Florida International beats Long Island University 20-3

Long Island University0-53
Florida International2-220Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Fla. · Crowd 17,003ESPN+

Florida International beat Long Island University 20-3.

We had Florida International favored. It won.

Next: Long Island University beat Mercyhurst 27-24, Sat Oct 3

Next: Florida International beat New Mexico State 22-3, Wed Oct 7

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Florida International a 91% chance, and the closing betting line (Florida International was a 37.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Florida International led by 7 after the first quarter and by 11 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+17+17

Favored the whole way: Florida International never fell below 98%.

Long Island University never had better than a 2% chance.

FinalFlorida International 20-3 Long Island UniversityFlorida International wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won20-3Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won20-3Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost3-20Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost3-20Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Florida International’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Florida International -37.5), at 99% for Florida International (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Florida International scored on 4 of its 8 drives; Long Island University on 1 of its 8.

Florida International’s drives are teal, Long Island University’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Florida International: Interception, from 65 yards out to 22InterceptionLong Island University: Punt, from 53 yards out to 48PuntFlorida International: Touchdown, from 86 yards out to 0TouchdownLong Island University: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 29Field goalQ2Florida International: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownLong Island University: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58PuntFlorida International: Missed field goal, from 35 yards out to 28Missed FGLong Island University: Missed field goal, from 72 yards out to 21Missed FGFlorida International: End of half, from 79 yards out to 75End of halfQ3Long Island University: Interception, from 75 yards out to 3InterceptionFlorida International: Field goal, from 99 yards out to 8Field goalLong Island University: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntFlorida International: Field goal, from 73 yards out to 20Field goalQ4Long Island University: Punt, from 75 yards out to 81PuntFlorida International: Punt, from 56 yards out to 50PuntLong Island University: Uncategorized, from 87 yards out to 89Uncategorized

Box score

Florida International 20, Long Island University 3

Long Island University covered +37.5 by 20.5. The total, 23, stayed under 54.5.

Long Island UniversityFlorida InternationalTotal yardsLong Island University 209Florida International 394209394Passing yardsLong Island University 109Florida International 227109227Rushing yardsLong Island University 100Florida International 167100167First downsLong Island University 11Florida International 181118TurnoversLong Island University 1Florida International 111Time of possessionLong Island University 27:31Florida International 32:2927:3132:29
Team totalsLong Island UniversityFlorida International
Total yards209394
Passing9 of 20, 109 yds12 of 21, 227 yds
Rushing34 for 100 yds39 for 167 yds
First downs1118
Third down3 of 149 of 14
Fourth down3 of 31 of 1
Turnovers11
Penalties3 for 36 yds7 for 58 yds
Time of possession27:3132:29

Long Island University leaders

  • Passing Luca Stanzani 9 of 20, 109 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Chris Howell 4 for 23 yds; Josiah Brown 1 for 21 yds
  • Receiving Josiah Brown 2 for 56 yds; Evan Brooks 2 for 24 yds

Florida International leaders

  • Passing J.J. Kohl 6 of 11, 135 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Anthony Carrie 14 for 71 yds; Devonte Lyons 10 for 36 yds
  • Receiving Maguire Anderson 3 for 58 yds; Tyson Carter 2 for 54 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

86° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 6 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 17

September game-day temperatures at Pitbull Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Florida International favoredLong Island University favored100%Win chanceFlorida InternationalRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Florida International favoredLong Island University favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:43 left6:04 p.m.
Long Island University 0, Florida International 0 · Florida International 99% to win
no rain · wind 7 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 15 · 86°
Carrie 6-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Miami International Airport, 4.5 miles away, and Miami/kendall-tamia airport, 8.4 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Long Island University · 0-4

Rated 178th in our preseason ratings, 230th now.

4 straight losses.

L 13-35 vs UAlbany #192 of 668

lost by 22 as a 2.5-point underdog

Long Island University lost 13-35 vs UAlbany. Chance to win started at 44%, low under 1%, high 45%.

Last three games

Florida International · 1-2

Rated 124th in our preseason ratings, 122nd now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Florida International

Wk 1: L 9-19 at South Florida▼10South FloridaWk 2: W 33-20 vs Buffalo▲13BuffaloWk 3: L 10-16 at Florida Atlantic▼6Florida Atlantic
  • Wk 1Lat South Florida9-19
  • Wk 2Wvs Buffalo33-20
  • Wk 3Lat Florida Atlantic10-16

Long Island University

Wk 1: L 21-42 at North Dakota▼21North DakotaWk 1: L 6-51 at Kansas▼45KansasWk 2: L 13-35 vs UAlbany▼22UAlbanyWk 3: L 16-20 vs Villanova▼4Villanova
  • Wk 1Lat North Dakota21-42
  • Wk 1Lat Kansas6-51
  • Wk 2Lvs UAlbany13-35
  • Wk 3Lvs Villanova16-20

Power rating by week

Florida International is rated 5.7 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-3-7-10Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3Florida InternationalLong Island University

The series

Florida International leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2021 · Florida International won the last meeting

  • 2021Florida International 48-10

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Florida International’s chances here.

50-50Model · 91%Line · 100%Long Island UniversityFlorida International

Florida International favored by 37.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Florida International by 37.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Florida International.

opened −35.5now −37.5

The total rose 4 points.

opened 50.5now 54.5

Spread: −35.5 → −37.5 · Total: 50.5 → 54.5

The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 86° at kickoff.

Long Island University at Florida International · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Pitbull Stadium, Miami

  • 86°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 84weather score, Mixed
  • 2ndbest of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Pitbull Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 90, against 84 at 6 pm.

  • noon: 68, Rough
  • 12:45 pm: 66, Rough
  • 2 pm: 64, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 66, Rough
  • 4 pm: 69, Rough
  • 5 pm: 76, Mixed
  • 6 pm: 84, Mixed (this game)
  • 7 pm: 90, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Florida International is worth +4.1 points (±4.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 51st percentile.

39% at home, 23% on the road against FBS opponents (15-23 home, 10-34 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.4 at home vs. away over 89 games — inside the ±7.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,111 miles to get here.

Where next