cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dylan Edwards /Kansas State

Dylan Edwards

RB · Kansas State · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

205 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 34 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Kansas State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35

RB · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Dylan Edwards

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-9 | 170 lb
  • Derby, KS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1502

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
3212023
2052025

-36%

Sharp dropoff (-36%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#165 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-9 | 170 lb
HometownDerby, KS
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 165 recruit
Composite rating 0.9334 HighSchool
Signed with Colorado 2023
Origin Derby Derby, KS, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9334 No. 165 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1502Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1381Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Colorado

Composite

0.9334

#165 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dylan Edwards

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 49 mentions
Confidence HIGH

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 49 mentions · belief +0 · "Kansas State just can’t catch a break. The Wildcats are once again dealing with "Own fansNational: 8 mentions · belief +0 · "Dylan Edwards took over, breaking both the Rate Bowl record and the K-State bowl"National
  • Own fans · n=49
  • National · n=8

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dylan Edwards

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
205Rush yards
34Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
51.2Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
666.2Rush yards
110Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 205): needs 60.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 205): needs 88.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 205): needs 143.9/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 0.9/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dylan Edwards's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1502 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 18.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 165 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 222 205 rush | 17 rec | #333/735 (55th pct)
Rush TD 2 34 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 6.0 Per-rush efficiency | #108/735 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
34 50th
YDS
205 55th
YPC
6.0 85th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
3 33rd
YDS
17 27th
YPR
5.7 34th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 21-24vs Iowa State
Wk 3L 17-23@ Arizona4133.3011
Wk 5W 34-20vs UCF201668.3175Season-high 166 yds
Wk 6L 34-35@ Baylor10262.615
Total342054.7275
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State342056.02--
2023Colorado763214.21--
Career2 loaded seasons1105264.83--
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State3175.70--
2023Colorado362998.34--
Career2 loaded seasons393168.14--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 3 17 rec yds | #371/552 (33rd pct)
Usage 18.8% 34.3% rush share | #106/738 (86th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.23 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #35/362 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 205 #333/735 55th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.0 #108/735 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 3 #371/552 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 17 #400/548 27th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.23 #35/362 91st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 38 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 18.8% #106/738 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 75 #36/733 95th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 34 #370/739 50th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 13 #347/540 36th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.7 #360/548 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 1 #20/29 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 34.3% #93/738 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 28.3% #51/738 93rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 23.9% #87/738 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.3% #258/738 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.6% #154/738 79th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.7% #310/738 58th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.9% #318/738 57th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g83.08.30.5
Road2g19.53.00.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g1668.31.0
Losses3g13.03.00.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g51.24.70.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

37Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long run (89th). Strength: yards / carry (86th). Concern: carries (0th).

Long run#33 / 349 · 90th pct
75rush
Yards / carry#47 / 349 · 86th pct
6.0rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rec yards#303 / 338 · 11th pct
17rece
Receptions#305 / 338 · 8th pct
3rece
Rush yards#325 / 349 · 7th pct
205rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
34rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.23High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Dylan EdwardsKansas StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 56% simTae MeadowsTroy· 50% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 49% sim
Long run
90
Edwards
73
Brunson
53
Meadows
49
Wright
Yards / carry
86
Edwards
41
Brunson
29
Meadows
33
Wright
Fumbles lost
49
Edwards
49
Brunson
49
Meadows
49
Wright
Rush TDs
26
Edwards
50
Brunson
72
Meadows
62
Wright
Rec yards
11
Edwards
3
Brunson
38
Meadows
10
Wright
Receptions
8
Edwards
2
Brunson
45
Meadows
32
Wright
Rush yards
7
Edwards
80
Brunson
74
Meadows
84
Wright
Carries
0
Edwards
85
Brunson
84
Meadows
92
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDerby, KS
Height5'9"
Weight170 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas State RB3 #1502 #1381 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Colorado RB3 #1213 #1613 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 RB 3 No. 3 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Derby, KS
2024 Kansas State Big 12 RB 3 No. 3 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Derby, KS
2023 Colorado Pac-12 RB 3 No. 3 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Derby, KS