Louisiana Tech

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Sun Belt · Sonny Cumbie, year 5 (20-32) · Joe Aillet Stadium · 28,019 · 13,108 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#80 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #80 (-3.8) · FPI #94
The marketBaylor by 19.5at Baylor · our model 22% Louisiana Tech · a number, not a pick

LastL 14–45 at LSU · Sat Sep 12 · Alonzo Jackson Jr. 3 sacks, 3.5 TFL, 12 tackles

Nextat Baylor · Sat Sep 19 · 4 pm ET · McLane Stadium · Baylor by 19.5 · series 1-5, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
47.0
Pts allowed/game
25.5
Total yards/gm#111 / 138 · 20th pct
334.0
Rush yards/gmT-#117 / 138 · 15th pct
114.5
Pass yards/gmT-#82 / 138 · 41st pct
219.5
Yards allowed/gmT-#71 / 138 · 49th pct
328.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#69 / 138 · 50th pct
116.5
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#5 / 115 · 91st pct
4
3rd-down convT-#73 / 138 · 46th pct
40.0%
All 79 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
668334.0/gm5.86/play#111 / 138 · 20th pct#64 / 70 · 9th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
657328.5/gm4.50/playT-#71 / 138 · 49th pctT-#50 / 70 · 29th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
229114.5/gm2.01/playT-#117 / 138 · 15th pctT-#61 / 70 · 13th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
233116.5/gm1.60/play#69 / 138 · 50th pct#50 / 70 · 29th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6834.0/gmT-#88 / 138 · 35th pctT-#45 / 70 · 36th pctT-#10 / 14 · 29th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
8944.5/gmT-#124 / 138 · 10th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
42.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 54th pctT-#34 / 70 · 44th pctT-#7 / 14 · 50th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#107 / 138 · 18th pctT-#62 / 70 · 8th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
439219.5/gm3.85/playT-#82 / 138 · 41st pctT-#52 / 70 · 26th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
424212.0/gm2.90/playT-#76 / 138 · 45th pctT-#47 / 70 · 33rd pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4623.0/gmT-#112 / 138 · 18th pctT-#62 / 70 · 11th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5728.5/gmT-#56 / 138 · 58th pctT-#34 / 70 · 50th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3115.5/gmT-#102 / 138 · 25th pctT-#58 / 70 · 16th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3216.0/gmT-#43 / 138 · 67th pctT-#26 / 70 · 60th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
73.5/gmT-#11 / 138 · 91st pctT-#9 / 70 · 84th pct#1 / 14 · 96th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#1 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
180.4180.4#16 / 115 · 87th pct#15 / 60 · 76th pct#1 / 13 · 96th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp
120.9120.9#40 / 91 · 57th pct#26 / 42 · 39th pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 70 · 53rd pctT-#4 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#123 / 138 · 7th pctT-#65 / 70 · 5th pctT-#11 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 70 · 78th pctT-#4 / 14 · 71st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#127 / 138 · 7th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
2412.0/gmT-#2 / 138 · 99th pct#2 / 70 · 98th pctT-#1 / 14 · 93rd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
136.5/gmT-#109 / 138 · 18th pctT-#63 / 70 · 9th pctT-#10 / 14 · 29th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3115.5/gmT-#121 / 138 · 11th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#53 / 138 · 61st pctT-#39 / 70 · 44th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
105.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 44th pctT-#42 / 70 · 35th pctT-#3 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
126.0/gmT-#91 / 138 · 30th pctT-#52 / 70 · 24th pctT-#8 / 14 · 39th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2512.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 45th pctT-#34 / 70 · 49th pctT-#5 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3517.5/gmT-#122 / 138 · 11th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
10.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 29th pctT-#44 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#8 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 70 · 61st pctT-#4 / 14 · 54th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 70 · 44th pctT-#6 / 14 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 74th pctT-#10 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#5 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
50:4325:22/gm#133 / 138 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
69:1734:38/gm#124 / 138 · 11th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.20 EPA/play5221 / 356036010.34
#36 FBS
1178.415.2
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.93 EPA/play1129234
#16 FBS
262
#24 FBS
75
+0.35 EPA/play84266711.2129

2026 stat leaders · Louisiana Tech

through 2 games

Jalen Mickens leads Louisiana Tech with 234 receiving yards through 2 games.

1. Jalen Mickens WR 234 receiving yards
2. Alonzo Jackson Jr. LB 16 tackles
3. Sam Fongang DB 15 tackles
4. Jordan McRae DB 12 tackles
5. Zheric Hill LB 11 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Louisiana Tech fields a limited run-heavy offense behind an elite, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
33rd pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
63% run plays
Defense
86th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
11th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Louisiana Tech · 2025

Louisiana Tech reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 13%) and epa allowed (top 14%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Louisiana Tech sits at the 11th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.13
33rd
Success Rate +0.40
29th
Explosive Plays +1.20
25th
Rushing EPA +0.12
53rd

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.05
86th
Success Rate Allowed +0.37
83rd
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.37
11th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.14
83rd

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.19
28th
Rushing EPA Allowed -0.01
87th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Louisiana Tech · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Louisiana Tech is worth +7.9 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile of 133 programs

58% at home, 27% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (21–15 home, 13–36 away). Interval ±3.8.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Louisiana Tech has beaten the number by +5.9 more at home than away over 72 games — inside the ±6.8 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Joe Aillet Stadium seats 28,019 and has averaged 61% full (17,015, 24 games reported). Visitors cover a median 346 miles to get here since 2018 — 50th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 25% of the 2026 roster (27 of 109 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 45 home games since 2018.

Home21–15Away13–36Edge+7.9 ±3.8Visitor trip346 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Louisiana Tech’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Defense: Luke Olson (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 37% → 2026: 42% · 5-pt range · #180 of 203 · less than most
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Louisiana Tech

CFB Zeitgeist

#80

-0.9

SP+

#80

-3.8

FPI

#94

-6.6

Elo

#88

1405

The national models put Louisiana Tech between 80th and 94th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 80th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Louisiana Tech

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Louisiana Tech’s slide has precedent — and 1 of the 4 closest kept falling.

Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.

Ball State 1997–2002
clawed back
Tulsa 1967–1972
clawed back
Nevada 1998–2003
clawed back
Bowling Green 1977–1982
kept sliding

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

74°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 68 home games with weather data.

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