Joe Milton III

Former quarterback at Tennessee. 2023: 2,814 passing yards, 20 TD, 5 INT.

QB · Tennessee · Sr. · #7

6′5″ · 235 lb · Pahokee, FL

CFB Index 71 · #22 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceNew England — drafted 2024, Rd 6, Pick 17, #193 overall

Recruiting

4★

PRO recruit

No. 204 nationally · Signed with Michigan

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

Former quarterback at Tennessee. 2023: 2,814 passing yards, 20 TD, 5 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Michigan in 2018.
Transferred from Michigan to Tennessee in 2021.
Drafted round 6 by the New England in 2024.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Six seasons at Tennessee, 5,341 passing yards — drafted at #193 overall by New England.

His career

He barely played early on. Then he did not come off the field.

20183 games

Signed with Michigan4-star out of Olympia

20218 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal

2024

Drafted by New Englandround 6, pick 193

Career arc

Recruit

★★★★

#204 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2018–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

R6 · #193

New England · 2024

Coaching lineage · 2018–2023

2 coaches

2018–2020

Jeremy Pruitt

Tennessee

2021–2023

Josh Heupel

Tennessee

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeremy Pruitt → Josh Heupel. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Where He Ended Up · NFL

New EnglandEntering 3rd NFL season

#193Rd 6 · Pick 17

New EnglandEntering 3rd NFL season

View college career stats ↓

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018Michigan10-3HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy

2019Michigan9-4HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-leaning

2020Michigan2-4HC: Jim Harbaugh · Pass-leaning

2021Tennessee7-6HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo

2022Tennessee11-2HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning

2023Tennessee9-4HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

71Quality starter #22 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: success rate (87th percentile). Strength: interception rate (84th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#24 / 177 · 87th pct

47.7%

Interception rate#1 / 177 · 84th pct

0.0%

Sack rate#50 / 177 · 72nd pct

4.3%

EPA / dropback#51 / 177 · 71st pct

0.36

Explosive rate#116 / 177 · 35th pct

9.0%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush TDs#21 / 179 · 86th pct

Pass yards#44 / 179 · 76th pct

2814

Rush yards#44 / 179 · 76th pct

299

Completion %#45 / 179 · 74th pct

64.8%

Pass TDs#47 / 179 · 72nd pct

Yards / att#57 / 179 · 68th pct

7.9

Interceptions#54 / 179 · 64th pct

Fumbles lost#76 / 167 · 40th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

100th → 71st percentile

Success rate

76th → 87th percentile

Explosive rate

99th → 35th percentile

Sack rate

69th → 72nd percentile

Interception rate

99th → 84th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

223/333 (67.0%) · 20 TD · 5 INT

333 of 355 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

7.8348 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

4.1%53 of 212 QBs

Rarely sacked (53 of 212 QBs) and still 48 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

52%of completions

116 comp5.5 yds avg4 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

35%of completions

77 comp13.0 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds

13%of completions

30 comp35.0 yds avg9 TD

Overall 67.0% completion on 333 attempts · 30 deep completions averaging 35.0 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

No situation moves him more than 14 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-10 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 4/134 (3.0%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

+1 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 4/97 (4.1%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+14 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/86 (5.8%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home8g	220	1.8	8.4	0.4
Road4g	263	1.5	8.4	0.5

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	211	1.7	6.8	0.7
Weeks 8+6g	258	1.7	10.0	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Josh Heupel

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

71 · #22 of 140 QBs

Former four-star. Now #22 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	Tennessee	230	355	64.8%	2,814	7.9	20	5	147.1	76	--	--
2022	Tennessee	53	82	64.6%	971	11.8	10	0	204.3	52	--	--
2021	Tennessee	32	62	51.6%	375	6.0	2	0	113.1	--	--	--
2020	Michigan	80	141	56.7%	1,077	7.6	4	4	124.6	47	--	--
2019	Michigan	3	7	42.9%	59	8.4	1	1	132.2	--	--	--
2018	Michigan	2	3	66.7%	45	15.0	0	1	126.0	--	--	--
Career		400	650	61.5%	5,341	8.2	37	11	146.0	66	--	--

Season	Team
2023	Tennessee	78	299	3.8	7	--
2022	Tennessee	18	77	4.3	0	--
2021	Tennessee	28	129	4.6	2	--
2020	Michigan	38	109	2.9	1	--
2019	Michigan	5	16	3.2	1	--
2018	Michigan	6	20	3.3	1	--
Career		173	650	3.8	12	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 7 · 2023

W 20–13

vs Texas A&M

100 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · QBR 63.1 · 34 rush yds (8 car)

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 7 at home.

With J. Ross — 40 AVG · 2 IN 20 · 49 LONG · J. Wright — 136 rush yds (19 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 10 · UConn · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +6.54Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 83 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
Week 4 · UTSA · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +6.44Joe Milton III run for 81 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
Week 13 · Vanderbilt · 3&10 · Q3 · EPA +5.63Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 46 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
Week 11 · Missouri · 3&9 · Q2 · EPA +5.51Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 46 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
Week 10 · UConn · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +4.76Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 60 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
Week 3 · Florida · 2&5 · Q4 · EPA +4.65Bru McCoy 55 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
Week 9 · Kentucky · 2&19 · Q3 · EPA +4.40Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 47 yds to the UK 28 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Vanderbilt · 2&3 · Q1 · EPA +4.34Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 56 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
Week 1 · Virginia · 2&22 · Q2 · EPA +4.32Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 41 yds to the UVA 32 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · Florida · 3&10 · Q3 · EPA +4.27Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 43 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 49-13vs Virginia	21/30	201	2	0	6.7	64.1
Wk 2	W 30-13vs Austin Peay	21/33	228	2	0	6.9	36.3
Wk 3	L 16-29@ Florida	20/34	287	2	1	8.4	52.6
Wk 4	W 45-14vs UTSA	18/31	209	2	0	6.7	86.0
Wk 5	W 41-20vs South Carolina	21/32	239	1	2	7.5	45.3
Wk 7	W 20-13vs Texas A&M	11/22	100	1	1	4.5	63.1
Wk 8	L 20-34@ Alabama	28/41	271	2	0	6.6	75.3	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 9	W 33-27@ Kentucky	18/21	228	1	0	10.9	85.6
Wk 10	W 59-3vs UConn	11/14	254	2	0	18.1	98.0	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 11	L 7-36@ Missouri	22/34	267	1	1	7.9	71.7
Wk 12	L 10-38vs Georgia	17/30	147	0	0	4.9	32.5
Wk 13	W 48-24vs Vanderbilt	22/33	383	4	0	11.6	91.3	Season-high 383 yds
Total		230/355	2814	20	5	8.4	66.8

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology