CFB Zeitgeist Score
50
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 69th percentile.
Drew Allar
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,100 PASS YDS · 8 PASS TD · 172 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Pittsburgh2026 NFL rookie season
#76Rd 3 · Pick 12
Pittsburgh2026 NFL rookie season
QB · PENN STATE · BIG TEN
Drew Allar
- 4
- #15
- 6-5 | 235 lb
- Medina, OH
Heisman Heat
#317
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 4 · EliteR12 · All-American
All-American. Named to an NCAA-recognized All-America team.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
Penn State · QB
—
★
2023
Penn State · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
2025
Penn State · QB
—
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 12 · #76 overall · Pittsburgh
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+220%
Up 220% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★★
CFB
College
Penn State
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #76
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5-star | 0.9852 | No. 32 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★★
to Penn State
Composite
0.9852
#32 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 3, Pick 12
#76 overall · Pittsburgh
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Drew Allar
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
60
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=211
- Rivals · n=11
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Drew Allar
Obsession score 7
Rival mentions 11
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 7 mentions
Grudging respect 36% Neutral 46% Mockery 18%
2025 Signature · 2025 season
TD : INT ratio
2.7
ratio
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts
National rank #30 of 72
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts 59th
Why it matters
#30 of 72 P4 + Notre Dame QBs at 2.7 TDs per INT (159 attempts).
Vs cohort
This player 2.7 (59th)
MODERATE · n=159 cohort 72
- Also strong
- Completion %#29 / 72
- Yards per attempt#54 / 72
- ESPN QBR (season average)#66 / 92
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 6g
1,100Pass yards
8Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
183.3Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,383Pass yards
17Pass TDs
6INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,100): needs 271.4/game over remaining 7.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,100): needs 414.3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 8): needs 2.4/game over remaining 7.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 8): needs 3.1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 8): needs 3.9/game over remaining 7.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Drew Allar already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
103 65th
ATT
159 66th
CMP%
64.8% 66th
Y/A
6.9 52nd
Passing Production
YDS
1,100 64th
TD
8 68th
INT
3 43rd
Rushing
CAR
36 62nd
YDS
172 77th
YPC
4.8 75th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 46-11vs Nevada | 22/26 | 217 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 | 39.3 | Season-high 217 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 34-0vs Florida International | 19/33 | 200 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 | 57.2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 52-6vs Villanova | 16/29 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 7.2 | 19.6 | |
| Wk 5 | L 24-30vs Oregon | 14/25 | 137 | 2 | 1 | 5.5 | 68.6 | |
| Wk 6 | L 37-42@ UCLA | 19/26 | 200 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 | 81.8 | |
| Wk 7 | L 21-22vs Northwestern | 13/20 | 137 | 0 | 1 | 6.9 | 52.7 | |
| Total | 103/159 | 1100 | 8 | 3 | 7.0 | 53.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2025Penn State7-6HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | 103 | 159 | 64.8% | 1,100 | 6.9 | 8 | 3 | 135.7 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Penn State | 233 | 388 | 60.1% | 2,631 | 6.8 | 25 | 2 | 137.2 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Penn State | 35 | 60 | 58.3% | 344 | 5.7 | 4 | 0 | 128.5 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 371 | 607 | 61.1% | 4,075 | 6.7 | 37 | 5 | 136.0 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | 36 | 172 | 4.8 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Penn State | 74 | 210 | 2.8 | 4 | -- |
| 2022 | Penn State | 18 | 52 | 2.9 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 128 | 434 | 3.4 | 6 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,100 | #138/382 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 8 | #130/407 | 68th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 103 | #135/383 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 64.8% | #133/383 | 66th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.9 | #186/382 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 172 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.35 | #42/200 | 80th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 142 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 51.8% | #64/428 | 85th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 159 | #138/407 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 36 | #158/408 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 27 | #122/391 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.8 | #103/407 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 93.9% | #34/428 | 92nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 68.5% | #53/428 | 88th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 66.3% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 50.8% | #28/428 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 46.0% | #111/428 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 45.5% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 16.9% | #85/428 | 80th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 180 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| Road1g | 200 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 209 | 1.3 | 7.2 | 0.3 |
| Losses3g | 158 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 183 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
50Mid-pack
Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Strength: interceptions (82nd). Concern: pass yards (24th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds53%of completions
46 comp5.6 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds36%of completions
31 comp13.7 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds10%of completions
9 comp29.7 yds avg2 TD
Overall 62.3% completion on 138 attempts · 9 deep completions averaging 29.7 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.35Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Drew AllarPenn StateCade KlubnikClemson· 70% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 70% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 66% sim
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Completion %
Rush yards
Yards / att
Pass TDs
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to D.J. Uiagalelei’s 2022 season.
D.J. Uiagalelei
62%match
#2
Kurtis Rourke
NFL Rd 7
61%
#3
Nico Iamaleava
All-Big Ten
61%
#4
Hayden Wolff
59%
#5
Tyler Shough
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
59%
Matches D.J. on
Rush yards / carry
Differs from D.J. on
Weight (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
Total pass EPA (college ability) (lower)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Davis Mills’s path through Stanford.
Davis Mills
89%match
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 3
#2
Zac Thomas
All-Sun Belt
86%
#3
Nico Iamaleava
All-Big Ten
76%
#4
Joey Labas
76%
#5
Hayden Wolff
76%
Matches Davis on
Completion %
Recruiting rating
Yards per attempt
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Shough's senior season at Texas Tech (2023).
Tyler Shough
53%match
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
#2
Garrett Shrader
45%
#3
Tayven Jackson
45%
#4
Taisun Phommachanh
44%
#5
Kurtis Rourke
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
44%
Differs from Tyler on
INT rate (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
James Franklin
Pass share
42.0%
339 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
62.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
230 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
James Franklin
Penn State
2023
James Franklin
Penn State
2025
James Franklin
Penn State
Played his entire career under James Franklin.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMedina, OH
Height6'5"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamPenn State
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Big Ten
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Big Ten | OTHE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Penn State | QB4 | #317 | #183 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Penn State | QB4 | #12 | #11 | 3.4% | 16.2% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Penn State | QB4 | #56 | #32 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 15 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Medina, OH |
| 2024 | Penn State | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 15 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Medina, OH |
| 2023 | Penn State | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 15 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Medina, OH |
| 2022 | Penn State | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 15 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Medina, OH |