NC State routs Richmond 73-0

Team pages: Richmond · NC State

Richmond2-10
NC State1-173Final
Fri, Sep 11 · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, N.C. · Crowd 56,919ESPNU

NC State routed Richmond 73-0.

We had NC State favored. It won.

Next: Richmond beat Georgetown 24-21, Sat Sep 19

Next: NC State lost to Vanderbilt 35-31, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave NC State an 89% chance, and the closing betting line (NC State was a 33.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

NC State led by 21 after the first quarter and by 49 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+73+73
FinalNC State 73-0 RichmondNC State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.At the airport: 0.3 in of rain
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Play stopped, 91 min. Open it in Game conditions.91 minNC StateWon73-0Scores0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Play stopped, 91 min. Open it in Game conditions.91 minNC StateWon73-0Scores0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Play stopped, 91 min. Open it in Game conditions.91 minNC StateLowest 0%Lost0-73Scores0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Play stopped, 91 min. Open it in Game conditions.91 minNC StateLowest 0%Lost0-73Scores0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

NC State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (NC State -33.5), at 99% for NC State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.
The blue strip under the chart is the weather at the airport. 0.02 in of rain by radar over the stadium; the airport 7.2 miles away recorded 0.3 in; another 0.2 in fell while play was stopped, heaviest in the first quarter. Measured at Raleigh / Durham airport, 7.2 miles away. Full conditions below.The dashed blue line marks where play stopped for 1 hour 31 minutes in the second quarter. Thunder was reported at Raleigh / Durham airport (7.2 miles away) from 8:00 p.m. to 8:20 p.m., around the stoppage.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show NC State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 10:44Scott 65-yd TD runNC State leads 14-0Q1, 10:44 · NC State 14, Richmond 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 1:01Scott 7-yd TD runNC State leads 21-0Q1, 1:01 · NC State 21, Richmond 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 11:33Bailey 1-yd TD runNC State leads 28-0Q2, 11:33 · NC State 28, Richmond 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 10:39Snelsire intercepted by Vick at the NCSU30Q2, 10:39 · NC State 28, Richmond 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 6:23Bailey 15-yd TD pass to DouglasNC State leads 42-0Q2, 6:23 · NC State 42, Richmond 042-0score after the play42-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 0:24Wilson 1-yd TD runNC State leads 49-0Q2, 0:24 · NC State 49, Richmond 049-0score after the play49-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 4:12Wilson 3-yd TD pass to ProvienceNC State leads 63-0Q3, 4:12 · NC State 63, Richmond 063-0score after the play63-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

NC State scored on 11 of its 12 drives; Richmond on 0 of its 14.

NC State’s drives are teal, Richmond’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Richmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntNC State: Touchdown, from 77 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntNC State: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Punt, from 78 yards out to 46PuntNC State: Touchdown, from 86 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 58FumbleQ2NC State: Touchdown, from 42 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Interception, from 57 yards out to 55InterceptionNC State: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntNC State: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntNC State: Punt, from 68 yards out to 65PuntRichmond: Punt, from 70 yards out to 67PuntNC State: Touchdown, from 86 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: End of half, from 75 yards out to 66End of halfQ3NC State: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 89PuntRichmond: Turned over on downs, from 43 yards out to 46DownsNC State: Touchdown, from 54 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 59PuntNC State: Field goal, from 83 yards out to 28Field goalQ4Richmond: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntNC State: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownRichmond: End of game, from 75 yards out to 64End of game
“They're getting all their TDs out of the way tonight against Richmond, so they can lay a goose egg at Vandy”
An NC State fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans were up and loud before the first quarter was out.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthNC State fansRichmond fansusual

Box score

NC State 73, Richmond 0

NC State covered −33.5 by 39.5. The total, 73, went over 50.5.

RichmondNC StateTotal yardsRichmond 110NC State 734110734Passing yardsRichmond 76NC State 30676306Rushing yardsRichmond 34NC State 42834428First downsRichmond 6NC State 31631TurnoversRichmond 2NC State 121Time of possessionRichmond 22:17NC State 37:4322:1737:43
Team totalsRichmondNC State
Total yards110734
Passing8 of 27, 76 yds18 of 24, 306 yds
Rushing22 for 34 yds45 for 428 yds
First downs631
Third down2 of 138 of 10
Fourth down0 of 10 of 0
Turnovers21
Penalties7 for 34 yds4 for 40 yds
Time of possession22:1737:43

Richmond leaders

  • Passing Ashten Snelsire 8 of 23, 76 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Warrick Stephenson 14 for 58 yds; Michael Creamer 2 for 4 yds
  • Receiving Michael Creamer 1 for 23 yds; Bryce Allen 2 for 22 yds

NC State leaders

  • Passing CJ Bailey 13 of 17, 281 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Jayden Scott 9 for 128 yds, 2 TD; Dylan McCoy 4 for 73 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Keenan Jackson 4 for 123 yds; Preston Douglas 2 for 58 yds, 1 TD

Play stopped for 91 minutes in the second quarter

88° at kickoff · 0.02 in of rain by radar over the stadium; the airport 7.2 miles away recorded 0.3 in; another 0.2 in fell while play was stopped

Thunder was reported at Raleigh / Durham airport (7.2 miles away) from 8:00 p.m. to 8:20 p.m., around the stoppage.

September game-day temperatures at Carter-Finley Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4NC State favoredRichmond favored100%Win chanceNC StateRaininches per 10 min0.1 inWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airportThunder reportedStopped 91 min
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4NC State favoredRichmond favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airportThunder reportedStopped 91 min

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Second quarter, 11:33 left7:55 p.m.
Richmond 0, NC State 28 · NC State 100% to win
During the stoppage: rain not reported · 75°
The clock stopped here for 91 minutes (7:55 p.m. to 9:26 p.m.), and thunder was reported at Raleigh / Durham airport.
Bailey 1-yd TD run, NC State leads 28-0

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Raleigh / Durham airport, 7.2 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Richmond · 2-0

Rated 179th in our preseason ratings, 185th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 28-21 @ Howard #235 of 668

won by 7 as a 14-point favorite

Richmond won 28-21 at Howard. Chance to win started at 77%, low 77%, high 99%.

W 35-14 vs Bucknell #233 of 668

won by 21 as a 12.5-point favorite

Richmond won 35-14 vs Bucknell. Chance to win started at 86%, low 86%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

NC State · 8-5

Rated 44th in our preseason ratings, 46th now.

Three straight wins, including a 10-point win over Florida State as a 6.5-point underdog.

W 31-7 vs MemphisTop 25 #66 of 667

won by 24 as a 3.5-point favorite

NC State won 31-7 vs Memphis. Chance to win started at 73%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

W 42-19 vs North Carolina #115 of 667

won by 23 as a 7.5-point favorite

NC State won 42-19 vs North Carolina. Chance to win started at 77%, low 77%, high better than 99%.

W 21-11 vs Florida StateTop 25 #31 of 667

won by 10 as a 6.5-point underdog

NC State won 21-11 vs Florida State. Chance to win started at 40%, low 28%, high better than 99%.

L 7-41 @ MiamiTop 25 #7 of 667

lost by 34 as a 16.5-point underdog

NC State lost 7-41 at Miami. Chance to win started at 11%, low under 1%, high 12%.

W 48-36 vs Georgia TechTop 25 #39 of 667

won by 12 as a 4.5-point underdog

NC State won 48-36 vs Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 48%, low 28%, high better than 99%.

L 34-53 @ PittsburghTop 25 #39 of 667

lost by 19 as a 5.5-point underdog

NC State lost 34-53 at Pittsburgh. Chance to win started at 27%, low under 1%, high 30%.

L 7-36 @ Notre DameTop 25 #2 of 667

lost by 29 as a 24.5-point underdog

NC State lost 7-36 at Notre Dame. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 12%.

W 56-10 vs Campbell #253 of 667

won by 46 as a 41.5-point favorite

NC State won 56-10 vs Campbell. Chance to win started at better than 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 21-23 vs Virginia Tech #68 of 667

lost by 2 as a 10.5-point favorite

NC State lost 21-23 vs Virginia Tech. Chance to win started at 83%, low 12%, high 89%.

L 33-45 @ Duke #65 of 667

lost by 12 as a 3.5-point underdog

NC State lost 33-45 at Duke. Chance to win started at 28%, low under 1%, high 78%.

W 34-24 @ Wake Forest #87 of 667

won by 10 as a 7.5-point favorite

NC State won 34-24 at Wake Forest. Chance to win started at 60%, low 20%, high 99%.

W 35-31 vs VirginiaTop 25 #62 of 667

won by 4 as a 2.5-point favorite

NC State won 35-31 vs Virginia. Chance to win started at 65%, low 27%, high 95%.

W 24-17 vs East Carolina #78 of 667

won by 7 as a 13.5-point favorite

NC State won 24-17 vs East Carolina. Chance to win started at 87%, low 82%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

NC State

  • Wk 1Lat Virginia8-34

Richmond

Wk 1: W 35-14 vs Bucknell▲21BucknellWk 1: W 28-21 at Howard▲7Howard
  • Wk 1Wvs Bucknell35-14
  • Wk 1Wat Howard28-21

The series

NC State leads the series 14-1

15 meetings since 1902 · NC State has won the last 3

NC State wonRichmond won1902: NC State by 251910: NC State by 531925: NC State by 201932: NC State by 91935: NC State by 61941: NC State by 71942: NC State by 131944: NC State by 391949: NC State by 141950: NC State by 71954: NC State by 81970: Richmond by 151981: NC State by 62004: NC State by 422013: NC State by 219022013
  • 2013NC State 23-21
  • 2004NC State 42-0
  • 1981NC State 27-21
  • 1970Richmond 21-6
  • 1954NC State 14-6

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on NC State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 89%Line · 100%RichmondNC State

NC State favored by 33.5 · Total 50.5

How games like this usually go

NC State by 33.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward NC State.

opened −30.5now −33.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 48.5now 50.5

Spread: −30.5 → −33.5 · Total: 48.5 → 50.5

The books’ cut: 3.2%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

NC State is worth +6.3 points (±3.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 84th percentile.

75% at home, 41% on the road against FBS opponents (39-13 home, 17-24 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.6 at home vs. away over 100 games — outside the ±5.3 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 139 miles to get here.

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