023

62%

Matches Jake on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
INT rate
Height

Differs from Jake on

TD rate (higher)
Completion % (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Mullen

Pass share

46.5%

423 pass / 487 run

Plays / game

65.0

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

283 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Barry Odom
UNLV
2024
Barry Odom
UNLV
2025
Dan Mullen
UNLV
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Barry Odom → Dan Mullen. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference UNLV | Mountain West QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia QB3 #100 #118 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia QB3 #349 #575 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UNLV Mountain West QB 3 No. 10 | 6-0 | 205 lb | St. Petersburg, FL
2024 Virginia ACC QB 3 No. 10 | 6-0 | 205 lb | St. Petersburg, FL
2023 Virginia ACC QB 3 No. 10 | 6-0 | 205 lb | St. Petersburg, FL