cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryce Farrell /Stanford

Bryce Farrell

WR · Stanford · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

447 REC YDS · 28 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Stanford for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Stanford

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Stanford players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (6 in / 12 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Stanford · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #46 · 2026 recruiting class #56

WR · STANFORD · ACC

Bryce Farrell

  • 4
  • #11
  • 5-10 | 175 lb
  • Thousand Oaks, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3279

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
1312021
1922023
4472025

+241%

Up 241% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#499 national
CFB
College
Stanford
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements5-10 | 175 lb
HometownThousand Oaks, CA
Primary teamStanford

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 499 recruit
Composite rating 0.8822 HighSchool
Signed with Stanford 2020
Origin Oaks Christian Westlake Village, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8822 No. 499 recruit | HighSchool | Stanford

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3279Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3427Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Stanford

Composite

0.8822

#499 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryce Farrell

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "That’s true. Take a look at the passing leaders in the FCS last season. You have"National
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryce Farrell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

16.0

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #69 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 87th

Why it matters

#69 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.0 yards per reception (28 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 16.0 (87th)

MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#261 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 at Virginia — 135 ypr

Result L 20-48

The week the volume broke through — put up 135 yds at Virginia.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
447Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
37.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
484.2Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 447): needs 253/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 447): needs 553/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 28): needs 32/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryce Farrell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Stanford, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3279 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 23 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 28 2 rec TD | #303/1110 (73rd pct)
Receiving yards 447 16.0 per catch | #258/1107 (77th pct)
Scrimmage yards 467 Total offensive yardage | #258/1107 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
28 73rd
YDS
447 77th
YPR
16.0 82nd
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
5 78th
YDS
20 66th
YPC
4.0 47th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
19 24th
KR AVG
19.0 48th
PR YDS
4 10th
PR AVG
4.0 23rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 20-23@ Hawai'i
Wk 2L 3-27@ BYU56813.6026
Wk 3W 30-20vs Boston College57214.4040
Wk 4L 20-48@ Virginia413533.8168Season-high 135 yds
Wk 5W 30-29vs San José State36321.0050
Wk 7L 10-34@ SMU24321.5031
Wk 8W 20-13vs Florida State
Wk 9L 7-42@ Miami2115.508
Wk 10L 20-35vs Pittsburgh4215.3010
Wk 11L 15-20@ North Carolina11919.0019
Wk 13W 31-10vs California
Wk 14L 20-49vs Notre Dame2157.519
Total2844715.7268
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Stanford3-9HC: David Shaw · Balanced, slow tempo
2022Stanford3-9HC: David Shaw · Balanced
2023Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Balanced
2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford2844716.02--
2024Stanford----------
2023Stanford221928.71--
2022Stanford----------
2021Stanford141319.41--
Career5 loaded seasons6477012.04--
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford520194--
2024Stanford2511----
2023Stanford216220334--
2022Stanford----200-1--
2021Stanford186846--
Career5 loaded seasons299550183--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 10.9% pass-game share | #450/1137 (61st pct)
Return yards 23 0 return TD | #182/238 (24th pct)
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 28 #303/1110 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 447 #258/1107 77th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.0 #205/1106 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 19 #182/238 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 4 #203/224 10th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 10.9% #450/1137 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 20 #135/397 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 7 #212/346 39th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 5 #90/407 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #211/393 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 68 #109/1105 90th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 19.0 #123/236 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 4.0 #173/222 23rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.6% #420/1137 63rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.4% #213/1137 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.3% #290/1137 75th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.7% #300/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.2% #277/1137 76th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.6% #677/1137 41st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.7% #122/1137 89th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.328.512.10.2
Road6g2.346.018.70.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.033.817.70.0
Losses8g2.539.015.20.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.263.520.90.2
Weeks 8+6g1.511.09.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

58Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (83rd). Strength: long catch (81st).

Yards / catch#90 / 558 · 84th pct
16.0rece
Long catch#100 / 558 · 81st pct
68rece
Rush yards#111 / 287 · 61st pct
20rush
Rec yards#258 / 558 · 54th pct
447rece
Receptions#303 / 558 · 44th pct
28rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Bryce FarrellStanfordKyre DuplessisDelaware· 72% simCorey RuckerArkansas State· 71% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 71% sim
Yards / catch
84
Farrell
59
Duplessis
65
Rucker
84
McMillan
Long catch
81
Farrell
81
Duplessis
85
Rucker
65
McMillan
Rush yards
61
Farrell
60
Duplessis
55
Rucker
Rec yards
54
Farrell
91
Duplessis
97
Rucker
96
McMillan
Receptions
44
Farrell
92
Duplessis
98
Rucker
90
McMillan
Rec TDs
42
Farrell
78
Duplessis
68
Rucker
57
McMillan
Rush TDs
39
Farrell
39
Duplessis
39
Rucker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Taye Barber’s 2021 season.

Taye Barber

80%match

TCU · 2021

#2

Blair Conwright

North Texas · 2023

79%
#3

Jesiah Irish

Oregon State · 2023

76%
#4

Money Parks

Utah · 2022

75%
#5

Monaray Baldwin

Baylor · 2023

75%

Matches Taye on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Taye on

Weight (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Neno Lemay’s path through Nicholls.

Neno Lemay

98%match

Nicholls · 2023

#2

Antwan Davis

Ball State · 2020

96%
#3

Ian Duarte

Idaho State · 2025

96%
#4

Squirrel White

Tennessee · 2024

All-SEC
95%
#5

Kyrese Rowan

Utah State · 2024

94%

Matches Neno on

Yards per reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Frank Reich

Pass share

50.4%

391 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

64.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
David Shaw
Stanford
2022
David Shaw
Stanford
2023
Troy Taylor
Stanford
era →
2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025
Frank Reich
Stanford
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: David Shaw, Troy Taylor, and Frank Reich. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownThousand Oaks, CA
Height5'10"
Weight175 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Stanford WR4 #3279 #3427 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Stanford WR4 #1970 #2742 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Stanford WR4 #4405 #4803 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Stanford WR4 #1840 #2051 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Stanford ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Thousand Oaks, CA
2024 Stanford ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Thousand Oaks, CA
2023 Stanford Pac-12 WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Thousand Oaks, CA
2022 Stanford Pac-12 WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Thousand Oaks, CA
2021 Stanford Pac-12 WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Thousand Oaks, CA