cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Demarcus Lacey /Marshall

Demarcus Lacey

WR · Marshall · Sr · #4

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Demarcus Lacey arrives at Marshall with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

769REC YDS65REC5REC TD

STRAIGHT 100-YD REC GAMES

3

longest 2025 run of 100+ receiving yds

Read the story so far

He lines up at WR for Marshall.

On the field, the headline is 769 rec yds, with 65 rec.

He inherited the WR job from Christian Fitzpatrick (3-star).

The number to watch: 3 — straight 100-yd rec games.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromChristian Fitzpatrick 3★
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • longest 2025 run of 100+ receiving yds
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Marshall

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (27 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Marshall · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #120

WR · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Demarcus Lacey

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Birmingham, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4628

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Marshall
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownBirmingham, AL
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Marshall 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 17, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Jacksonville State -> Marshall 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate
2024 North Alabama -> Jacksonville State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4628Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5004Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (769).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Demarcus Lacey

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Demarcus Lacey

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

769

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #69 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 87th

Why it matters

#69 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 769 yards on 65 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 769 (87th)

HIGH · n=65 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Yards per reception#300 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 5 at Louisiana — 146 receiving_yards_total

Result L 51-54

The week the volume broke through — put up 146 yds at Louisiana.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
769Rec yards
65Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
64.1Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
833.1Rec yards
70Receptions
5Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 769.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 769): needs 231/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 65.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 65): needs 15/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Demarcus Lacey's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Marshall, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4628 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 65 5 rec TD | #36/1110 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 769 11.8 per catch | #75/1107 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 926 Total offensive yardage | #75/1107 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
65 97th
YDS
769 93rd
YPR
11.8 49th
TD
5 91st

Rushing

CAR
19 97th
YDS
157 97th
YPC
8.3 81st
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
218 93rd
PR AVG
12.1 79th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-45@ Georgia3113.707
Wk 2L 20-21vs Missouri State221.002
Wk 3W 38-7vs Eastern Kentucky
Wk 4W 42-28@ Middle Tennessee511623.2168
Wk 5L 51-54@ Louisiana1014614.6235Season-high 146 yds
Wk 7W 48-24vs Old Dominion812115.1152
Wk 8W 40-37vs Texas State78812.6030
Wk 10L 27-44@ Coastal Carolina5244.8010
Wk 11L 23-35vs James Madison5357.0017
Wk 12W 30-18@ Georgia State4399.8114
Wk 13L 24-26@ App State1213411.2038134-yard receiving day
Wk 14L 19-24vs Georgia Southern45313.3034
Total6576910.6568
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Marshall5-7HC: Tony Gibson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall6576911.85--
Career1 loaded season6576911.85--
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall19157--218--
Career1 loaded season19157--218--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 11.2% 20.8% pass-game share | #77/1137 (93rd pct)
Return yards 218 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 65 #36/1110 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 769 #75/1107 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.8 #562/1106 49th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 218 #16/224 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 20.8% #77/1137 93rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 157 #11/397 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 32 #28/346 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 19 #14/407 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 8.3 #74/393 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 68 #109/1105 90th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 18 #21/237 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 12.1 #47/222 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.6% #109/1137 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 12.5% #34/1137 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 11.2% #59/1137 95th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.6% #193/1137 83rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 10.6% #50/1137 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.2% #106/1137 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 4.3% #26/1137 98th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.349.89.80.2
Road6g6.578.311.20.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g4.872.815.20.6
Losses7g5.957.97.90.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.766.011.50.7
Weeks 8+6g6.262.29.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

75Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (97th). Strength: receptions (93rd).

Rush yards#9 / 287 · 97th pct
157rush
Receptions#36 / 558 · 93rd pct
65rece
Rec yards#75 / 558 · 87th pct
769rece
Long catch#100 / 558 · 81st pct
68rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#349 / 558 · 37th pct
11.8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Demarcus LaceyMarshallDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 96% simChris BellLouisville· 93% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 89% sim
Rush yards
97
Lacey
Receptions
93
Lacey
95
Voisin
97
Bell
90
Faupel
Rec yards
87
Lacey
87
Voisin
93
Bell
79
Faupel
Long catch
81
Lacey
78
Voisin
77
Bell
65
Faupel
Fumbles lost
81
Lacey
81
Voisin
81
Faupel
Rec TDs
78
Lacey
68
Voisin
87
Bell
92
Faupel
Rush TDs
39
Lacey
Yards / catch
37
Lacey
35
Voisin
47
Bell
24
Faupel

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hank Beatty’s 2025 season.

Hank Beatty

78%match

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
#2

Jarrin Pierce

Middle Tennessee · 2020

70%
#3

Justin Garrett

UTEP · 2020

68%
#4

Chase Hendricks

Ohio · 2025

All-MAC
74%
#5

Keontra Smith

Miami · 2021

66%

Matches Hank on

Yards / reception
Weight
Height

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ryan Flournoy’s path through Southeast Missouri State.

Ryan Flournoy

98%match

Southeast Missouri State · 2023

NFL Rd 6
#2

Latrell Caples

Boise State · 2025

All-Mountain West
98%
#3

Jameel Gardner Jr.

Jackson State · 2025

98%
#4

Xavier Lane

Missouri State · 2021

98%
#5

Anthony Lowe

Gardner-Webb · 2025

97%

Matches Ryan on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Logan Loya's senior season at UCLA (2023).

Logan Loya

82%match

UCLA · 2023

#2

Hank Beatty

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
81%
#3

Joey Hobert

Texas State · 2023

All-Sun Belt
80%
#4

Xavier Weaver

Colorado · 2023

All-AAC
78%
#5

Kyle Williams

Washington State · 2023

76%

Matches Logan on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Logan on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Tony Gibson
Marshall

Played his entire career under Tony Gibson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBirmingham, AL
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State WR4 #4628 #5004 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Marshall Sun Belt WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Birmingham, AL
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Birmingham, AL