The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Jake Dickert

Jake Dickert held Washington State at National Program III for 4 seasons.

32–24
2021–now · 2 stints
← all coaches

In his own words

Everyone besides the people who won’t make the medical 105 are out here practicing
On3 · · 2 days before Wake Forest's 2026 opener
Let’s make sure they’re playing fast, confident, relentless
On32 days before the opener

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerWASHINGTON STATEWAKE FORESTNational Programrespectable, streakyRegional Programthe building-block levelWashington State, 2021: 3-3, National Program III2021Washington State, 2022: 7-6, National Program III2022Washington State, 2023: 5-7, National Program III2023Washington State, 2024: 8-4, Regional Program I2024-0.8Wake Forest, 2025: 9-4, National Program III2025Wake Forest, 2026: in progress, National Program III2026+1.4One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached National Program in his 1st career season — faster than 41% of the 675 FBS coaches who have ever reached National Program (rank #1 of 675 by seasons-to-arrival).

Washington State, 4 seasons
−0.8
National Program III → Regional Program I.
Wake Forest, 2 seasons (active)
+1.4
National Program III → National Program III.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

50%60%Washington State2021–2024▼ 6.8ptWake Forest2025–2026▼ 1.7pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Washington State14.0pt#64 of 258 · more than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0–2 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
0–2
0.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
4–7
36.4% · margin ≤8
Rivalry ledger
Washington0–20%
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
1–7 12.5%
National Program
6–10 37.5%
Regional Program
8–0 100.0%

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

program directionOne fan's take

One fan believes Jake Dickert's debut was a success and the team has strong potential for 2026

Wake Forest won 9 games last year! It seemed like nobody talked about it, but Jake Dickert's debut was a huge success.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 11, 2026 · via wfu

Coaching career

2025–now
Wake Forest
too new to grade yet

5th-best Wake Forest tenure of 16 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+25.3 pts
#21 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
+36.8 pts
#3 of 208 · more than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Dave Clawson (2014–2024).

Season20252026Trend
Record & result
Record9–40–0
PostseasonW bowl
Recruiting rank#63#39
Style — pass rate
Pass rate47.345.6
Coordinators
OCRob EzellRob Ezell
DCScottie HazeltonScottie Hazelton
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense7475
Defense8645
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%39.541.5
Red-zone pass%33.035.3
4th-down go%opp. territory29.327.3
Roster construction · portal era

A portal-built roster.

Portal arrivals
57
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
50
left via the portal
Net portal flow
+7
#12 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 234 lbs
across 46 of 57 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+3.7 lbs
#130 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Jr
#252 of 255 · less than most
Top states: AL (5), TX (4), GA (4), LA (3), NC (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
55.5
position-weighted
Talent lost
58.2
position-weighted
Net
-2.7
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Deshawn Purdie (QB) from Charlotte
Biggest loss: Jeremy Hecklinski (QB) to Iowa
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Wide receiver via the portal
63%
#44 of 243 stints
Buys Tackle via the portal
56%
#54 of 223 stints
Postseason detail2025: Beat Mississippi State 43–29 Duke's Mayo Bowl

2 NFL Draft picks: Karon Prunty (2026), Demond Claiborne (2026)

AI Narratives — “Wake Forest's Inconsistent Finish” and 6 more on the team page.

9–4
2021–2024
Washington Statecaretaker
National Program III → National Program III
Jake Dickert held Washington State at National Program III for 4 seasons.

9th-best Washington State tenure of 21 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+7.0 pts
#75 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
-8.8 pts
#141 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Succeeded by Jimmy Rogers (2025–2025).

Season2021202220232024Trend
Record & result
Record4–37–65–70–1
PostseasonL bowlL bowlL bowl
Recruiting rank#60#60#63#62
Style — pass rate
Pass rate52.957.860.046.0
Coordinators
OCCraig Stutzmann / Brian SmithEric MorrisBen ArbuckleBen Arbuckle
DCJake DickertBrian WardJeff SchmeddingJeff Schmedding
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense70264286
Defense45366714
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%52.067.366.843.4
Red-zone pass%49.061.856.239.2
4th-down go%opp. territory50.045.937.150.0
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
37
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
117
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-80
#135 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′1″, 221 lbs
across 34 of 37 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+1.1 lbs
#214 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Sr
#4 of 255 · more than most
Top states: CA (11), TX (7), WA (5), LA (2), NJ (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
54.6
position-weighted
Talent lost
59.7
position-weighted
Net
-5.0
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Cameron Ward (QB) from Incarnate Word
Biggest loss: Cam Ward (QB) to Miami
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Eric Morris → Ben Arbuckle · 2023
26th pct42nd pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 67.3% → 66.8% (-0.5 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 58% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Brian Ward → Jeff Schmedding · 2023
36th pct67th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
219 lbs
6′2″ avg · #189 of 767 · more than most
Running back
204 lbs
5′11″ avg · #514 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
188 lbs
5′11″ avg · #618 of 791 · less than most
Tight end
239 lbs
6′3″ avg · #585 of 731 · less than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
303 lbs
6′5″ avg · #620 of 779 · less than most
D-line
294 lbs
6′3″ avg · #178 of 753 · more than most
Edge
249 lbs
6′3″ avg · #124 of 188 · a typical amount
Linebacker
225 lbs
6′1″ avg · #555 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
189 lbs
6′0″ avg · #429 of 771 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tackle from high school
80%
#171 of 223 stints
Grows Quarterback from high school
78%
#178 of 206 stints
Postseason detail2021: Lost to Central Michigan 21–24 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl2022: Lost to Fresno State 6–29 Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Presented by Stifel2024: Lost to Syracuse 35–52 DirecTV Holiday Bowl

7 NFL Draft picks: Abraham Lucas (2022), Jaylen Watson (2022), Daiyan Henley (2023), Jaden Hicks (2024), Brennan Jackson (2024), Chau Smith-Wade (2024), Kyle Williams (2025)

23–20
How to read this. Bands and archetypes come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.