Joe Milton III: QB · Tennessee · #7.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Joe Milton III
Operates within the system without forcing anything. The six seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Jim Harbaugh and Josh Heupel. A game that shows it: 383 passing yards and 11 rushing yards against Vanderbilt — Week 13, 2023.
Play style
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
57.8% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 29.8% conversion-per-dropback — 46.2% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
5 of the team's 24 inside-the-5 carries (20.8%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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Game log · Week-by-week
2023 season · 12 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 49-13vs Virginia | 21/30 | 201 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 | 64.1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 30-13vs Austin Peay | 21/33 | 228 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 | 36.3 | |
| Wk 3 | L 16-29@ Florida | 20/34 | 287 | 2 | 1 | 8.4 | 52.6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-14vs UTSA | 18/31 | 209 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 | 86.0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 41-20vs South Carolina | 21/32 | 239 | 1 | 2 | 7.5 | 45.3 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-13vs Texas A&M | 11/22 | 100 | 1 | 1 | 4.5 | 63.1 | |
| Wk 8 | L 20-34@ No. 11 Alabama | 28/41 | 271 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 | 75.3 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 9 | W 33-27@ Kentucky | 18/21 | 228 | 1 | 0 | 10.9 | 85.6 | |
| Wk 10 | W 59-3vs UConn | 11/14 | 254 | 2 | 0 | 18.1 | 98.0 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 11 | L 7-36@ No. 16 Missouri | 22/34 | 267 | 1 | 1 | 7.9 | 71.7 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-38vs No. 1 Georgia | 17/30 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | 32.5 | |
| Wk 13 | W 48-24vs Vanderbilt | 22/33 | 383 | 4 | 0 | 11.6 | 91.3 | Season-high 383 yds |
| Total | 230/355 | 2814 | 20 | 5 | 7.9 | — |
Week 8 · 2023
L 20-34
at Alabama
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 333 passing plays (223 completions) against the box score's 355 attempts (230 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
7.8348 of 212 QBsSack rate
4.1%53 of 212 QBsRarely sacked (53 of 212 QBs) and still 48 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 64.8% completion on 355 attempts · 30 deep completions averaging 35.0 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline
No situation moves him more than 14 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2023 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 223 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| Road4g | 263 | 1.5 | 8.4 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 211 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 258 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 0.2 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Josh Heupel
Pass share
45.8%
411 pass / 486 run
Plays / game
69.0
13 games
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Player standing · 2023
355 pass attempts, 78 carries and 1 catch in 12 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week.
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Former four-star. Now #22 at the position.
How it ended
Six seasons, at Michigan and Tennessee, 5,341 passing yards — drafted at #193 overall by the New England Patriots.
Four or fewer games in the first season, then ten or more.
The role got bigger.
Coaching lineage · 2018–2023
2 coachesPlayed for 2 head coaches at 2 schools: Jim Harbaugh and Josh Heupel.
Next stop · NFL
New England PatriotsEntering 3rd NFL season
New England PatriotsEntering 3rd NFL season
