CFB Zeitgeist Score
55
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 70th percentile.
Robby Ashford
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,472 PASS YDS · 12 PASS TD · 554 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Wake Forest for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Wake Forest
Returning around him
- 26% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 2 Wake Forest players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +1 net (24 in / 23 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Wake Forest · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #74 · 2026 recruiting class #63
QB · WAKE FOREST · ACC
Robby Ashford
- 4
- #2
- 6-2 | 220 lb
- Hoover, AL
Heisman Heat
#699
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+53%
Up 53% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9006 | No. 306 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | South Carolina -> Wake Forest | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Auburn -> South Carolina | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
| 2022 | Auburn -> Auburn | 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (554).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Oregon
Composite
0.9006
#306 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Robby Ashford
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Robby Ashford
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per attempt
7.7
yds
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts
National rank #31 of 72
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts 58th
Why it matters
#31 of 72 P4 + Notre Dame QBs at 7.7 yards per attempt (322 attempts).
Vs cohort
This player 7.7 (58th)
HIGH · n=322 cohort 72
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#42 / 57
- WEPA per dropback#44 / 58
- QB rushing weighted-EPA#24 / 46
Signature Moment
Week 14 at Duke — 342 ypa
Result L 32-49
The week the volume broke through — put up 342 yds at Duke.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
2,472Pass yards
12Pass TDs
8INT
Per game
206Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,678Pass yards
13Pass TDs
9INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,472): needs 528/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,472): needs 1,528/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 18/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 23/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Robby Ashford's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Wake Forest, he has 2,472 passing yards and 12 touchdown passes, but he also adds 554 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
191 80th
ATT
322 83rd
CMP%
59.3% 42nd
Y/A
7.7 71st
Passing Production
YDS
2,472 83rd
TD
12 79th
INT
8 17th
Rushing
CAR
130 93rd
YDS
554 93rd
YPC
4.3 70th
TD
9 95th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 10-9vs Kennesaw State | 20/28 | 218 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | 29.2 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 42-10vs Western Carolina | 13/22 | 227 | 1 | 1 | 10.3 | 62.6 | |
| Wk 3 | L 24-34vs NC State | 21/35 | 252 | 0 | 2 | 7.2 | 24.3 | |
| Wk 5 | L 29-30vs Georgia Tech | 13/28 | 219 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | 55.8 | |
| Wk 6 | W 30-23@ Virginia Tech | 24/39 | 256 | 1 | 1 | 6.6 | 53.0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 13-12vs SMU | 4/10 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 3.3 | 26.4 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-42@ Florida State | 12/21 | 93 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 | 41.8 | |
| Wk 11 | W 16-9@ Virginia | 7/16 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | 50.4 | |
| Wk 12 | W 28-12vs North Carolina | 15/25 | 191 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 | 65.7 | |
| Wk 13 | W 52-14vs Delaware | 15/22 | 292 | 3 | 1 | 13.3 | 83.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | L 32-49@ Duke | 27/43 | 342 | 2 | 1 | 8.0 | 57.6 | Season-high 342 yds |
| Bowl | W 43-29@ Mississippi State | 20/33 | 303 | 3 | 1 | 9.2 | 76.4 | |
| Total | 191/322 | 2472 | 12 | 8 | 7.4 | 52.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Auburn5-7HC: Cadillac Williams · Run-heavy
2023Auburn6-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-heavy
2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wake Forest | 191 | 322 | 59.3% | 2,472 | 7.7 | 12 | 8 | 131.1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Auburn | 14 | 27 | 51.9% | 145 | 5.4 | 2 | 2 | 106.6 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Auburn | 123 | 250 | 49.2% | 1,613 | 6.5 | 7 | 7 | 107.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 328 | 599 | 54.8% | 4,230 | 7.1 | 21 | 17 | 120.0 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wake Forest | 130 | 554 | 4.3 | 9 | -- |
| 2023 | Auburn | 46 | 217 | 4.7 | 5 | -- |
| 2022 | Auburn | 153 | 710 | 4.6 | 7 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 329 | 1,481 | 4.5 | 21 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,472 | #65/382 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 12 | #88/407 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 191 | #79/383 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 59.3% | #225/383 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.7 | #111/382 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 554 | #28/408 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.27 | #99/200 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 306 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 58.0% | #22/428 | 95th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 322 | #70/407 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 130 | #30/408 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 43 | #58/391 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 9 | #23/408 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.3 | #125/407 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 89.9% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 72.7% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 70.6% | #39/428 | 91st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 59.2% | #25/428 | 94th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 51.1% | #25/428 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 50.9% | #28/428 | 94th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 29.4% | #16/428 | 96th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.31 | #37/140 | 74th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 114 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 205 | 0.9 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 208 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 196 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 226 | 0.5 | 6.8 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 246 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 166 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
55Mid-pack
Elite: rush tds (86th). Strength: rush yards (84th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds53%of completions
45 comp4.9 yds avg
Middle
10–19 yds27%of completions
23 comp14.3 yds avg1 TD
Deep
20+ yds20%of completions
17 comp38.8 yds avg1 TD
Overall 59.0% completion on 144 attempts · 17 deep completions averaging 38.8 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.27Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.31Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Robby AshfordWake ForestAlonza BarnettJames Madison· 87% simJake RetzlaffTulane· 84% simJohn MateerOklahoma· 84% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jase Bauer’s 2023 season.
Jase Bauer
74%match
#2
Bryson Barnes
All-Mountain West
71%
#3
Rocky Lombardi
71%
#4
Ashton Daniels
70%
#5
Anthony Brown
70%
Matches Jase on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Jase on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jason Brown’s path through Jackson State.
Jason Brown
88%match
#2
Zach Smith
87%
#3
Roman Gagliano
86%
#4
Rocky Lombardi
84%
#5
Braxton Burmeister
84%
Matches Jason on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brennan Armstrong's senior season at NC State (2023).
Brennan Armstrong
74%match
All-ACC
#2
Bryson Barnes
All-Mountain West
67%
#3
Rocky Lombardi
66%
#4
Ashton Daniels
All-ACC
64%
#5
Hudson Card
64%
Matches Brennan on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt
Weight
Differs from Brennan on
Rush usage (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jake Dickert
Pass share
48.0%
405 pass / 439 run
Plays / game
64.9
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.1%
293 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Dave Clawson
Wake Forest
2023
Dave Clawson
Wake Forest
2025era →
Jake Dickert
Wake Forest
Coaching transition mid-career: Dave Clawson → Jake Dickert. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHoover, AL
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWake Forest
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | South Carolina | QB4 | #699 | #542 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Auburn | QB4 | #445 | #456 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Auburn | QB4 | #215 | #333 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | Oregon | QB4 | #888 | #550 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wake Forest | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hoover, AL |
| 2024 | South Carolina | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hoover, AL |
| 2023 | Auburn | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hoover, AL |
| 2022 | Auburn | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hoover, AL |
| 2021 | Oregon | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Hoover, AL |