1st-best Clemson tenure of 10 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and outperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Offense vs. talent
+4.0 pts
#92 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+22.3 pts
#21 of 208 · more than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Roster construction · portal era
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Portal arrivals
17
3.1★ avg rating
Portal departures
64
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-47
#179 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Will Heldt On3 modeled · $1,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 232 lbs
across 14 of 17 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+4.4 lbs
#108 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Jr
#168 of 255 · a typical amount
Top states: FL (4), IN (2), AL (2), GA (2), NC (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
48.1
position-weighted
Talent lost
60.9
position-weighted
Net
-12.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Paul Tyson (QB) from Arizona State
Biggest loss: DJ Uiagalelei (QB) to Oregon State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Chad Morris → co-Jeff Scott / co-Tony Elliott · 2015
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 41.9% → 39.9% (-2.0 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 86% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: co-Jeff Scott / co-Tony Elliott → Tony Elliott · 2020the offense collapsed across the change
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 43.0% → 46.6% (+3.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 76% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Tony Elliott → Brandon Streeter · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 41.0% → 46.2% (+5.2 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 46% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Brandon Streeter → Garrett Riley · 2023
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 46.2% → 46.2% (+0.0 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 55% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Garrett Riley → Garrett Riley / co-Kyle Richardson / co-Matt Luke · 2025
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 54.6% → 51.4% (-3.3 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 83% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Garrett Riley / co-Kyle Richardson / co-Matt Luke → Chad Morris / co-Kyle Richardson / co-Matt Luke · 2026
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 51.4% → 50.0% (-1.4 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 41% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Brent Venables → co-Mickey Conn / Wes Goodwin · 2022the system held
2-season window either side.
DC: co-Mickey Conn / Wes Goodwin → Tom Allen / co-Nick Eason · 2025the defense slipped
2-season window either side.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
222 lbs
6′3″ avg · #129 of 767 · more than most
Running back
214 lbs
5′11″ avg · #163 of 791 · more than most
Wide receiver
196 lbs
6′1″ avg · #265 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
243 lbs
6′5″ avg · #451 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
311 lbs
6′4″ avg · #311 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
300 lbs
6′3″ avg · #96 of 753 · more than most
Edge
260 lbs
6′4″ avg · #57 of 188 · a typical amount
Linebacker
231 lbs
6′1″ avg · #270 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
191 lbs
6′0″ avg · #364 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
200 lbs
6′0″ avg · #93 of 346 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.