cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Drake Lindsey /Minnesota

Drake Lindsey

QB · Minnesota · Fr · #5

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Drake Lindsey steps into Max Brosmer's shoes — the gap is the story.

2,382PASS YDS18PASS TD-119RUSH YDS

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-38

perception vs production percentile · 2025

The name carries 72nd-percentile weight; the snaps grade out 34th. The gap is the open question.

Read the story so far

Drake Lindsey arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at QB for Minnesota.

On the field, the headline is 2,382 pass yds, with 18 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Max Brosmer (2-star).

The number to watch: -38 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith
  • Inherited fromMax Brosmer 2★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • perception vs production percentile · 2025
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Minnesota

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Minnesota player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Minnesota · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #41 · 2026 recruiting class #49

QB · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN

Drake Lindsey

  • 1
  • #5
  • 6-5 | 230 lb
  • Fayetteville, AR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

50

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#577

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Aura tax +38aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 71st percentile of QBs; the tape says 34th — more hype than the tape.
Aura — fan perception71st pctl
Production — on-field34th pctl
n=15 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing
In Their Words 178 windows · 2025 fan posts
lot×41.0certainly×116.3learned×348.8drinking×697.6friday×697.6lindsey×697.6offseason×52.3gophers×4185.7

“Gophers quarterback Drake Lindsey apologizes for offseason arrest: “I’ve certainly grown a lot from them and learned a lot.””

board · fan post, verbatim

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
50.02024
2,3822025

+4664%

Up 4664% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#873 national
CFB
College
Minnesota
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey5
Measurements6-5 | 230 lb
HometownFayetteville, AR
Primary teamMinnesota

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 873 recruit
Composite rating 0.8717 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Fayetteville Fayetteville, AR, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8717 No. 873 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#577Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#648Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2382).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8717

#873 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Drake Lindsey

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

54

Reading The Room

Sample 14 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 19 mentions · belief +21 · "Per The Pioneer Press - Gophers Quarterback Drake Lindsey Arrested In Arkansas, "Own fansRivals: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "[/r/LonghornNation](/r/LonghornNation) Daily Off Topic Free Talk Thread ========"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=19
  • Rivals · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Drake Lindsey

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

TD : INT ratio

3.0

ratio

P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts

National rank #22 of 72
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts 70th

Why it matters

#22 of 72 P4 + Notre Dame QBs at 3.0 TDs per INT (389 attempts).

Vs cohort

This player 3.0 (70th)

HIGH · n=389 cohort 72

  • Also strong
  • Total weighted-EPA passing#41 / 58
  • Completion %#42 / 72
  • Passing yards (total)#43 / 72

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 13g
2,382Pass yards
18Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
183.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Final
2,382Pass yards
18Pass TDs
6INT

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Drake Lindsey's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Minnesota, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #577 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 53.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,382 18 TD | 6 INT | #71/382 (82nd pct)
Completion rate 63.2% 246/389 completions | #162/383 (58th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.1 Explosiveness through the air | #254/382 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
246 90th
ATT
389 92nd
CMP%
63.2% 58th
Y/A
6.1 34th

Passing Production

YDS
2,382 82nd
TD
18 88th
INT
6 28th

Rushing

CAR
34 61st
YDS
-119 1st
YPC
-3.5 4th
TD
4 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 23-10vs Buffalo19/35290218.344.3
Wk 2W 66-0vs Northwestern State8/91391015.496.1
Wk 3L 14-27@ California19/32205116.465.3
Wk 5W 31-28vs Rutgers31/41324307.975.9Season-high 324 yds
Wk 6L 3-42@ Ohio State15/2694003.670.1
Wk 7W 27-20vs Purdue21/45232215.234.5
Wk 8W 24-6vs Nebraska16/20153107.793.8
Wk 9L 3-41@ Iowa16/28109033.94.33 INTs — rough day
Wk 10W 23-20vs Michigan State26/39197005.157.4
Wk 12L 13-42@ Oregon19/32138104.364.3
Wk 13L 35-38@ Northwestern20/30264408.886.04 TD passes
Wk 14W 17-7vs Wisconsin18/2490103.859.4
BowlW 20-17vs New Mexico18/28147205.354.7
Total246/38923821866.662.0
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota24638963.2%2,3826.1186126.9----
2024Minnesota4580.0%5010.010230.0----
Career2 loaded seasons25039463.5%2,4326.2196128.2----
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota34-119-3.54--
2024Minnesota166.00--
Career2 loaded seasons35-113-3.24--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -119 4 rush TD | #406/408 (1st pct)
Usage 53.3% 95.6% pass share | 3.7% rush share | #52/428 (88th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.24 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #118/200 (42nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,382 #71/382 82nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 18 #49/407 88th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 246 #40/383 90th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 63.2% #162/383 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.1 #254/382 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -119 #406/408 1st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.24 #118/200 42nd pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 376 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 53.3% #52/428 88th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 389 #34/407 92nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 6 #294/407 28th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 34 #162/408 61st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #376/391 4th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -3.5 #393/407 4th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 95.6% #18/428 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 66.5% #65/428 85th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 65.2% #66/428 85th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 51.9% #22/428 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 49.3% #88/428 80th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 47.0% #52/428 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 3.7% #310/428 28th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home8g1961.57.30.2
Road5g1621.25.40.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins8g1961.57.30.2
Losses5g1621.25.40.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2041.67.40.4
Weeks 8+6g1581.25.60.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

50Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: rush yards (1st).

Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Pass TDs#49 / 183 · 72nd pct
18pass
Pass yards#71 / 183 · 61st pct
2382pass
Rush TDs#67 / 183 · 59th pct
4rush
Interceptions#70 / 183 · 56th pct
6pass
Completion %#80 / 183 · 56th pct
63.2%pass
Yards / att#150 / 183 · 16th pct
6.1pass
Rush yards#181 / 183 · 1st pct
-119rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

123/206 (59.7%) · 6 TD · 3 INT

Short

0–9 yds
54%of completions
66 comp5.6 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
33%of completions
40 comp12.8 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
14%of completions
17 comp32.4 yds avg4 TD

Overall 59.7% completion on 206 attempts · 17 deep completions averaging 32.4 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.240
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Drake LindseyMinnesotaNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 84% simJaron-Keawe SagapoluteleCalifornia· 81% simMiller MossLouisville· 75% sim
Fumbles lost
91
Lindsey
66
Vattiato
91
Sagapolutele
38
Moss
Pass TDs
72
Lindsey
64
Vattiato
72
Sagapolutele
64
Moss
Pass yards
61
Lindsey
57
Vattiato
90
Sagapolutele
71
Moss
Rush TDs
59
Lindsey
39
Vattiato
59
Sagapolutele
86
Moss
Interceptions
56
Lindsey
44
Vattiato
22
Sagapolutele
44
Moss
Completion %
56
Lindsey
41
Vattiato
64
Sagapolutele
64
Moss
Yards / att
16
Lindsey
13
Vattiato
46
Sagapolutele
49
Moss
Rush yards
1
Lindsey
27
Vattiato
1
Sagapolutele
5
Moss

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tanner McKee’s 2022 season.

Tanner McKee

66%match

Stanford · 2022

NFL Rd 6
#2

Jack Plummer

California · 2022

64%
#3

Maalik Murphy

Duke · 2024

63%
#4

Hayden Wolff

Old Dominion · 2022

60%
#5

Hayden Wolff

Old Dominion · 2021

59%

Matches Tanner on

Yards / attempt
Height

Differs from Tanner on

Rush yards / carry (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Rush usage (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Parker McKinney’s path through Eastern Kentucky.

Parker McKinney

88%match

Eastern Kentucky · 2023

#2

Derek Robertson

Monmouth · 2025

79%
#3

Evan Bullock

Louisiana Tech · 2025

All-Conference USA
78%
#4

Matthew Caldwell

Troy · 2024

78%
#5

Jalon Jones

Charlotte · 2023

77%

Matches Parker on

Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Maalik Murphy's sophomore season at Duke (2024).

Maalik Murphy

53%match

Duke · 2024

#2

Jacob Sirmon

Central Michigan · 2021

52%
#3

Tanner McKee

Stanford · 2021

NFL Rd 6
51%
#4

Jalen Kitna

UAB · 2024

51%
#5

Hayden Wolff

Old Dominion · 2022

50%

Differs from Maalik on

Class year (lower)
INT rate (lower)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

P.J. Fleck

Pass share

51.7%

397 pass / 371 run

Plays / game

59.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota

Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFayetteville, AR
Height6'5"
Weight230 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Minnesota QB1 #577 #648 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Minnesota Big Ten QB 1 No. 5 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Fayetteville, AR
2024 Minnesota Big Ten QB 1 No. 5 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Fayetteville, AR