North Dakota beats Long Island University 42-21
Team pages: Long Island University · North Dakota
North Dakota beat Long Island University 42-21. Share this game
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave North Dakota a 71% chance, and the closing betting line (North Dakota was a 27.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
North Dakota led by 22 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.
Favored the whole way: North Dakota never fell below 98%.
Long Island University never had better than a 1% chance.
North Dakota 42-21 Long Island University
North Dakota wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Long Island University 21-42 North DakotaLong Island University lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (North Dakota -27.5), at 99% for North Dakota (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
North Dakota scored on 6 of its 13 drives; Long Island University on 3 of its 12.
North Dakota’s drives are teal, Long Island University’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
North Dakota 42, Long Island University 21
Long Island University covered +27.5 by 6.5. The total, 63, went over 44.5.
Long Island University leaders
- Passing Luca Stanzani 12 of 16, 173 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Nathan Gray 8 for 27 yds; Nasir Hennigan 4 for 14 yds
- Receiving Boakai Veikei 1 for 65 yds, 1 TD; Josiah Brown 2 for 41 yds
North Dakota leaders
- Passing Jerry Kaminski 17 of 21, 232 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Charles Langama 12 for 51 yds, 1 TD; Matt Lawson 10 for 46 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Caleb Goodloe 5 for 118 yds, 1 TD; Korey Tai 2 for 73 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Long Island University · 6-6
Rated 178th in our preseason ratings.
W 24-17 vs Wagner #236 of 667
won by 7 as a 10-point favorite
W 10-3 @ Saint Francis #254 of 667
won by 7 as a 14-point favorite
W 29-11 vs Duquesne #178 of 667
won by 18 as a 7-point underdog
L 7-10 @ Central Connecticut #191 of 667
lost by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 38-16 vs New Haven #261 of 667
won by 22 as a 10-point favorite
W 17-7 vs Robert Morris #252 of 667
won by 10 as a 9.5-point favorite
L 13-22 @ Mercyhurst #240 of 667
lost by 9 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 3-10 @ Stonehill #246 of 667
lost by 7 as a 6-point favorite
L 7-28 @ Rhode Island #132 of 667
lost by 21 as a 16.5-point underdog
L 21-24 vs Sacred Heart #234 of 667
lost by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 28-23 @ Eastern Michigan #154 of 667
won by 5 as a 21.5-point underdog
L 0-55 @ FloridaTop 25 #12 of 667
lost by 55 as a 46.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
North Dakota · 8-6
Rated 123rd in our preseason ratings.
L 13-31 @ Tarleton State #62 of 667
W 31-6 @ Tennessee Tech #122 of 667
won by 25 as a 2-point favorite
L 31-34 vs South Dakota State #120 of 667
lost by 3 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 35-17 @ Murray State #266 of 667
won by 18 as a 34-point favorite
L 10-15 vs North Dakota State #56 of 667
lost by 5 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 21-26 @ South Dakota #139 of 667
lost by 5 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 46-17 vs Indiana State #233 of 667
won by 29 as a 30-point favorite
W 38-19 @ Southern Illinois #144 of 667
won by 19 as a 3-point favorite
W 35-17 vs Youngstown State #173 of 667
won by 18 as a 9-point favorite
W 35-7 @ Northern Iowa #227 of 667
won by 28 as a 15-point favorite
W 58-7 vs Valparaiso #263 of 667
won by 51 as a 44-point favorite
L 23-24 @ Montana #119 of 667
lost by 1 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 50-20 vs Portland State #233 of 667
won by 30 as a 36.5-point favorite
L 35-38 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #38 of 667
lost by 3 as a 27.5-point underdog
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on North Dakota’s chances here.
North Dakota favored by 27.5 · Total 44.5
How games like this usually go
North Dakota by 27.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
Home field
North Dakota is worth +10.4 points (±6.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
50% at home, 14% on the road against FBS opponents (3-3 home, 2-12 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.2 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±7.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 1,254 miles to get here.