cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Harvey Dyson III /Tulane

Harvey Dyson III

LB · Tulane · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

31 TACKLES · 7 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Tulane

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74

LB · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Harvey Dyson III

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-3 | 250 lb
  • Cedar Hill, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12449

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1248 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-3 | 250 lb
HometownCedar Hill, TX
Primary teamTulane

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1248 recruit
Composite rating 0.8507 HighSchool
Signed with Texas Tech 2022
Origin Cedar Hill Cedar Hill, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8507 No. 1248 recruit | HighSchool | Texas Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12449Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12344Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Texas Tech

Composite

0.8507

#1248 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Harvey Dyson III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Harvey Dyson III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
31Tackles
10Tackles for loss
7Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
10.8Tackles for loss
7.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 31): needs 49/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 31): needs 69/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 7.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Harvey Dyson III is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulane's defense, with 7.0 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12449 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 31 15 solo | #1302/4942 (74th pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 7.0 Pass-rush finish | #39/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
31 74th
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
7.0 99th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 33-31@ South Alabama410.50.50
Wk 3W 34-27vs Duke100.50.00
Wk 4L 10-45@ Ole Miss300.50.01
Wk 5W 31-14@ Tulsa222.02.002 sacks
Wk 7W 26-19vs East Carolina421.01.00
Wk 8W 24-17vs Army321.00.00
Wk 11W 38-32@ Memphis221.01.00
Wk 12W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic521.00.50Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 13W 37-13@ Temple210.00.00
Wk 14W 27-0vs Charlotte100.00.00
Wk 15W 34-21vs North Texas321.51.00
BowlL 10-41@ Ole Miss111.01.00
Total311510.07.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulane311510.07.01----
2023Texas Tech510.50.5------
2022Texas Tech110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons371710.57.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 31 #1302/4942 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 7.0 #39/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.80.80.40.0
Road6g2.30.80.80.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g2.70.80.60.0
Losses2g2.00.80.50.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.50.90.80.2
Weeks 8+6g2.70.80.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

66Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (98th). Strength: tackles for loss (96th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Sacks#39 / 2975 · 98th pct
7.0defe
Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
Tackles#1302 / 2975 · 55th pct
31defe
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Harvey Dyson IIITulaneMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 76% simChris JonesSouthern Miss· 72% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 71% sim
Sacks
98
III
89
Montgomery
91
Jones
96
Kuwatch
Tackles for loss
96
III
85
Montgomery
96
Jones
96
Kuwatch
Tackles
55
III
99
Montgomery
100
Jones
98
Kuwatch
Solo tackles
50
III
82
Montgomery
97
Jones
95
Kuwatch
Passes defended
48
III
67
Montgomery
67
Jones
48
Kuwatch
QB hurries
22
III
22
Montgomery
22
Jones
55
Kuwatch

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trey Moore’s 2024 season.

Trey Moore

76%match

Texas · 2024

NFL Rd 4
#2

Tomon Fox

North Carolina · 2021

71%
#3

PJ Ramsey

Air Force · 2023

All-Mountain West
69%
#4

Elo Modozie

Army · 2024

All-AAC
66%
#5

Demetrius Hardamon

Bowling Green · 2022

66%

Matches Trey on

Tackle volume
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from Trey on

Sack rate (higher)
Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tobi Osunsanmi's senior season at Kansas State (2025).

Tobi Osunsanmi

77%match

Kansas State · 2025

#2

Santana Hopper

Tulane · 2025

All-Sun Belt
74%
#3

Grayson Murphy

UCLA · 2023

74%
#4

Joshua Burnham

Notre Dame · 2025

64%
#5

Javon Solomon

Troy · 2023

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 5
57%

Matches Tobi on

Class year
TFL rate
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jon Sumrall

Pass share

45.8%

424 pass / 501 run

Plays / game

66.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.4%

294 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Willie Fritz
Tulane
2023
Slade Nagle
Tulane
era →
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Willie Fritz, Slade Nagle, and Jon Sumrall. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCedar Hill, TX
Height6'3"
Weight250 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech LB3 #12449 #12344 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Texas Tech LB3 #11541 #11410 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech LB3 #11220 #11068 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulane American Athletic LB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Cedar Hill, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Cedar Hill, TX
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Cedar Hill, TX
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 LB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Cedar Hill, TX