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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Taulia Tagovailoa /Maryland

Taulia Tagovailoa

QB · Maryland · Sr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSMaryland 2023 alumnus

QB · MARYLAND · BIG TEN

Taulia Tagovailoa

  • 4
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 208 lb
  • Ewa Beach, HI

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#49

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

Maryland · QB

2022

Maryland · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Maryland · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
3,8602021
3,0082022
3,3772023

-13%

Down 13% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#180 national
CFB
College
Maryland
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 208 lb
HometownEwa Beach, HI
Primary teamMaryland

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 180 recruit
Composite rating 0.9269 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2019
Origin Thompson Alabaster, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.9269 No. 180 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#49Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#72Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9269

#180 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Taulia Tagovailoa

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Taulia Tagovailoa

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Taulia Tagovailoa's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Maryland, he has 3,377 passing yards and 25 touchdown passes, but he also adds 18 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #49 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 58.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 180 recruit

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,377 25 TD | 11 INT | #20/382 (95th pct)
Completion rate 66.4% 290/437 completions | #110/383 (72nd pct)
Yards/attempt 7.7 Explosiveness through the air | #111/382 (71st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientPocket-leaning

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
290 97th
ATT
437 97th
CMP%
66.4% 72nd
Y/A
7.7 71st

Passing Production

YDS
3,377 95th
TD
25 96th
INT
11 5th

Rushing

CAR
68 77th
YDS
18 38th
YPC
0.3 20th
TD
5 86th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Maryland6-6HC: Mike Locksley · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Balanced
2023Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Maryland29043766.4%3,3777.72511145.1----
2022Maryland26239167.0%3,0087.7188142.7----
2021Maryland32847469.2%3,8608.12611151.1----
Career3 loaded seasons8801,30267.6%10,2457.96930146.6----
SeasonTeam
2023Maryland68180.35--
2022Maryland87640.74--
2021Maryland80771.02--
Career3 loaded seasons2351590.711--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 18 5 rush TD | #253/408 (38th pct)
Usage 58.3% 95.5% pass share | 12.2% rush share | #22/428 (95th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.49 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #6/200 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,377 #20/382 95th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 25 #19/407 96th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 290 #14/383 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.4% #110/383 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.7 #111/382 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 18 #253/408 38th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.49 #6/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 479 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 58.3% #22/428 95th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 437 #13/407 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 11 #386/407 5th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 68 #93/408 77th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 23 #153/391 61st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #59/408 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 0.3 #326/407 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 95.5% #20/428 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 81.6% #3/428 100th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 71.4% #33/428 93rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 59.1% #26/428 94th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 52.4% #20/428 96th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 49.2% #39/428 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 12.2% #133/428 69th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.30 #40/140 72nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 54 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Locksley

Pass share

61.9%

491 pass / 302 run

Plays / game

66.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.3%

383 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Mike Locksley
Maryland
2022
Mike Locksley
Maryland
2023
Mike Locksley
Maryland

Played his entire career under Mike Locksley.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEwa Beach, HI
Height5'11"
Weight208 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-Big Ten all_conference Maryland | Big Ten QB
2022 All-Big Ten all_conference Maryland | Big Ten QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Maryland QB4 #49 #72 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Maryland QB4 #73 #102 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Maryland QB4 #43 #49 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Maryland Big Ten QB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Ewa Beach, HI
2022 Maryland Big Ten QB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Ewa Beach, HI
2021 Maryland Big Ten QB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Ewa Beach, HI