NC State
Virginia
7:30 PM · Scott Stadium

What’s at stake

Virginia

  • A win puts Virginia a step closer to a 6% shot at the CFP field.
  • Virginia is coming off a 26-point win.

NC State

  • A win puts NC State a step closer to a 3% shot at the CFP field.
  • NC State is still shaking off a 26-point loss.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

NC State leads the series 38-23

61 meetings since 1904 · Virginia won the last meeting

  • 2026Virginia 34–8
  • 2025NC State 35–31
  • 2023NC State 24–21
  • 2020NC State 38–21
  • 2018NC State 35–21

Best players

Virginia

  • Caleb Hardy (LB) · 1 sacks
  • Jaylen Jones (S) · 1 sacks
  • Myles Brown (LB) · 8 tackles

NC State

  • Raul Aguirre Jr. (LB) · 18 tackles
  • King Mack (S) · 7 tackles
  • Ronnie Royal III (S) · 7 tackles

The line, and the room

Virginia fans are feeling better about their season (44th percentile) than NC State fans are (33rd) — even with NC State favored here.

  • Model · 48%
  • Market · 63%
  • Virginia fans · 44th
  • NC State fans · 33rd

Home −4 · O/U 50.5

Conditions

80°F · 3 mph wind · Clear

Home-field advantage: Elite

Virginia is 66% at home, 36% on the road since 2018 (35-18 home, 14-25 away).

NC State 8 – Virginia 34

Virginia 34: 81%NC State 8: 19%

Missed — picked NC State, Virginia won.

Players to watch

Virginia

  • Caleb Hardy LB1 Sacks
  • Jaylen Jones S1 Sacks
  • Myles Brown LB8 Tackles
  • Maddox Marcellus LB7 Tackles
  • Landon Danley LB5 Tackles

NC State

  • Raul Aguirre Jr. LB18 Tackles
  • King Mack S7 Tackles
  • Ronnie Royal III S7 Tackles
  • Harvey Dyson III LB5 Tackles
  • Brian Nelson II CB5 Tackles

The market

Book hold: 4.3%

Conference standings

  • Virginia#21-0
  • NC State#160-1

Virginia beat NC State 34-8 — the pregame pick had NC State instead.