CFB Zeitgeist Score
71
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 100th percentile.
Jerome Carter
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
76 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Old Dominion for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Safety · Old Dominion
Returning around him
- 74% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (15 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Old Dominion · Last season: 10-3 · Talent rank #122 · 2026 recruiting class #102
S · OLD DOMINION · SUN BELT
Jerome Carter
- 2
- #12
- 6-1 | 190 lb
- Lake City, FL
Heisman Heat
#14229
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Old Dominion
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8083 | No. 2464 recruit | HighSchool | Old Dominion |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Old Dominion
Composite
0.8083
#2464 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jerome Carter
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jerome Carter
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
76Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
76Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jerome Carter is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Old Dominion's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and 6 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
76 96th
SOLO
37 93rd
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
2 64th
INT
6 100th
FF
1 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-27@ Indiana | 11 | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 54-6vs North Carolina Central | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 45-26@ Virginia Tech | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | W 21-7vs Liberty | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 47-7vs Coastal Carolina | 12 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 12 tackles |
| Wk 7 | L 24-48@ Marshall | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-63@ James Madison | 12 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-21vs App State | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 31-6@ UL Monroe | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 33-0vs Troy | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 45-10@ Georgia Southern | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-10vs Georgia State | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 24-10@ South Florida | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Total | 76 | 37 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 6 | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Old Dominion10-3HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | 76 | 37 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 76 | 37 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 76 | #192/4942 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 2.5 | #1236/4972 | 75th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 6 | #2/869 | 100th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 2 | #792/2184 | 64th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 2 | #647/1878 | 66th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 57 | #87/578 | 85th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 37 | #303/4584 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 9.5 | #375/578 | 35th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Forced fumbles | 1 | #8/45 | 84th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 6.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses3g | 10.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 6.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 4.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort
71Solid starter
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: forced fumbles (96th). Concern: sacks (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · S · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jerome CarterOld DominionBlake FletcherAir Force· 86% simAndon ThomasArmy· 83% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 77% sim
Interceptions
Forced fumbles
Tackles
Solo tackles
QB hurries
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamel Johnson’s 2024 season.
Jamel Johnson
83%match
#2
Durante Jones
76%
#3
Jacquez Warren
76%
#4
Terry Jones Jr.
74%
#5
Alex Cook
74%
Matches Jamel on
Height
Tackle volume
Class year
Differs from Jamel on
Weight (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Kaj Sanders's sophomore season at Rutgers (2025).
Kaj Sanders
77%match
#2
Josiah Taylor
77%
#3
Brandon Booker
76%
#4
Jamel Johnson
75%
#5
Myles Graham
73%
Matches Kaj on
Class year
Height
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ricky Rahne
Pass share
38.0%
330 pass / 539 run
Plays / game
66.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion
Played his entire career under Ricky Rahne.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLake City, FL
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey12
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOld Dominion
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Old Dominion | S2 | #14229 | #14243 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | S | 2 | No. 12 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Lake City, FL |
| 2024 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | S | 2 | No. 12 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Lake City, FL |