cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kamuela Ka'aihue /UNLV

Kamuela Ka'aihue

LB · UNLV · Jr · #43

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

23 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · UNLV

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (15 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UNLV · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #51 · 2026 recruiting class #95

LB · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST

Kamuela Ka'aihue

  • 3
  • #43
  • 6-2 | 240 lb
  • Papaikou, HI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12353

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1758 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey43
Measurements6-2 | 240 lb
HometownPapaikou, HI
Primary teamUNLV

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1758 recruit
Composite rating 0.8361 HighSchool
Signed with Arizona 2023
Origin Roosevelt Honolulu, HI, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8361 No. 1758 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UNLV 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Arizona -> UNLV 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12353Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12311Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Arizona

Composite

0.8361

#1758 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kamuela Ka'aihue

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kamuela Ka'aihue

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
23Tackles
2Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
27Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 23): needs 28.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 23): needs 38.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 2.8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 4.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kamuela Ka'aihue is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UNLV's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12353 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 23 12 solo | #1813/4942 (63rd pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
23 63rd
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
0.5 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-31vs Idaho State100.50.00
Wk 1W 38-21@ Sam Houston331.00.00
Wk 2W 30-23vs UCLA210.00.00
Wk 4W 41-38@ Miami (OH)110.00.00
Wk 6W 31-17@ Wyoming310.00.00
Wk 7W 51-48vs Air Force400.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 8L 31-56@ Boise State100.00.00
Wk 11W 42-10@ Colorado State330.00.00
Wk 12W 29-26vs Utah State100.00.00
Wk 13W 38-10vs Hawai'i330.00.00
Wk 14W 42-17@ Nevada100.50.50
Total23122.00.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Arizona10-3HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2024Arizona4-8HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV23122.00.5------
2024Arizona1140.50.0------
2023Arizona1550.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons49212.50.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 23 #1813/4942 63rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.10.00.0
Road6g2.00.20.10.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g2.20.20.10.0
Losses1g1.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.30.20.00.0
Weeks 8+5g1.80.10.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

37Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Tackles#1813 / 2975 · 38th pct
23defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Kamuela Ka'aihueUNLVTyler MartinMassachusetts· 61% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 61% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 58% sim
Sacks
51
Ka'aihue
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
89
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
47
Ka'aihue
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
85
Montgomery
Solo tackles
40
Ka'aihue
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
82
Montgomery
Tackles
38
Ka'aihue
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
Ka'aihue
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Montgomery
Passes defended
18
Ka'aihue
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
67
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Domanick Moon’s 2025 season.

Domanick Moon

85%match

Western Michigan · 2025

#2

Datona Jackson

Indiana · 2023

84%
#3

Datona Jackson

Indiana · 2022

84%
#4

Derrick Bean

Arkansas State · 2020

82%
#5

Wesley Steiner

Auburn · 2021

81%

Matches Domanick on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Stearns's junior season at San José State (2025).

Justin Stearns

91%match

San José State · 2025

#2

Domanick Moon

Western Michigan · 2025

91%
#3

Hansky Paillant

App State · 2022

87%
#4

Gabe Powers

Kansas State · 2025

86%
#5

Stanquan Clark

Louisville · 2025

85%

Matches Justin on

Class year
Sack rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Mullen

Pass share

46.5%

423 pass / 487 run

Plays / game

65.0

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

283 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Barry Odom
UNLV
2024
Barry Odom
UNLV
2025
Dan Mullen
UNLV
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Barry Odom → Dan Mullen. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPapaikou, HI
Height6'2"
Weight240 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey43

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona LB3 #12353 #12311 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Arizona LB3 #8948 #8513 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UNLV Mountain West LB 3 No. 43 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Papaikou, HI
2024 Arizona Big 12 LB 3 No. 43 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Papaikou, HI
2023 Arizona Pac-12 LB 3 No. 43 | 6-2 | 240 lb | Papaikou, HI