cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gavin Wimsatt /Jacksonville State

Gavin Wimsatt

QB · Jacksonville State · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

731 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · 263 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Jacksonville State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Jacksonville State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Jacksonville State

Returning around him

  • 84% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (20 in / 13 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Jacksonville State · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #111 · 2026 recruiting class #110

QB · JACKSONVILLE STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Gavin Wimsatt

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-3 | 227 lb
  • Owensboro, KY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#269

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
45.02021
7572022
1,7352023
2872024
7312025

+1524%

Up 1524% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#205 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-3 | 227 lb
HometownOwensboro, KY
Primary teamJacksonville State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 205 recruit
Composite rating 0.9201 HighSchool
Signed with Rutgers 2021
Origin Owensboro Owensboro, KY, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9201 No. 205 recruit | HighSchool | Rutgers

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Jacksonville State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Kentucky -> Jacksonville State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate
2024 Rutgers -> Kentucky 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#269Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#295Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Rutgers

Composite

0.9201

#205 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gavin Wimsatt

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gavin Wimsatt

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
731Pass yards
4Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
60.9Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
791.9Pass yards
4Pass TDs
2INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 731): needs 2,269/game over remaining 1.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 731): needs 3,269/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 21/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 26/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 31/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Gavin Wimsatt's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Jacksonville State, he has 731 passing yards and 4 touchdown passes, but he also adds 263 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #269 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 19.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 205 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 731 4 TD | 2 INT | #157/382 (59th pct)
Completion rate 56.3% 63/112 completions | #269/383 (30th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.5 Explosiveness through the air | #226/382 (41st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
63 58th
ATT
112 62nd
CMP%
56.3% 30th
Y/A
6.5 41st

Passing Production

YDS
731 59th
TD
4 61st
INT
2 52nd

Rushing

CAR
52 70th
YDS
263 83rd
YPC
5.1 78th
TD
4 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 10-17@ UCF15/29139014.839.7
Wk 2W 34-24vs Liberty6/1252004.355.3
Wk 3L 34-41@ Georgia Southern16/24178117.459.9
Wk 4W 45-10vs Murray State17/31188106.144.7Season-high 188 yds
Wk 5L 25-42@ Southern Miss4/819002.47.7
Wk 8W 38-25vs Delaware2/317005.738.7
Wk 10W 24-21@ Middle Tennessee2/2761038.0100.0
Wk 12W 35-26vs Kennesaw State1/1621062.0100.0
Wk 13L 21-27@ Florida International0/10000.041.8
Wk 14W 37-34vs Western Kentucky
Wk 15L 15-19vs Kennesaw State
BowlW 17-13vs Troy0/10000.00.0
Total63/1127314213.148.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Rutgers5-7HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning
2022Rutgers4-8HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning
2023Rutgers7-6HC: Greg Schiano · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Kentucky4-8HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Jacksonville State9-5HC: Charles Kelly · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Jacksonville State6311256.2%7316.542119.3----
2024Kentucky163941.0%2877.434107.7----
2023Rutgers13828947.8%1,7356.098102.9----
2022Rutgers6514445.1%7575.35791.0----
2021Rutgers92142.9%452.10241.8----
Career5 loaded seasons29160548.1%3,5555.92123101.3----
SeasonTeam
2025Jacksonville State522635.14--
2024Kentucky491833.72--
2023Rutgers1314973.811--
2022Rutgers40631.60--
2021Rutgers9687.60--
Career5 loaded seasons2811,0743.817--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 263 4 rush TD | #70/408 (83rd pct)
Usage 19.8% 39.2% pass share | 9.1% rush share | #214/428 (50th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.28 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #92/200 (55th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 731 #157/382 59th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 4 #159/407 61st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 63 #162/383 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 56.3% #269/383 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.5 #226/382 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 263 #70/408 83rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.28 #92/200 55th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 88 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 19.8% #214/428 50th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 112 #156/407 62nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 2 #195/407 52nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 52 #122/408 70th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 44 #56/391 86th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #91/407 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 39.2% #200/428 54th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 28.9% #210/428 51st pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 26.9% #214/428 50th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 19.1% #215/428 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.9% #215/428 50th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.1% #216/428 50th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 9.1% #174/428 60th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.26 #67/140 53rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 47 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g45.60.315.60.0
Road5g82.40.410.50.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins7g56.40.419.30.0
Losses5g67.20.23.60.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g96.00.34.20.3
Weeks 8+6g25.80.326.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

37Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (92nd). Concern: pass tds (12th).

Interceptions#8 / 183 · 92nd pct
2pass
Rush yards#61 / 183 · 67th pct
263rush
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Rush TDs#67 / 183 · 59th pct
4rush
Yards / att#135 / 183 · 26th pct
6.5pass
Pass yards#156 / 183 · 15th pct
731pass
Completion %#156 / 183 · 14th pct
56.3%pass
Pass TDs#154 / 183 · 13th pct
4pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

53/98 (54.1%) · 2 TD · 2 INT

Short

0–9 yds
58%of completions
31 comp4.9 yds avg

Middle

10–19 yds
28%of completions
15 comp14.7 yds avg1 TD

Deep

20+ yds
13%of completions
7 comp30.6 yds avg1 TD

Overall 54.1% completion on 98 attempts.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.280
39th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.28Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.26Low (p25–p50) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Gavin WimsattJacksonville StateAvery JohnsonKansas State· 68% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 65% simRyan BrownePurdue· 63% sim
Interceptions
92
Wimsatt
56
Johnson
44
Vattiato
14
Browne
Rush yards
67
Wimsatt
80
Johnson
27
Vattiato
61
Browne
Fumbles lost
66
Wimsatt
66
Johnson
66
Vattiato
18
Browne
Rush TDs
59
Wimsatt
81
Johnson
39
Vattiato
59
Browne
Yards / att
26
Wimsatt
46
Johnson
13
Vattiato
23
Browne
Pass yards
15
Wimsatt
61
Johnson
57
Vattiato
56
Browne
Completion %
14
Wimsatt
33
Johnson
41
Vattiato
29
Browne
Pass TDs
13
Wimsatt
72
Johnson
64
Vattiato
33
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Garrett Shrader’s 2021 season.

Garrett Shrader

62%match

Syracuse · 2021

#2

Grayson James

Florida International · 2022

58%
#3

Brendon Lewis

Nevada · 2023

56%
#4

Gerry Bohannon

South Florida · 2022

56%
#5

Gavin Wimsatt

Rutgers · 2023

56%

Matches Garrett on

Weight
Height

Differs from Garrett on

Rush usage (lower)
Yards / attempt (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to JT Shrout’s path through Arkansas State.

JT Shrout

83%match

Arkansas State · 2023

#2

Garret Rangel

Oklahoma State · 2024

76%
#3

Rex Culpepper

Syracuse · 2020

75%
#4

Nevan Cremascoli

Northern Illinois · 2022

74%
#5

Zion Webb

Jacksonville State · 2023

73%

Matches JT on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Taisun Phommachanh's graduate season at Massachusetts (2024).

Taisun Phommachanh

42%match

Massachusetts · 2024

#2

Stone Earle

Marshall · 2024

40%
#3

Ben Finley

Akron · 2024

25%
#4

Christian Veilleux

Georgia State · 2025

21%
#5

Nick Vattiato

Middle Tennessee · 2025

21%

Matches Taisun on

Height

Differs from Taisun on

Yards / attempt (lower)
Weight (higher)
Rush yards / carry (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Kelly

Pass share

33.8%

328 pass / 642 run

Plays / game

69.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

243 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jacksonville State
2022
Jacksonville State
2023
Rich Rodriguez
Jacksonville State
era →
2024
Rich Rodriguez
Jacksonville State
2025
Charles Kelly
Jacksonville State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Rich Rodriguez → Charles Kelly. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOwensboro, KY
Height6'3"
Weight227 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kentucky QB4 #269 #295 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Rutgers QB4 #192 #300 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Rutgers QB4 #1087 #1463 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Rutgers QB4 #1192 #1066 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Jacksonville State Conference USA QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 227 lb | Owensboro, KY
2024 Kentucky SEC QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 227 lb | Owensboro, KY
2023 Rutgers Big Ten QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 227 lb | Owensboro, KY
2022 Rutgers Big Ten QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 227 lb | Owensboro, KY
2021 Rutgers Big Ten QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 227 lb | Owensboro, KY