CFB Zeitgeist Score
70
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 95th percentile.
Israel Polk
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
525 REC YDS · 33 REC · 8 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Oklahoma State
WR · AKRON · MID-AMERICAN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
70
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 95th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#3167
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2023
Pittsburgh · WR
—
2024
Akron · WR
—
2025
Akron · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025Up 3650% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8592 | No. 1141 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Akron -> Oklahoma State | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Pittsburgh -> Akron | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8592
#1141 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
15.9
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#72 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.9 yards per reception (33 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=33 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 at UAB — 99 ypr
Result L 28-31
The week the volume broke through — put up 99 yds at UAB.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 525): needs 175/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 525): needs 475/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 33): needs 27/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 33): needs 47/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 8.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 8): needs 2/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Israel Polk already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 0-10vs Wyoming | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 2 | L 0-68@ Nebraska | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 3 | L 28-31@ UAB | 4 | 99 | 24.8 | 2 | 75 | Season-high 99 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 51-7vs Duquesne | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 5 | L 3-45@ Toledo | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 6 | W 28-22vs Central Michigan | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 7 | L 7-20vs Miami (OH) | 5 | 28 | 5.6 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 8 | L 28-42@ Ball State | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | 2 | 25 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 9 | W 24-16@ Buffalo | 3 | 67 | 22.3 | 0 | 46 | |
| Wk 11 | W 44-10vs Massachusetts | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 12 | L 35-42vs Kent State | 4 | 67 | 16.8 | 1 | 19 | |
| Wk 13 | W 19-16@ Bowling Green | 2 | 85 | 42.5 | 1 | 75 | |
| Total | 33 | 525 | 15.7 | 8 | 75 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Akron | 33 | 525 | 15.9 | 8 | -- |
| 2024 | Akron | 24 | 201 | 8.4 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 58 | 740 | 12.8 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Akron | 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Akron | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 33 | #247/1110 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 525 | #198/1107 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 8 | #23/1111 | 98th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.9 | #213/1106 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 14.0% | #279/1137 | 76th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 75 | #47/1105 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.7% | #394/1137 | 65th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.4% | #187/1137 | 84th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.3% | #216/1137 | 81st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.3% | #254/1137 | 78th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.9% | #473/1137 | 58th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.8% | #319/1137 | 72nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.3% | #332/1137 | 71st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.7 | 30.3 | 12.1 | 0.5 |
| Road6g | 2.8 | 57.2 | 19.3 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 2.0 | 45.2 | 21.7 | 0.4 |
| Losses7g | 3.3 | 42.7 | 11.4 | 0.9 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.6 | 31.6 | 11.3 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 3.0 | 60.8 | 21.8 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: rec tds (94th). Strength: long catch (90th). Concern: rush yards (17th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Javen Banks’s 2020 season.
Javen Banks
Nic Trujillo
Dontae Fleming
Chris Reed
Corey Smith
Matches Javen on
Differs from Javen on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Harris’s path through Furman.
Joshua Harris
Jalen McDonald
Ben Skowronek
DeVontres Dukes
Donovan Brown
Matches Joshua on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Nic Trujillo's junior season at UL Monroe (2025).
Nic Trujillo
Jaedn Skeete
Darrell Gill Jr.
Nick Devereaux
Cole Turner
Matches Nic on
Differs from Nic on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Joe Moorhead
Pass share
48.7%
402 pass / 423 run
Plays / game
68.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.2%
370 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Joe Moorhead.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Akron | MAC | WR |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Akron | WR2 | #3167 | #3926 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | WR2 | #3705 | #4020 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Akron | Mid-American | WR | 2 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 170 lb | Richmond, CA |
| 2024 | Akron | Mid-American | WR | 2 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 170 lb | Richmond, CA |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | ACC | WR | 2 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 170 lb | Richmond, CA |