cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Perry Thompson /Auburn

Perry Thompson

WR · Auburn · So · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

154 REC YDS · 17 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Auburn → Minnesota for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Minnesota

2025Auburn
2026Minnesota

WR · AUBURN · SEC

Perry Thompson

  • 2
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 220 lb
  • Foley, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

11

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 18th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1380

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1262024
1542025

+22%

Modest growth (22%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#44 national
CFB
College
Auburn
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 220 lb
HometownFoley, AL
Primary teamAuburn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 44 recruit
Composite rating 0.9799 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2024
Origin Foley Foley, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9799 No. 44 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Minnesota 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Auburn -> Minnesota 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1380Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1923Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.9799

#44 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Perry Thompson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Alabama & Auburn making final pushes for Thompson 4-Star DB &nbsp;&nbsp; Touchdo"Own fansNational: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "Northwestern offensive lineman Josh Thompson announced he’s transferring to LSU."National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Perry Thompson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
154Rec yards
17Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
19.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
250.2Rec yards
28Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 154): needs 109.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 154): needs 169.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 17): needs 8.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 17): needs 12.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Perry Thompson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Auburn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1380 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 44 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 17 0 rec TD | #454/1110 (59th pct)
Receiving yards 154 9.1 per catch | #534/1107 (52nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 154 Total offensive yardage | #534/1107 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
17 59th
YDS
154 52nd
YPR
9.1 26th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 42-3vs Ball State177.007
Wk 3W 31-15vs South Alabama144.004
Wk 7L 10-20vs Georgia2189.0011
Wk 8L 17-23vs Missouri46015.0034Season-high 60 yds
Wk 9W 33-24@ Arkansas199.009
Wk 10L 3-10vs Kentucky3175.708
Wk 11L 38-45@ Vanderbilt4287.008
Wk 13W 62-17vs Mercer11111.0011
Total171548.5034
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Balanced
2025Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Auburn171549.10--
2024Auburn512625.21--
Career2 loaded seasons2228012.71--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.4% 12.9% pass-game share | #325/1137 (72nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 17 #454/1110 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 154 #534/1107 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.1 #824/1106 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.9% #325/1137 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.3% #220/1137 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.4% #266/1137 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.3% #148/1137 87th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.4% #324/1137 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.6% #440/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.3% #656/1137 42nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.019.58.60.0
Road2g2.518.58.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.07.87.80.0
Losses4g3.230.89.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.39.76.70.0
Weeks 8+5g2.625.09.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

11Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (6th).

Long catch#447 / 558 · 19th pct
34rece
Receptions#454 / 558 · 18th pct
17rece
Yards / catch#501 / 558 · 10th pct
9.1rece
Rec yards#515 / 558 · 8th pct
154rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Perry ThompsonAuburnMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 56% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 53% simAaron TurnerRice· 49% sim
Long catch
19
Thompson
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner
Receptions
18
Thompson
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Yards / catch
10
Thompson
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec yards
8
Thompson
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Rec TDs
7
Thompson
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ben Ratzlaff’s 2021 season.

Ben Ratzlaff

96%match

Western Kentucky · 2021

#2

Isaiah Washington

Rutgers · 2021

78%
#3

Darrell Harding Jr.

Duke · 2021

78%
#4

Mark Hamper

California · 2025

76%
#5

Tyree Kelly

Massachusetts · 2025

75%

Matches Ben on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ben Ratzlaff's sophomore season at Western Kentucky (2021).

Ben Ratzlaff

94%match

Western Kentucky · 2021

#2

Mark Hamper

California · 2025

82%
#3

Jackson Holman

Wyoming · 2025

74%
#4

Isaiah Washington

Rutgers · 2021

74%
#5

Miles Burris

Charlotte · 2025

71%

Matches Ben on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Hugh Freeze

Pass share

44.7%

360 pass / 445 run

Plays / game

67.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.3%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
2025
Hugh Freeze
Auburn

Played his entire career under Hugh Freeze.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFoley, AL
Height6'3"
Weight220 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Auburn WR2 #1380 #1923 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Auburn SEC WR 2 No. 3 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Foley, AL
2024 Auburn SEC WR 2 No. 3 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Foley, AL