CFB Zeitgeist Score
66
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 80th percentile.
Bill Davis
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
763 RUSH YDS · 6 RUSH TD · 158 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Louisiana for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Louisiana
Returning around him
- 57% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Louisiana player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (5 in / 7 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Louisiana · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #91 · 2026 recruiting class #81
RB · LOUISIANA · SUN BELT
Bill Davis
- 2
- #7
- 5-9 | 235 lb
- Laplace, LA
Heisman Heat
#199
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2023
Louisiana · RB
—
2024
Louisiana · RB
—
★
2025
Louisiana · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+304%
Up 304% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Louisiana
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (763).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Bill Davis
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Bill Davis
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
763Rush yards
158Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
58.7Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
763Rush yards
158Carries
6Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 763.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Bill Davis already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
158 92nd
YDS
763 90th
YPC
4.8 56th
TD
6 89th
Receiving
REC
10 61st
YDS
79 62nd
YPR
7.9 60th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 12-14vs Rice | 11 | 58 | 5.3 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 2 | W 34-10vs McNeese | 19 | 132 | 6.9 | 2 | 36 | Season-high 132 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 10-52@ Missouri | 6 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 4 | L 31-34@ Eastern Michigan | 11 | 78 | 7.1 | 1 | 45 | |
| Wk 5 | W 54-51vs Marshall | 14 | 45 | 3.2 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 7 | L 14-24@ James Madison | 9 | 21 | 2.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | L 10-22vs Southern Miss | 14 | 62 | 4.4 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 9 | L 23-35@ Troy | 9 | 16 | 1.8 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 10 | W 31-22@ South Alabama | 11 | 56 | 5.1 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | W 42-39vs Texas State | 18 | 87 | 4.8 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 13 | W 34-30@ Arkansas State | 11 | 57 | 5.2 | 1 | 36 | |
| Wk 14 | W 30-27vs UL Monroe | 15 | 126 | 8.4 | 1 | 76 | |
| Bowl | L 13-20@ Delaware | 10 | 24 | 2.4 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 158 | 763 | 4.4 | 6 | 76 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Louisiana6-7HC: Michael Desormeaux · Run-leaning
2024Louisiana10-4HC: Michael Desormeaux · Run-leaning
2025Louisiana6-7HC: Michael Desormeaux · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 763 | #72/735 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 6 | #83/739 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.8 | #326/735 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 10 | #217/552 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 79 | #207/548 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | -0.01 | #352/362 | 3rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 133 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 19.8% | #96/738 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 158 | #58/739 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 76 | #32/733 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 26 | #157/540 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.9 | #218/548 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 31.9% | #105/738 | 86th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 24.3% | #92/738 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 22.4% | #97/738 | 87th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 20.9% | #84/738 | 89th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.8% | #72/738 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.2% | #196/738 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.4% | #199/738 | 73rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 85.0 | 5.5 | 0.7 |
| Road7g | 36.1 | 3.4 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 83.8 | 5.6 | 0.8 |
| Losses7g | 37.1 | 3.4 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 51.3 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 67.3 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
66Solid starter
Elite: long run (91st). Strength: carries (83rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing-0.01Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Bill DavisLouisianaQuinton JacksonRice· 89% simCaleb KomolafeNorthwestern· 86% simJalen BuckleyWestern Michigan· 86% sim
Long run
Carries
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Benjamin Hall’s 2025 season.
Benjamin Hall
61%match
#2
Jordan Fuller
NFL Rd 6
59%
#3
Carson Smith
55%
#4
Malcom Davidson
58%
#5
Gideon Ituka
58%
Matches Benjamin on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Differs from Benjamin on
Height (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Receiving share (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Larry Rountree III’s path through Missouri.
Larry Rountree III
98%match
All-SECNFL Rd 6
#2
Chuba Hubbard
All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
96%
#3
Andrew Body
93%
#4
Kierre Crossley
92%
#5
Gerrid Doaks
All-AACNFL Rd 7
89%
Matches Larry on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Benjamin Hall's junior season at North Carolina (2025).
Benjamin Hall
70%match
#2
Jake Rendina
61%
#3
Lew Nichols
59%
#4
Jordan Fuller
NFL Rd 6
56%
#5
Bryan Bradford
56%
Matches Benjamin on
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Receiving share
Differs from Benjamin on
Yards / reception (higher)
Height (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Michael Desormeaux
Pass share
40.1%
341 pass / 509 run
Plays / game
65.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
257 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Michael Desormeaux
Louisiana
2024
Michael Desormeaux
Louisiana
2025
Michael Desormeaux
Louisiana
Played his entire career under Michael Desormeaux.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLaplace, LA
Height5'9"
Weight235 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLouisiana
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Louisiana | Sun Belt | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.