13th-best USC tenure of 17 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Offense vs. talent
+24.6 pts
#22 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
-42.9 pts
#207 of 208 · less than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Followed Clay Helton (2013–2021).
Roster construction · portal era
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Portal arrivals
76
3.4★ avg rating
Portal departures
127
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-51
#73 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Bear Alexander On3 modeled · $1,500,000Jayden Maiava On3 modeled · $1,500,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 234 lbs
across 64 of 76 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+4.7 lbs
#99 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Sr
#37 of 255 · more than most
Top states: CA (20), AZ (5), TX (4), PA (3), FL (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
66.5
position-weighted
Talent lost
67.1
position-weighted
Net
-0.6
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Caleb Williams (QB) from Oklahoma
Biggest loss: Jaxson Dart (QB) to Ole Miss
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Josh Henson → Luke Huard · 2025the system held
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 52.0% → 42.2% (-9.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 37% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: D'Anton Lynn / co-Eric Henderson → Gary Patterson · 2026
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
218 lbs
6′2″ avg · #245 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
207 lbs
5′10″ avg · #401 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
196 lbs
6′0″ avg · #263 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
247 lbs
6′4″ avg · #298 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
317 lbs
6′5″ avg · #101 of 779 · more than most
D-line
295 lbs
6′4″ avg · #164 of 753 · more than most
Linebacker
232 lbs
6′2″ avg · #218 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
192 lbs
6′0″ avg · #293 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
199 lbs
6′1″ avg · #134 of 346 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
86%
#160 of 188 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
85%
#185 of 223 stints
Postseason detail2022: Lost to Tulane 45–46 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic2023: Beat Louisville 42–28 DIRECTV Holiday Bowl2024: Beat Texas A&M 35–31 SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl2025: Lost to TCU 27–30 Valero Alamo Bowl
20 NFL Draft picks: Drake London (2022), Drake Jackson (2022), Keaontay Ingram (2022), Jordan Addison (2023), Tuli Tuipulotu (2023), Mekhi Blackmon (2023), Andrew Vorhees (2023), Caleb Williams (2024) + 12 more
7 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Caleb Williams (2022), Tuli Tuipulotu (2022), Andrew Vorhees (2022), Zachariah Branch (2023), Eddie Czaplicki (2024), Bishop Fitzgerald (2025), Makai Lemon (2025)