Garrett Shrader

Senior quarterback for Syracuse. 2023: 1,691 passing yards, 13 TD, 6 INT.

QB · Syracuse · Sr. · #6

6′4″ · 225 lb · Charlotte, NC

CFB Index 50 · #58 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceSyracuse 2023 alumnus

Recruiting

4★

DUAL recruit

No. 249 nationally · Signed with Mississippi State

Statement game25 car · 195 yds · 4 TDat Purdue (FBS) · W 35-20

Top 1% rushing TDs game since 2021.

Garrett Shrader is approaching Eric Dungey levels of carrying a team.r/CFB game thread · ▲ 26His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Syracuse. 2023: 1,691 passing yards, 13 TD, 6 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Mississippi State in 2019.
Transferred from Mississippi State to Syracuse in 2021.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Five seasons at Syracuse, 6,942 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He arrived as a blue-chip recruit and played like one.

201910 games

Signed with Mississippi State4-star out of Charlotte Christian

202112 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★★

#249 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2019–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2019–2023

2 coaches

2019–2022

Dino Babers

Syracuse

2023

Nunzio Campanile

Syracuse

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dino Babers → Nunzio Campanile. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Mississippi State6-7HC: Joe Moorhead · Run-heavy

2020Mississippi State4-7HC: Mike Leach · Pass-heavy, fast tempo

2021Syracuse5-7HC: Dino Babers · Run-heavy

2022Syracuse7-6HC: Dino Babers · Run-leaning, slow tempo

2023Syracuse6-7HC: Nunzio Campanile · Run-heavy

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

50Rotational starter #58 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (90th percentile). Strength: rush yards (87th percentile). Concern: interception rate (13th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / dropback#68 / 177 · 62nd pct

0.31

Explosive rate#93 / 177 · 48th pct

10.2%

Success rate#108 / 177 · 39th pct

40.3%

Sack rate#153 / 177 · 14th pct

9.7%

Interception rate#155 / 177 · 13th pct

1.4%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush TDs#16 / 179 · 90th pct

Rush yards#24 / 179 · 87th pct

460

Yards / att#57 / 179 · 68th pct

7.9

Completion %#70 / 179 · 61st pct

62.6%

Pass TDs#80 / 179 · 54th pct

Interceptions#77 / 179 · 52nd pct

Pass yards#103 / 179 · 43rd pct

1691

Fumbles lost#125 / 167 · 20th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

52nd → 62nd percentile

Success rate

64th → 39th percentile

Explosive rate

51st → 48th percentile

Sack rate

11th → 14th percentile

Interception rate

69th → 13th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

132/215 (61.4%) · 13 TD · 6 INT

215 of 214 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

6.5195 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

9.7%189 of 212 QBs

Sacked on 9.7% of dropbacks (189 of 212) — and still 95 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

48%of completions

63 comp4.7 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

36%of completions

47 comp13.4 yds avg4 TD

Deep

20+ yds

17%of completions

22 comp33.7 yds avg4 TD

Overall 61.4% completion on 215 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 33.7 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

No situation moves him more than 23 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-22 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/71 (8.5%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

+2 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/68 (2.9%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+23 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 12/65 (18.5%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	191	2.0	8.3	0.7
Road5g	109	0.2	6.2	0.4

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	197	1.1	7.6	0.7
Weeks 8+4g	78.8	1.2	7.2	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Fran Brown

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

50 · #58 of 140 QBs

Former four-star. Now #58 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	Syracuse	134	214	62.6%	1,691	7.9	13	6	143.4	44	--	--
2022	Syracuse	205	317	64.7%	2,636	8.3	17	7	147.8	56	--	--
2021	Syracuse	123	234	52.6%	1,445	6.2	9	4	113.7	27	--	--
2020	Mississippi State	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2019	Mississippi State	88	153	57.5%	1,170	7.6	8	5	132.5	--	--	--
Career		550	918	59.9%	6,942	7.6	47	22	135.5	44	--	--

Season	Team
2023	Syracuse	114	460	4.0	8	--
2022	Syracuse	149	454	3.0	9	--
2021	Syracuse	173	781	4.5	14	--
2020	Mississippi State	--	--	--	--	--
2019	Mississippi State	113	587	5.2	6	--
Career		549	2,282	4.2	37	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2023

W 65–0

vs Colgate

257 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT · QBR 69.8 · 40 rush yds (8 car)

Dominant 65-point win at home against Colgate.

With C. Del Rio-Wilson — 149 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 96.3 · 2 rush yds (1 car) · U. Hatcher — 4 rec · 105 yds · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 2 · Western Michigan · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +6.66G.Shrader pass complete to SYR 14. Catch made by D.Brown at SYR 14. Gain of 86 yards. D.Brown for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Week 1 · Colgate · 3&11 · Q2 · EPA +5.57Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 44 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
Week 3 · Purdue · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.58Garrett Shrader run for 35 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
Week 11 · Pittsburgh · 4&2 · Q3 · EPA -4.15Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the PITT 1
Week 1 · Colgate · 3&9 · Q3 · EPA +4.14Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 42 yds to the COLG 23 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Clemson · 2&20 · Q1 · EPA +4.14Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 37 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Wake Forest · 3&5 · Q1 · EPA +3.97Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 35 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
Week 6 · North Carolina · 3&14 · Q3 · EPA +3.79Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 34 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Wake Forest · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA +3.55Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 29 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST down
Week 11 · Pittsburgh · 4&2 · Q3 · EPA +3.50Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 65-0vs Colgate	18/24	257	4	1	10.7	69.8	4 TD passes
Wk 2	W 48-7vs Western Michigan	19/30	286	1	0	9.5	89.3	Season-high 286 yds
Wk 3	W 35-20@ Purdue	14/28	184	0	1	6.6	83.5
Wk 4	W 29-16vs Army	21/26	245	1	1	9.4	76.9
Wk 5	L 14-31vs Clemson	15/29	181	2	1	6.2	39.2
Wk 6	L 7-40@ North Carolina	15/21	124	0	1	5.9	37.9
Wk 7	L 3-41@ Florida State	9/21	99	0	0	4.7	19.1
Wk 9	L 10-38@ Virginia Tech	12/18	137	1	0	7.6	11.7
Wk 11	W 28-13vs Pittsburgh	1/2	5	1	0	2.5	91.4
Wk 12	L 22-31@ Georgia Tech	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 13	W 35-31vs Wake Forest	10/15	173	3	1	11.5	96.9	3 TD passes
Total		134/214	1691	13	6	7.5	61.6

How he plays

Play style

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

57.7%Completion %

26.7%Conversion/dropback

46.7%Land short of sticks

0INTs

57.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 26.7% conversion-per-dropback — 46.7% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

12/143rd/4th & short

4/21Inside-5 share

12 of 14 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (85.7%). 4 of the team's 21 inside-the-5 carries (19.0%).