CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
KJ Jefferson
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · UCF · BIG 12
KJ Jefferson
- 4
- #1
- 6-3 | 247 lb
- Sardis, MS
Heisman Heat
#112
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedR11 · National watch / fringe AA
National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
Arkansas · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
2022
Arkansas · QB
—
★
2023
Arkansas · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
UCF · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2024-62%
Sharp dropoff (-62%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 4-star | 0.9001 | No. 320 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Arkansas
Composite
0.9001
#320 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on KJ Jefferson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about KJ Jefferson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. KJ Jefferson already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2024 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2024 season snapshot | final
2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Vertical threat | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2024 Season · Final
2024 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
64 58th
ATT
108 61st
CMP%
59.3% 42nd
Y/A
9.4 90th
Passing Production
YDS
1,012 63rd
TD
7 67th
INT
4 36th
Rushing
CAR
61 76th
YDS
193 79th
YPC
3.2 57th
TD
2 73rd
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Arkansas8-4HC: Sam Pittman · Run-heavy
2022Arkansas7-6HC: Sam Pittman · Run-heavy
2023Arkansas4-8HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2024UCF4-8HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,012 | #144/382 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 7 | #135/407 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 64 | #161/383 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 59.3% | #225/383 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 9.4 | #39/382 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 193 | #88/408 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.39 | #29/200 | 86th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 107 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 43.9% | #129/428 | 70th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 108 | #158/407 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 4 | #263/407 | 36th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 61 | #100/408 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 23 | #153/391 | 61st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.2 | #178/407 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 87.9% | #81/428 | 81st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 65.9% | #71/428 | 84th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 50.7% | #141/428 | 67th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 41.9% | #95/428 | 78th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 41.9% | #133/428 | 69th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 37.3% | #126/428 | 71st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.6% | #68/428 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.32 | #36/140 | 75th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 37 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Frost
Pass share
51.7%
403 pass / 377 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024
1 coach2021
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
Played his entire career under Gus Malzahn.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSardis, MS
Height6'3"
Weight247 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUCF
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-SEC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-SEC | all_conference | Arkansas | SEC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UCF | QB4 | #112 | #138 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Arkansas | QB4 | #144 | #260 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Arkansas | QB4 | #26 | #51 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | Arkansas | QB4 | #14 | #13 | 2.2% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.