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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Yannick Smith /East Carolina

Yannick Smith

WR · East Carolina · So · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

583 REC YDS · 44 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred East Carolina → SMU for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to SMU

2025East Carolina
2026SMU

WR · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Yannick Smith

  • 2
  • #1
  • 6-3 | 207 lb
  • Summerville, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4387

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#885 national
CFB
College
East Carolina
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey1
Measurements6-3 | 207 lb
HometownSummerville, SC
Primary teamEast Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 885 recruit
Composite rating 0.8711 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Summerville Summerville, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8711 No. 885 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination SMU 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 East Carolina -> SMU 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4387Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4345Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8711

#885 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Yannick Smith

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Yannick Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #203 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 62nd

Why it matters

#203 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.3 yards per reception (44 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.3 (62th)

HIGH · n=44 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#156 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs BYU — 146 ypr

Result L 13-34

The week the volume broke through — put up 146 yds vs BYU.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
583Rec yards
44Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
58.3Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
757.9Rec yards
57Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 583): needs 39/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 583): needs 139/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 44): needs 5.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 44): needs 12/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Yannick Smith's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4387 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 44 5 rec TD | #153/1110 (86th pct)
Receiving yards 583 13.3 per catch | #162/1107 (85th pct)
Scrimmage yards 583 Total offensive yardage | #162/1107 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
44 86th
YDS
583 85th
YPR
13.3 62nd
TD
5 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-24@ NC State5448.8022
Wk 2W 56-3vs Campbell56713.4025
Wk 3W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina4256.32112 TD catches
Wk 4L 13-34vs BYU914616.2038Season-high 146 yds
Wk 5W 28-6vs Army35618.7027
Wk 7L 19-26@ Tulane33210.7015
Wk 8W 41-27vs Tulsa144.004
Wk 10W 45-14@ Temple510020.02592 TD catches
Wk 11W 48-22vs Charlotte6599.8119
Wk 12W 31-27vs Memphis35016.7039
Total4458312.5559
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina4458313.25--
Career1 loaded season4458313.25--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.4% 13.8% pass-game share | #287/1137 (75th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 44 #153/1110 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 583 #162/1107 85th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.3 #420/1106 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.8% #287/1137 75th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 59 #184/1105 83rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.6% #256/1137 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.4% #432/1137 62nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.4% #324/1137 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.1% #284/1137 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.6% #442/1137 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.5% #372/1137 67th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.563.713.10.2
Road4g4.250.211.41.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.951.612.70.7
Losses3g5.774.011.90.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.861.712.30.3
Weeks 8+4g3.853.212.60.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

69Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Receptions#153 / 558 · 72nd pct
44rece
Rec yards#162 / 558 · 71st pct
583rece
Long catch#164 / 558 · 70th pct
59rece
Yards / catch#250 / 558 · 55th pct
13.3rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Yannick SmithEast CarolinaJordan HudsonSMU· 87% simQue'Sean BrownDuke· 86% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 86% sim
Rec TDs
78
Smith
87
Hudson
78
Brown
78
Duplessis
Receptions
72
Smith
90
Hudson
92
Brown
92
Duplessis
Rec yards
71
Smith
86
Hudson
91
Brown
91
Duplessis
Long catch
70
Smith
84
Hudson
83
Brown
81
Duplessis
Yards / catch
55
Smith
46
Hudson
56
Brown
59
Duplessis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joseph Manjack’s 2023 season.

Joseph Manjack

82%match

Houston · 2023

#2

Ian Strong

Rutgers · 2024

81%
#3

Jason Brownlee

Southern Miss · 2020

75%
#4

Jared Wayne

Pittsburgh · 2021

79%
#5

Kaden Prather

Maryland · 2023

NFL Rd 7
78%

Matches Joseph on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Differs from Joseph on

Class year (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyndon Fuselier’s path through Lamar.

Kyndon Fuselier

97%match

Lamar · 2025

#2

Jacob Harris

UCF · 2020

97%
#3

Cam Camper

Boise State · 2024

96%
#4

Lujuan Winningham

Central Arkansas · 2021

96%
#5

Jalen Kelsey

Campbell · 2022

94%

Matches Kyndon on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Bryce Ford-Wheaton's sophomore season at West Virginia (2021).

Bryce Ford-Wheaton

74%match

West Virginia · 2021

#2

Neil Pau'u

BYU · 2021

76%
#3

Terrell Anderson

NC State · 2025

74%
#4

Chase Roberts

BYU · 2023

74%
#5

John Neider

UConn · 2025

73%

Matches Bryce on

Reception volume
Yards / reception

Differs from Bryce on

Class year (lower)
Weight (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Pass share

44.5%

440 pass / 548 run

Plays / game

76.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

343 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Blake Harrell
East Carolina

Played his entire career under Blake Harrell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSummerville, SC
Height6'3"
Weight207 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 East Carolina WR2 #4387 #4345 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 East Carolina American Athletic WR 2 No. 1 | 6-3 | 207 lb | Summerville, SC
2024 East Carolina American Athletic WR 2 No. 1 | 6-3 | 207 lb | Summerville, SC