CFB Zeitgeist
JSJulian Sayin

Julian Sayin

Julian Sayin led the entire country in accuracy, made the Heisman finalist cut as the only underclassman -- and still went home empty, beaten on the one stage that mattered. He's back for the part he didn't finish.

QB · Ohio State · Cl 2 · #10

CFB Zeitgeist 75

Julian Sayin led the entire country in accuracy, made the Heisman finalist cut as the only underclassman -- and still went home empty, beaten on the one stage that mattered. He's back for the part he didn't finish.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -4aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 95th percentile of QBs; the tape says 98th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception95th pctl
Production — on-field98th pctl
n=170 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Sayin's first act was a quiet kind of stardom. The former Alabama signee who left when Nick Saban retired found his home at Ohio State, and in his first year starting he completed 77% of his passes -- the best in the nation -- for 3,610 yards and 32 touchdowns. He was the only underclassman invited to New York as a Heisman finalist.

What he didn't get was the trophy or the title. Indiana beat Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship and Fernando Mendoza ran off with the Heisman; the door Sayin had pried open swung shut on the biggest stage. That's the engine of his 2026: fans don't just want him better, they want it finished.

He's built to deliver -- 14 career starts now, the nation's best receiver in Jeremiah Smith, and a roster that opens the year as a national-title favorite. The forward question isn't whether Sayin is good; the nation-leading numbers settled that. It's whether the quiet accuracy becomes a closer's resume -- and whether the next time the season comes down to one game, the result flips.

PLAY STYLE

Sayin's 2025 wasn't just good, it was statistically absurd: he finished in the 99th percentile nationally in completion percentage, in expected points per dropback, and in success rate -- the three numbers that matter most, all at the ceiling. The game looks easy because he plays it fast and clean; he was sacked on barely 1.5% of his dropbacks, top-five in the country at getting the ball out. He isn't a gunslinger pushing it deep -- his average throw was middle-of-the-pack in air yards -- he's a precision machine who takes exactly what the defense gives and never gives it back. The honest questions trail every efficient passer in a loaded offense: at 6-1 he doesn't tower, and with Jeremiah Smith outside, skeptics ask how much is him. In Ohio State's attack he's the conductor -- and 2026 is the year he answers the doubt the only way a quarterback can, by carrying a title himself.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#6 national
CFB
College
Ohio State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2025)

All-Big Ten

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Day
Ohio State

Played his entire career under Ryan Day.

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2025Ohio State12-2HC: Ryan Day · Run-leaning

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

75All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: completion % (99th). Strength: pass tds (98th). Concern: rush yards (7th).

Completion %#1 / 183 · 100th pct
77.0%pass
Pass TDs#4 / 183 · 98th pct
32pass
Yards / att#8 / 183 · 95th pct
9.2pass
Pass yards#10 / 183 · 95th pct
3610pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Interceptions#115 / 183 · 32nd pct
8pass
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Rush yards#169 / 183 · 8th pct
-44rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Awards

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2025)

All-Big Ten

Career stats

Passing

Season-by-season quarterback passing line in a familiar scoreboard layout.

Season Team CMPATTCMP%YDSY/ATDINTRATELNGSACK
2025 Ohio StateFinal snapshot 30139177.0%3,6109.2328177.5----
Career 1 loaded seasonCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 30139177.0%3,6109.2328177.5----

Rushing

Ground contribution that rounds out the quarterback profile.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 Ohio StateFinal snapshot 42-44-1.00--
Career 1 loaded seasonCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 42-44-1.00--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 5 · 2025

W 24–6

at Washington

208 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT  ·  QBR 88.9  ·  12 rush yds (4 car)

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 14-7vs Texas13/20126106.374.5
Wk 2W 70-0vs Grambling18/193064116.175.64 TD passes
Wk 3W 37-9vs Ohio25/323473210.877.53 TD passes
Wk 5W 24-6@ Washington22/28208207.488.9
Wk 6W 42-3vs Minnesota23/273263012.197.43 TD passes
Wk 7W 34-16@ Illinois19/27166206.186.0
Wk 8W 34-0@ Wisconsin36/42393409.494.2Season-high 393 yds
Wk 10W 38-14vs Penn State20/233164013.799.14 TD passes
Wk 11W 34-10@ Purdue27/33303119.287.5
Wk 12W 48-10vs UCLA23/31184105.982.1
Wk 13W 42-9vs Rutgers13/19157208.383.3
Wk 14W 27-9@ Michigan19/26233319.097.03 TD passes
Wk 15L 10-13vs Indiana21/29258118.960.7
BowlL 14-24vs Miami22/35287128.270.4
Total301/39136103289.483.9

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

75All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: completion % (99th). Strength: pass tds (98th). Concern: rush yards (7th).

Completion %#1 / 183 · 100th pct
77.0%pass
Pass TDs#4 / 183 · 98th pct
32pass
Yards / att#8 / 183 · 95th pct
9.2pass
Pass yards#10 / 183 · 95th pct
3610pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Interceptions#115 / 183 · 32nd pct
8pass
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Rush yards#169 / 183 · 8th pct
-44rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Sayin's 2025 wasn't just good, it was statistically absurd: he finished in the 99th percentile nationally in completion percentage, in expected points per dropback, and in success rate -- the three numbers that matter most, all at the ceiling. The game looks easy because he plays it fast and clean; he was sacked on barely 1.5% of his dropbacks, top-five in the country at getting the ball out. He isn't a gunslinger pushing it deep -- his average throw was middle-of-the-pack in air yards -- he's a precision machine who takes exactly what the defense gives and never gives it back. The honest questions trail every efficient passer in a loaded offense: at 6-1 he doesn't tower, and with Jeremiah Smith outside, skeptics ask how much is him. In Ohio State's attack he's the conductor -- and 2026 is the year he answers the doubt the only way a quarterback can, by carrying a title himself.

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ohio State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Ohio State

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 11 Ohio State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -20 net (17 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ohio State · Last season: 12-2 (AP #3) · Talent rank #3 · 2026 recruiting class #4

Perception vs tape

Julian Sayin led the entire country in accuracy, made the Heisman finalist cut as the only underclassman — and still went home empty, beaten on the one stage that mattered. He's back for the part he didn't finish.

Sayin's first act was a quiet kind of stardom. The former Alabama signee who left when Nick Saban retired found his home at Ohio State, and in his first year starting he completed 77% of his passes — the best in the nation — for 3,610 yards and 32 touchdowns. He was the only underclassman invited to New York as a Heisman finalist.

What he didn't get was the trophy or the title. Indiana beat Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship and Fernando Mendoza ran off with the Heisman; the door Sayin had pried open swung shut on the biggest stage. That's the engine of his 2026: fans don't just want him better, they want it finished.

He's built to deliver — 14 career starts now, the nation's best receiver in Jeremiah Smith, and a roster that opens the year as a national-title favorite. The forward question isn't whether Sayin is good; the nation-leading numbers settled that. It's whether the quiet accuracy becomes a closer's resume — and whether the next time the season comes down to one game, the result flips.

How he plays

Sayin's 2025 wasn't just good, it was statistically absurd: he finished in the 99th percentile nationally in completion percentage, in expected points per dropback, and in success rate — the three numbers that matter most, all at the ceiling. The game looks easy because he plays it fast and clean; he was sacked on barely 1.5% of his dropbacks, top-five in the country at getting the ball out. He isn't a gunslinger pushing it deep — his average throw was middle-of-the-pack in air yards — he's a precision machine who takes exactly what the defense gives and never gives it back. The honest questions trail every efficient passer in a loaded offense: at 6-1 he doesn't tower, and with Jeremiah Smith outside, skeptics ask how much is him. In Ohio State's attack he's the conductor — and 2026 is the year he answers the doubt the only way a quarterback can, by carrying a title himself.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to C.J. Stroud’s 2021 season.

C.J. Stroud

58%match

Ohio State · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 2
#2

Dante Moore

Oregon · 2025

All-Big Ten
48%
#3

Bo Nix

Oregon · 2023

47%
#4

Caleb Williams

USC · 2023

47%
#5

Bailey Zappe

Western Kentucky · 2021

All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
45%

Matches C.J. on

Weight
INT rate

Differs from C.J. on

Height (lower)
Completion % (higher)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Bo Nix’s path through Oregon.

Bo Nix

66%match

Oregon · 2023

#2

Justin Fields

Ohio State · 2020

All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 11
65%
#3

Kyle Trask

Florida · 2020

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 32
55%
#4

C.J. Stroud

Ohio State · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 2
55%
#5

Trinidad Chambliss

Ole Miss · 2025

55%

Matches Bo on

Yards per attempt
Height

Differs from Bo on

Completion % (higher)

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Aidan O'Connell's sophomore season at Purdue (2021).

Aidan O'Connell

47%match

Purdue · 2021

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
#2

Quinn Ewers

Texas · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 7
45%
#3

Byron Young

Alabama · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 7
42%
#4

C.J. Stroud

Ohio State · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 2
41%
#5

Jake Haener

Fresno State · 2021

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 4
38%

Matches Aidan on

Completion %

Differs from Aidan on

Rush yards / carry (higher)
Height (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Julian SayinOhio StateCarson BeckMiami· 83% simJacob ClarkMissouri State· 79% simJalen KitnaUAB· 74% sim
Completion %
100
Sayin
99
Beck
73
Clark
79
Kitna
Pass TDs
98
Sayin
96
Beck
93
Clark
55
Kitna
Yards / att
95
Sayin
81
Beck
90
Clark
57
Kitna
Pass yards
95
Sayin
98
Beck
88
Clark
64
Kitna
Fumbles lost
91
Sayin
91
Beck
66
Clark
91
Kitna
Interceptions
32
Sayin
5
Beck
10
Clark
10
Kitna
Rush TDs
9
Sayin
39
Beck
49
Clark
9
Kitna
Rush yards
8
Sayin
31
Beck
15
Clark
8
Kitna

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#5 in market ▼ from #3 · 5 books

+10009.1% implied