cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Javon Tracy /Minnesota

Javon Tracy

WR · Minnesota · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

454 REC YDS · 37 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Minnesota

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Minnesota player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Minnesota · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #41 · 2026 recruiting class #49

WR · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN

Javon Tracy

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • Indianapolis, IN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4995

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
3312023
4542025

+37%

Up 37% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1385 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownIndianapolis, IN
Primary teamMinnesota

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1385 recruit
Composite rating 0.8456 HighSchool
Signed with Miami (OH) 2022
Origin Decatur Central Indianapolis, IN, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8456 No. 1385 recruit | HighSchool | Miami (OH)

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Minnesota 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 15, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Miami (OH) -> Minnesota 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4995Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5515Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Miami (OH)

Composite

0.8456

#1385 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Javon Tracy

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Javon Tracy

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

6

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #55 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 90th

Why it matters

#55 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 6 TDs on 37 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 6 (90th)

HIGH · n=37 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#271 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#251 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 13 at Northwestern — 3 receiving_tds

Result L 35-38

The week the volume broke through — stacked 3 td at Northwestern.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
454Rec yards
37Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
37.8Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
491.8Rec yards
40Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 454): needs 246/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 454): needs 546/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 37): needs 23/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 37): needs 43/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Javon Tracy already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4995 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 37 6 rec TD | #212/1110 (81st pct)
Receiving yards 454 12.3 per catch | #252/1107 (77th pct)
Scrimmage yards 469 Total offensive yardage | #252/1107 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
37 81st
YDS
454 77th
YPR
12.3 53rd
TD
6 95th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
15 58th
YPC
15.0 95th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-10vs Buffalo37123.7035
Wk 2W 66-0vs Northwestern State14545.0145
Wk 3L 14-27@ California23417.0025
Wk 5W 31-28vs Rutgers6549.0127
Wk 7W 27-20vs Purdue44912.3019
Wk 8W 24-6vs Nebraska273.505
Wk 9L 3-41@ Iowa2126.008
Wk 10W 23-20vs Michigan State7618.7035
Wk 12L 13-42@ Oregon11010.0110
Wk 13L 35-38@ Northwestern48721.8330Season-high 87 yds
Wk 14W 17-7vs Wisconsin393.007
BowlW 20-17vs New Mexico2157.509
Total3745414.0645
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Miami (OH)11-3HC: Chuck Martin · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota3745412.36--
2023Miami (OH)2133115.81--
Career2 loaded seasons5878513.57--
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota115------
2023Miami (OH)----------
Career2 loaded seasons115------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.4% 15.2% pass-game share | #236/1137 (79th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 37 #212/1110 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 454 #252/1107 77th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.3 #517/1106 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.2% #236/1137 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #106/346 70th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 15 #169/397 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 15.0 #19/393 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 45 #344/1105 69th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.3% #148/1137 87th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.8% #326/1137 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.7% #142/1137 88th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.4% #187/1137 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.2% #136/1137 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.9% #464/1137 59th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.4% #312/1137 73rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g3.538.914.10.2
Road4g2.235.813.71.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g3.538.914.10.2
Losses4g2.235.813.71.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.044.719.10.3
Weeks 8+6g3.231.08.80.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (86th).

Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Receptions#212 / 558 · 62nd pct
37rece
Rec yards#252 / 558 · 55th pct
454rece
Rush yards#135 / 287 · 53rd pct
15rush
Long catch#300 / 558 · 45th pct
45rece
Yards / catch#317 / 558 · 42nd pct
12.3rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Javon TracyMinnesotaDevin MccuinUTSA· 82% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 79% simGriffin WildeNorthwestern· 79% sim
Rec TDs
87
Tracy
95
Mccuin
92
Faupel
95
Wilde
Receptions
62
Tracy
93
Mccuin
90
Faupel
97
Wilde
Rec yards
55
Tracy
84
Mccuin
79
Faupel
92
Wilde
Rush yards
53
Tracy
47
Mccuin
32
Wilde
Long catch
45
Tracy
60
Mccuin
65
Faupel
55
Wilde
Yards / catch
42
Tracy
30
Mccuin
24
Faupel
44
Wilde
Rush TDs
39
Tracy
39
Mccuin
39
Wilde

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Jump-Ball Target

Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Khafre Brown’s 2023 season.

Khafre Brown

78%match

South Florida · 2023

#2

Kyric McGowan

Georgia Tech · 2021

78%
#3

E. Jai Mason

Charlotte · 2025

76%
#4

Colin Chase

Temple · 2025

76%
#5

Marcell Barbee

Texas State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
70%

Matches Khafre on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Reception volume

Differs from Khafre on

Recruiting rating (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyndon Fuselier’s path through Lamar.

Kyndon Fuselier

98%match

Lamar · 2025

#2

Julius Young

Lafayette · 2022

94%
#3

Jeremiah Webb

South Alabama · 2024

94%
#4

Malik Murray

East Tennessee State · 2021

93%
#5

Adrian Hardy

Louisiana Tech · 2020

All-Conference USA
93%

Matches Kyndon on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Richie Hoskins's junior season at Vanderbilt (2025).

Richie Hoskins

72%match

Vanderbilt · 2025

#2

Jake Thaw

Delaware · 2025

69%
#3

Brian Casteel

Nevada · 2022

69%
#4

Langston Lewis

Central Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
68%
#5

Geordon Porter

New Mexico · 2022

68%

Matches Richie on

Height
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Richie on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

P.J. Fleck

Pass share

51.7%

397 pass / 371 run

Plays / game

59.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota

Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIndianapolis, IN
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-MAC all_conference Miami | MAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Miami (OH) WR3 #4995 #5515 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Miami (OH) WR3 #963 #900 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Miami (OH) WR3 #4967 #5209 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Minnesota Big Ten WR 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2024 Miami (OH) Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2023 Miami (OH) Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2022 Miami (OH) Mid-American WR 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Indianapolis, IN