No. 11 LSU routs No. 23 Clemson 51-10 Team pages: Clemson · LSU
CLEM Clemson 0-1 10 LSU No. 11 LSU1-0 51 Final No. 11 LSU routed No. 23 Clemson 51-10. Share this game
We had Clemson favored. LSU won.
Top comment in the game thread
It's okay you guys, Leavitt just didn't want to complete 5 passes this early in the game out of respect for Jayden Daniels.
Q1 14:30 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 5 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave LSU a 41% chance, and the closing betting line (LSU was a 10-point favorite) put it at 79%.
Pick-six LSU · Q1 2:07Final LSU 51-10 Clemson LSU won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Clemson 10-51 LSU Clemson lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 LSU Won 51-10 Scores Pick-six LSU Clemson LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 10 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 11 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 10 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 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90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 LSU Won 51-10 Scores Pick-six LSU Clemson LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 10 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 11 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 10 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 15 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute 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See it from Clemson’s side No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 14:30 Leavitt throws early interception, sparking chaos and hatewatching in the thread Quoted at the top of the page. Q1 2:07 Ross intercepts Vizzina for a touchdown as LSU fans celebrate the pick-six Ooooh this may get ugly r/CFB game thread LSU’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (LSU -10), at 83% for LSU (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a LSU or Clemson flair (1,784 and 1,193); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Kickoff came 2 hours 10 minutes late. Thunder was reported at Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport (8.9 miles away) from 5:40 p.m. to 6:03 p.m., around the delay. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show LSU’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 14:30 Leavitt intercepted by Hampton at the LSU 34 Q1, 14:30 · LSU 0, Clemson 0 ▼9% LSU’s chance to win, 83% to 74% ▼9% LSU’s chance to win, 83% to 74% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q1, 2:07 Vizzina intercepted by Ross at the Clemson 30 and returned for a TD LSU leads 17-3 Q1, 2:07 · LSU 17, Clemson 3 ▲5% LSU’s chance to win, 90% to 95% ▲5% LSU’s chance to win, 90% to 95% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 1:10 Leavitt 13-yd TD run LSU leads 31-3 Q2, 1:10 · LSU 31, Clemson 3 31-3 score after the play 31-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 0:35 Reynolds sacked for a 6-yd loss Q2, 0:35 · LSU 31, Clemson 3 31-3 score after the play 31-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 14:21 Reynolds sacked for a 11-yd loss Q3, 14:21 · LSU 31, Clemson 3 31-3 score after the play 31-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 8:21 Leavitt 32-yd TD pass to Watkins LSU leads 38-3 Q3, 8:21 · LSU 38, Clemson 3 38-3 score after the play 38-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 3:24 Jones 12-yd TD run LSU leads 44-3 Q3, 3:24 · LSU 44, Clemson 3 44-3 score after the play 44-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 6:43 Clark 30-yd TD pass to Wright; unsportsmanlike conduct on LSU LSU leads 51-3 Q4, 6:43 · LSU 51, Clemson 3 51-3 score after the play 51-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 3:13 Eziomume 11-yd TD run cuts it to 51-10 Q4, 3:13 · LSU 51, Clemson 10 51-10 score after the play 51-10 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive LSU scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Clemson on 2 of its 13.
LSU’s drives are teal, Clemson’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 LSU: Interception, from 75 yards out to 67 Interception Clemson: Field goal, from 33 yards out to 31 Field goal LSU: Field goal, from 90 yards out to 31 Field goal Clemson: Punt, from 80 yards out to 51 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 89 yards out to 0 Touchdown Clemson: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 79 yards out to 75 Interception TD Clemson: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75 Punt Q2 LSU: Missed field goal, from 66 yards out to 30 Missed FG Clemson: Punt, from 70 yards out to 67 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0 Touchdown Clemson: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68 Punt LSU: Punt, from 66 yards out to 39 Punt Clemson: Punt, from 91 yards out to 88 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 51 yards out to 0 Touchdown Clemson: End of half, from 75 yards out to 74 End of half Q3 Clemson: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0 Touchdown Clemson: Punt, from 75 yards out to 65 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0 Touchdown Clemson: Punt, from 75 yards out to 59 Punt LSU: Punt, from 84 yards out to 39 Punt Q4 Clemson: Punt, from 88 yards out to 87 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0 Touchdown Clemson: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0 Touchdown LSU: End of game, from 75 yards out to 24 End of game “On the second play of the game!” A Clemson fan When fans got loud Busy
The jump was busy; the crowd was loud.
First Second Third Fourth LSU fans Clemson fans usual Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
LSU fans
lane “Bro lane with the “imagine if we had pro players” half time interview *insane*”
Clemson fans
dabo “Thank god, it's over. Please let the Dabo era be over after tonight, this was brutal to watch.”
least “Put Tate in! Vizzina is not playing well but his O line is playing like a wet blanket, we need a QB who can at least somewhat scramble out.”
look “Look, we may not be able to run the ball, throw the ball, stop the run, or stop the pass but”
former “Dabo started hiring all of his former players as coaches instead of the likes of Tony Elliott, Brent Venables and Jeff Scott. They can’t coach.”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: getting, coach, start, put.
What it cost Clemson’s chance to make the playoff fell from 13% to 9%.
Make the playoff
Clemson · lost 13% → ▼ 9% 13% ▼ 9%
LSU · won 19% → ▲ 23% 19% ▲ 23%
Win the conference
Clemson · lost 8% → ▼ 7% 8% ▼ 7%
LSU · won 2% → 2%
Before the game (September 4, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score LSU 51, Clemson 10
LSU covered −10 by 31. The total, 61, went over 48.5.
Clemson LSU Total yards Clemson 145 LSU 644 145 644 Passing yards Clemson 105 LSU 335 105 335 Rushing yards Clemson 40 LSU 309 40 309 First downs Clemson 8 LSU 37 8 37 Turnovers Clemson 1 LSU 1 1 1 Time of possession Clemson 23:51 LSU 36:09 23:51 36:09 Team totals Clemson LSU Total yards 145 644 Passing 14 of 22, 105 yds 22 of 36, 335 yds Rushing 26 for 40 yds 58 for 309 yds First downs 8 37 Third down 1 of 13 11 of 16 Fourth down 0 of 0 1 of 1 Turnovers 1 1 Penalties 5 for 41 yds 6 for 75 yds Time of possession 23:51 36:09
Clemson leaders Passing Christopher Vizzina 10 of 16, 83 yds, 1 INTRushing Jarvis Green 4 for 21 yds; Gideon Davidson 7 for 20 ydsReceiving T.J. Moore 4 for 31 yds; Bryant Wesco Jr. 2 for 29 ydsLSU leaders Passing Sam Leavitt 16 of 28, 230 yds, 1 TD, 1 INTRushing Sam Leavitt 12 for 113 yds, 2 TD; Dilin Jones 23 for 113 yds, 2 TDReceiving Winston Watkins 7 for 110 yds, 1 TD; Phillip Wright III 3 for 70 yds, 1 TDKickoff came 2 hours 10 minutes late 76° at kickoff · no rain during play; another 0.08 in fell before the late kickoff · wind 3 mph from the northeast, gusts to 8
Thunder was reported at Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport (8.9 miles away) from 5:40 p.m. to 6:03 p.m., around the delay.
September game-day temperatures at Tiger Stadium (LA)
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 LSU favored Clemson favored 100% Win chance LSU Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Thunder reported Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 LSU favored Clemson favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Thunder reported Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:49 left8:42 p.m.
Clemson 0, LSU 0 · LSU 83% to win
no rain · wind 1 mph from the north-northwest · 76°
Leavitt 8-yd pass to Wilson
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport, 8.9 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Clemson’s passing EPA against LSU, 94 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Clemson’s EPA/play against LSU’s defense
91 points weaker stronger 50th Clemson offense, 8th percentile · LSU defense, 99th
Clemson’s passing EPA against LSU’s defense
94 points weaker stronger 50th Clemson offense, 5th percentile · LSU defense, 99th
Clemson’s explosive plays against LSU’s defense
66 points weaker stronger 50th Clemson offense, 17th percentile · LSU defense, 83rd
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Clemson LSU
EPA/play, offense
Clemson · 8 LSU · 82 EPA/play, defense
Clemson · 80 LSU · 99 Success rate, offense
Clemson · 8 LSU · 95 Success rate, defense
Clemson · 63 LSU · 97 Explosive-play rate, offense
Clemson · 17 LSU · 34 Explosive-play rate, defense
Clemson · 78 LSU · 83 Rush EPA, offense
Clemson · 34 LSU · 50 Rush EPA, defense
Clemson · 43 LSU · 76 Pass EPA, offense
Clemson · 5 LSU · 88 Pass EPA, defense
Clemson · 91 LSU · 99 The series LSU leads the series 4-1
5 meetings since 1958 · LSU has won the last 2
2025 LSU 17-10 LSU won 17-10 at Clemson. Chance to win started at 34%, low 11%, high 92%. 2019 · neutral site LSU 42-25 LSU won 42-25 vs Clemson. Chance to win started at 64%, low 29%, high better than 99%. The 2019 game and what was said 2012 · neutral site Clemson 25-24 1996 · neutral site LSU 10-7 1958 · neutral site LSU 7-0 Each line is LSU’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Clemson fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (33rd among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
50-50 Line · 79% LSU fans · 1st Clemson LSU Model · 41% Line · 79% LSU fans · 1st Clemson fans · 33rd LSU favored by 10 · Total 48.5
How games like this usually go LSU by 10, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market The spread moved 1.5 points toward Clemson.
opened −11.5 now −10 The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Warm and dry. Feels like 81° at kickoff.
Clemson at LSU · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge
81°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 84weather score, Mixed 2nd best of the day's 7 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Tiger Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 96, against 84 at 6 pm.
Harsh
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 50 Rough 47 Harsh 46 Harsh 50 Rough 54 Rough 84 Mixed 96 Comfortable
11 am noon 2:30 pm 3:15 pm 4 pm 6 pm 7 pm
11 am: 50, Rough noon: 47, Harsh 2:30 pm: 46, Harsh 3:15 pm: 50, Rough 4 pm: 54, Rough 6 pm: 84, Mixed (this game) 7 pm: 96, Comfortable Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field LSU is worth +7.1 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 92nd percentile.
82% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (42-9 home, 19-19 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 568 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages Our History pages cover 2 of their meetings since 2020.