Next game: at Troy
Louisiana Tech’s best edge on Troy is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Louisiana Tech offense against Troy defense
Troy offense against Louisiana Tech defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.27 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 106 / 149 | 71.1 | 1327 | 8.9 | 13 #41 FBS | 1 | 173.4 | 60 | 51.9 | 8.8 | 10.2 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Starter — 149 pass attempts, 58 carries and 2 catches in 7 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Baker operates within the system without forcing anything. Robinson is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.2 88th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %72.1% 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Blake Baker's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.03 EPA/play | 2 | 7 | 50 / 76 | 65.8 | 494 | 6.5 | 4 | 2 | 132.5 | 47 | 55.9 | 6.3 | 1.3 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.05 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 94 | 365 | 3.9 | 2 | 37 | 14.9 | 6.8 | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Starter — 94 carries and 8 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Burnette just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Wilder is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Weight225 lb 92th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception3.9 bottom 10th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Andrew Burnette's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.71 EPA/play | 11 | 8 | 43 | 618 #39 FBS | 14.4 | 4 #70 FBS | 75 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Impact starter — 43 catches and 7 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Mickens wins underneath on volume and route precision. Little is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume43 93th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)44.0 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jalen Mickens's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.51 EPA/play | 84 | 8 | 41 | 477 | 11.6 | 5 #39 FBS | 29 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Impact starter — 41 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Finley shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Jr. is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception12.9 71th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume41 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Eli Finley's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.90 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 19 | 247 | 13 | 2 | 35 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Little is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception14.7 64th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marcus Calwise Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.47 EPA/play | 86 | 6 | 17 | 231 | 13.6 | 1 | 27 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Shettron moves the chains on third down. Little is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception12.9 bottom 44th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume17 bottom 24th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Talyn Shettron's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.07 EPA/play | 47 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 1 | 27 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.71 EPA/play | 87 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 7 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 44 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Kaleb Coleman's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 93 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate8.3% bottom 28th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jacob Bradford's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 92 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2.5 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate27.3% 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Lane Condry's full player page | |||||||
| 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 98 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 54 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | |
| 91 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 90 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 24 | 8 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 13 #4 FBS | 7 #7 FBS | 2 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 58 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume58 88th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate12.1% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Alonzo Jackson Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 22 | 8 | 52 | 18 | 34 | 9 #31 FBS | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 52 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume52 79th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate17.3% 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jadon Mayfield's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 8 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 48 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume48 72th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate14.6% 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kolbe Fields's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 21 | 8 | 47 | 17 | 30 | 8 #50 FBS | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 47 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Zheric Hill's full player page | |||||||||
| 40 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 1 | 8 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 43 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume43 83th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Sam Fongang's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 16 | 8 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 39 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.3% 62th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Taeden Rogers's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | — | 8 | 38 | 4 | 3 #16 FBS | 0 | 0 |
Centerfielder· Takeaway threatSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — 38 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.5% 64th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jordan McRae's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 7 | 28 | 9 #4 FBS | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 28 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate32.1% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Janard Lockhardt's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 2 #51 FBS | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 26 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.7% bottom 50th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kam Franklin's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 13 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View MJ Moultrie II's full player page | |||||||
| 20 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 6 | 2/6 | 33.3 | 23/23 | 29 | 25 | |
| 31 | 6 | 3/7 | 42.9 | 5/7 | 14 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 29 | 8 | 27 | 1178 | 43.6 | 67 | 9 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.65 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 9 | 174 | 19.3 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 0 | 19 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.65 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 9 | 121 | 13.4 | 1 | 58 |
Biggest plays from Louisiana Tech’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Louisiana Tech’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q2, 4:15 · Louisiana Tech breaks the tieDylone Brooks runs 72 yards for a touchdownArmy at Louisiana Tech, week 5Q2, 4:15 · Louisiana Tech 14, Army 77272-yard touchdown run7272-yard touchdown run72-yard touchdown runD.Brooks rush middle for 72 yards gain to the AWP00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference- Q3, 11:47 · Louisiana Tech down 1, takes the leadMarcus Calwise Jr. finds Dylone Brooks for a 74-yard touchdownArmy at Louisiana Tech, week 5Q3, 11:47 · Louisiana Tech 22, Army 157474-yard touchdown pass7474-yard touchdown pass74-yard touchdown passDylone Brooks 74 yd pass from Marcus Calwise Jr. (Trey Kukuk Pass to Jalen Mickens for Two-Point Conversion)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
Q4, 11:34 · Louisiana up 5D'Wayne' Winfield finds Kedarius Wade for a 45-yard touchdownLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, week 6Q4, 11:34 · Louisiana 31, Louisiana Tech 19▲23%Louisiana’s chance to win, 67% to 90%▲23%Louisiana’s chance to win, 67% to 90%L.Winfield pass complete deep left to K.Wade caught at TECH10, for 45 yards to the TECH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q3, 5:01 · Louisiana Tech down 4S. Snider fumbles and Louisiana recoversLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, week 6Q3, 5:01 · Louisiana Tech 13, Louisiana 177Louisiana Tech’s turnover led to a touchdown7Louisiana Tech’s turnover led to a touchdownLouisiana Tech’s turnover led to a touchdownS.Snider rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ULL21 fumbled by S.Snider at ULL21 forced by F.West Jr. recovered by ULL F.West Jr. at ULL21, End Of Play▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q3, 9:51 · Louisiana down 3, takes the leadJJ Garner runs 20 yards for a touchdownLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, week 6Q3, 9:51 · Louisiana 17, Louisiana Tech 1391Capped a 91-yard drive91Capped a 91-yard driveCapped a 91-yard driveJ.Garner rush middle for 20 yards gain to the TECH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q3, 1:50 · Louisiana up 4Trenton Chaney runs 25 yards for a touchdownLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, week 6Q3, 1:50 · Louisiana 24, Louisiana Tech 13▲13%Louisiana’s chance to win, 68% to 81%▲13%Louisiana’s chance to win, 68% to 81%T.Chaney rush left for 25 yards gain to the TECH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
Louisiana Tech lost 2 of 8 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was against Louisiana, down to 3%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Louisiana Tech during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Louisiana Tech
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Louisiana TechAlonzo Jackson Jr. leads Louisiana Tech with 58 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+14 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Louisiana Tech fields a capable explosive, big-play offense behind an elite defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Louisiana Tech reads strongest in field position (O) (top 6%) and red-zone defense (top 7%); the crux lives in rushing EPA, where Louisiana Tech sits at the 17th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Louisiana Tech is worth +7.5 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile of 133 programs
62% at home, 29% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (24-15 home, 15-37 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Louisiana Tech has beaten the number by +3.5 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±5.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Joe Aillet Stadium seats 28,019 and has averaged 62% full (17,302, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 346 miles to get here since 2018 — 50th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 25% of the 2026 roster (27 of 109 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeAndrew Burnette sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
- Deep threatEli Finley is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Andrew Burnette and Dylone Brooks split the carries (75/94 vs 19/94) -- but Dylone Brooks leads on every measured axis. This isn't a split role, it's a hierarchy with a change-of-pace back behind it.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Jalen Mickens (WR) and Eli Finley (TE) split the targets (57/106 vs 49/106) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jalen Mickens produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Louisiana Tech actually scores
60th percentile quality, 47th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Louisiana Tech’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 32nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 81st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Louisiana Tech hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
26th percentile success on standard downs, 79th on passing downs — a 53-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Louisiana Tech by half
1st-half offense ranks 65th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 45th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Louisiana Tech’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.14; 62nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.60 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Louisiana Tech’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Louisiana Tech’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.6% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 203-play sample) — mid-pack, 112 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Louisiana Tech’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.2% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 159-play sample) — mid-pack, 87 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
29% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~52% league baseline.
2 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 7 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
27% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~18% league average.
11 interceptions of 41 disrupted passes (30 deflected, 11 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
51 penalties committed, 63 drawn on opponents — netting a 142-yard field-position edge.
444 penalty yards committed vs. 586 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Louisiana Tech
Most similar programs · Louisiana TechReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Louisiana Tech’s slide has precedent — and 1 of the 4 closest kept falling.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Weather
Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA
Usual during the game around Nov 13: 59°, between 46° and 71° in about 7 in 10 games (27 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 70°, and 8 in 10 ran between 53° and 84° (47 of 61 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.