cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dilin Jones /Wisconsin

Dilin Jones

RB · Wisconsin · Fr · #7

On Trialas of 2026-06-22

Dilin Jones arrives at Wisconsin with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

300RUSH YDS2RUSH TD76CARRIES

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.12

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 75 plays

Wisconsin fans keep putting his case on trial, week to week.

medium confidence2 sources

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

Read the story so far

Dilin Jones arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.146 recruit nationally. He lines up at RB for Wisconsin.

On the field, the headline is 300 rush yds, with 2 rush td.

Wisconsin fans keep putting his case on trial, week to week.

The number to watch: +0.12 — rushing value · wepa.

Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 75 plays
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Wisconsin → LSU for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to LSU

2025Wisconsin
2026LSU

RB · WISCONSIN · BIG TEN

Dilin Jones

  • 1
  • #7
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • Laurel, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

21

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1500

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
88.02024
3002025

+241%

Up 241% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#146 national
CFB
College
Wisconsin
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey7
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownLaurel, MD
Primary teamWisconsin

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 146 recruit
Composite rating 0.9364 HighSchool
Signed with Wisconsin 2024
Origin Our Lady of Good Counsel HS Olney, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9364 No. 146 recruit | HighSchool | Wisconsin

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination LSU 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Wisconsin -> LSU 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1500Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2065Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Wisconsin

Composite

0.9364

#146 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dilin Jones

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

70

Grounded Optimism

Sample 10 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 10 mentions · belief +40 · "LSU is entering the final stretch of spring, and Tuesday’s practice delivered so"Own fansRivals: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "submitted by /u/iMath- [link] [comments]"RivalsNational: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=10
  • Rivals · n=3
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dilin Jones

Only 3 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
300Rush yards
76Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
42.9Rush yards
11Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
557.1Rush yards
141Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 300): needs 75/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 300): needs 116.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 300): needs 200/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dilin Jones's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wisconsin, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1500 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 20.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 146 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 321 300 rush | 21 rec | #260/735 (65th pct)
Rush TD 2 76 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.9 Per-rush efficiency | #516/735 (30th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
76 71st
YDS
300 65th
YPC
3.9 30th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
9 57th
YDS
21 31st
YPR
2.3 8th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 17-0vs Miami (OH)14735.2011Season-high 73 yds
Wk 2W 42-10vs Middle Tennessee10363.6113
Wk 3L 14-38@ Alabama5255.008
Wk 4L 10-27vs Maryland6203.307
Wk 6L 10-24@ Michigan17633.7116
Wk 7L 0-37vs Iowa16694.3013
Wk 8L 0-34vs Ohio State8141.804
Total763003.8216
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Wisconsin5-7HC: Luke Fickell · Run-leaning
2025Wisconsin4-8HC: Luke Fickell · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Wisconsin763003.92--
2024Wisconsin16885.50--
Career2 loaded seasons923884.22--
SeasonTeam
2025Wisconsin9212.30--
2024Wisconsin----------
Career2 loaded seasons9212.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 9 21 rec yds | #236/552 (57th pct)
Usage 20.4% 33.3% rush share | #87/738 (88th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.12 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #173/362 (52nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 300 #260/735 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.9 #516/735 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 9 #236/552 57th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 21 #379/548 31st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.12 #173/362 52nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 75 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 20.4% #87/738 88th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 76 #219/739 71st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #448/733 39th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 6 #471/540 13th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 2.3 #507/548 8th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 33.3% #96/738 87th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 24.6% #87/738 88th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 22.9% #96/738 87th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 21.0% #83/738 89th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.6% #73/738 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.1% #90/738 88th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.2% #144/738 81st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g42.43.60.2
Road2g44.04.30.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g54.54.40.5
Losses5g38.23.60.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g47.74.20.3
Weeks 8+1g14.01.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

21Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long run (5th).

Carries#219 / 349 · 37th pct
76rush
Receptions#214 / 338 · 35th pct
9rece
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rush yards#260 / 349 · 26th pct
300rush
Rec yards#293 / 338 · 13th pct
21rece
Yards / carry#303 / 349 · 12th pct
3.9rush
Long run#328 / 349 · 6th pct
16rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.12Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Dilin JonesWisconsinTae MeadowsTroy· 62% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 62% simJordan GantAkron· 59% sim
Carries
37
Jones
84
Meadows
92
Wright
95
Gant
Receptions
35
Jones
45
Meadows
32
Wright
35
Gant
Rush TDs
26
Jones
72
Meadows
62
Wright
72
Gant
Rush yards
26
Jones
74
Meadows
84
Wright
90
Gant
Rec yards
13
Jones
38
Meadows
10
Wright
27
Gant
Yards / carry
12
Jones
29
Meadows
33
Wright
45
Gant
Long run
6
Jones
53
Meadows
49
Wright
35
Gant

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jambres Dubar’s 2023 season.

Jambres Dubar

86%match

Boise State · 2023

#2

Fame Ijeboi

Minnesota · 2025

78%
#3

Parker Jenkins

Houston · 2023

77%
#4

TJ McDaniel

SMU · 2020

72%
#5

Christian Clark

Texas · 2025

76%

Matches Jambres on

Weight
Rush TD rate
Yards / reception

Differs from Jambres on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Narii Gaither’s path through Gardner-Webb.

Narii Gaither

99%match

Gardner-Webb · 2023

#2

Garrett Groshek

Wisconsin · 2020

98%
#3

Andrew Body

Alabama State · 2025

92%
#4

Zylan Perry

Louisiana · 2025

91%
#5

Tyler Purdy

James Madison · 2024

91%

Matches Narii on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Fame Ijeboi's sophomore season at Minnesota (2025).

Fame Ijeboi

81%match

Minnesota · 2025

#2

Kirby Vorhees

Washington State · 2025

74%
#3

Anthony Carrie

Florida International · 2025

73%
#4

Terrance Shelton Jr.

Buffalo · 2025

71%
#5

Rickey Hunt

Ohio · 2024

70%

Matches Fame on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Weight

Differs from Fame on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Luke Fickell

Pass share

39.7%

272 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

57.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.8%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
2025
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin

Played his entire career under Luke Fickell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLaurel, MD
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wisconsin RB1 #1500 #2065 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wisconsin Big Ten RB 1 No. 7 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Laurel, MD
2024 Wisconsin Big Ten RB 1 No. 7 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Laurel, MD