cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / CJ Williams /Stanford

CJ Williams

WR · Stanford · Sr · #3

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

CJ Williams is a cornerstone for Stanford — measured against the line he joined.

757REC YDS60REC6REC TD

STRAIGHT 100-YD REC GAMES

3

longest 2025 run of 100+ receiving yds

Read the story so far

CJ Williams arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.73 recruit nationally. He lines up at WR for Stanford.

On the field, the headline is 757 rec yds, with 60 rec.

He inherited the WR job from Elic Ayomanor (3-star).

The number to watch: 3 — straight 100-yd rec games.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromElic Ayomanor 3★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • longest 2025 run of 100+ receiving yds
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Jacksonville — Rd 6, Pick 22, #203 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

#203Rd 6 · Pick 22
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

WR · STANFORD · ACC

CJ Williams

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-1 | 205 lb
  • Mission Viejo, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#777

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
34.02022
1482023
2482024
7572025

+2126%

Up 2126% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#73 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-1 | 205 lb
HometownMission Viejo, CA
Primary teamStanford

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 73 recruit
Composite rating 0.9706 HighSchool
Signed with USC 2022
Origin Mater Dei Santa Ana, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9706 No. 73 recruit | HighSchool | USC

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#777Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1082Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (757).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to USC

Composite

0.9706

#73 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on CJ Williams

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Stanford Football: Reflections with CJ Williams &nbsp;&nbsp; Stanford Cardinal"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief -100 · "Meanwhile three former Badgers were selected: - WR Skyler Bell (Round 4, pick 12"RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about CJ Williams

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

757

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #77 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 86th

Why it matters

#77 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 757 yards on 60 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 757 (86th)

HIGH · n=60 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#249 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#55 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 5 vs San José State — 138 receiving_yards_total

Result W 30-29

The week the volume broke through — put up 138 yds vs San José State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
757Rec yards
60Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
63.1Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
820.1Rec yards
65Receptions
6Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 757.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 757): needs 243/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 60.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 60): needs 20/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

CJ Williams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Stanford, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #777 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 73 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 60 6 rec TD | #61/1110 (95th pct)
Receiving yards 757 12.6 per catch | #83/1107 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 757 Total offensive yardage | #83/1107 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
60 95th
YDS
757 93rd
YPR
12.6 56th
TD
6 95th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 20-23@ Hawai'i33010.0016
Wk 2L 3-27@ BYU4317.8013
Wk 3W 30-20vs Boston College111.001
Wk 4L 20-48@ Virginia910311.4029
Wk 5W 30-29vs San José State1213811.5024Season-high 138 yds
Wk 7L 10-34@ SMU710915.6136
Wk 8W 20-13vs Florida State46115.3128
Wk 9L 7-42@ Miami11111.0011
Wk 10L 20-35vs Pittsburgh712217.42352 TD catches
Wk 11L 15-20@ North Carolina66110.2124
Wk 13W 31-10vs California57615.2134
Wk 14L 20-49vs Notre Dame11414.0014
Total6075711.7636
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
2023Wisconsin7-6HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2024Wisconsin5-7HC: Luke Fickell · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford6075712.66--
2024Wisconsin1624815.52--
2023Wisconsin151489.90--
2022USC4348.50--
Career4 loaded seasons951,18712.58--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 12.0% 22.4% pass-game share | #51/1137 (96th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 60 #61/1110 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 757 #83/1107 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.6 #486/1106 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 22.4% #51/1137 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 36 #512/1105 54th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 18.4% #17/1137 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 15.3% #44/1137 96th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.6% #43/1137 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 12.0% #39/1137 97th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.6% #105/1137 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.8% #109/1137 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g5.068.712.40.7
Road6g5.057.511.00.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g5.569.010.80.5
Losses8g4.860.112.20.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g6.068.79.50.2
Weeks 8+6g4.057.513.80.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

70Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (88th). Strength: rec tds (86th). Concern: long catch (23rd).

Receptions#61 / 558 · 89th pct
60rece
Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Rec yards#83 / 558 · 85th pct
757rece
Yards / catch#297 / 558 · 46th pct
12.6rece
Long catch#425 / 558 · 23rd pct
36rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
CJ WilliamsStanfordGermie BernardAlabama· 91% simJosh CameronBaylor· 86% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 85% sim
Receptions
89
Williams
93
Bernard
96
Cameron
96
Waseem
Rec TDs
87
Williams
92
Bernard
97
Cameron
78
Waseem
Rec yards
85
Williams
91
Bernard
92
Cameron
84
Waseem
Yards / catch
46
Williams
57
Bernard
46
Cameron
21
Waseem
Long catch
23
Williams
39
Bernard
52
Cameron
42
Waseem

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Hudson’s 2025 season.

Jordan Hudson

93%match

SMU · 2025

All-ACC
#2

Kawaan Baker

South Alabama · 2020

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 7
78%
#3

Rashee Rice

SMU · 2020

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 24
77%
#4

Cam Johnson

Northwestern · 2023

78%
#5

Javon Baker

UCF · 2022

NFL Rd 4
77%

Matches Jordan on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.

DeVontres Dukes

100%match

South Florida · 2020

#2

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

98%
#3

Richie Hoskins

Vanderbilt · 2025

94%
#4

Kawaan Baker

South Alabama · 2020

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 7
93%
#5

Caden Burti

UAlbany · 2025

93%

Matches DeVontres on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Hudson's senior season at SMU (2025).

Jordan Hudson

95%match

SMU · 2025

All-ACC
#2

Keandre Lambert

Penn State · 2023

78%
#3

Elijhah Badger

Arizona State · 2023

77%
#4

Cortez Braham

Memphis · 2025

74%
#5

Josh Cameron

Baylor · 2025

All-Big 12NFL Rd 6
72%

Matches Jordan on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Frank Reich

Pass share

50.4%

391 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

64.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
David Shaw
Stanford
2023
Troy Taylor
Stanford
era →
2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025
Frank Reich
Stanford
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: David Shaw, Troy Taylor, and Frank Reich. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMission Viejo, CA
Height6'1"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wisconsin WR4 #777 #1082 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Wisconsin WR4 #1912 #2038 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 USC WR4 #1598 #1201 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Stanford ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Mission Viejo, CA
2024 Wisconsin Big Ten WR 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Mission Viejo, CA
2023 Wisconsin Big Ten WR 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Mission Viejo, CA
2022 USC Pac-12 WR 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Mission Viejo, CA