Next game: vs Tulsa
Tulsa’s best edge on Tulane is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Tulane offense against Tulsa defense
Tulsa offense against Tulane defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · -0.03 EPA/play | 3 | 5 | 64 / 119 | 53.8 | 804 | 6.8 | 4 | 2 | 118.3 | 25 | 28.6 | 5.2 | 9.8 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 119 pass attempts and 31 carries in 5 games. Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Semonza operates within the system without forcing anything. Brown is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.0 bottom 25th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-1.8 bottom 3th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kadin Semonza's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.25 EPA/play | 11 | 4 | 65 / 106 | 61.3 | 749 | 7.1 | 2 | 4 | 119.4 | 46 | 35.9 | 5.3 | 3.6 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. This week's matchup — QB Johnson operates within the system without forcing anything. Brown is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.0 bottom 25th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate3.8% bottom 13th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trace Johnson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.30 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 79 | 493 | 6.2 | 6 #55 FBS | 81 | 10.3 | 15.4 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchant· Boom-or-bustCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 79 carries and 4 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Daniels hits the crease and outruns the angle. Byars is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry6.3 82th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Johnnie Daniels's full player page | ||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.51 EPA/play | — | 6 | 43 | 341 | 7.9 | 2 | 74 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. 43 carries and 6 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Turner hits the crease and outruns the angle. Byars is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry9.2 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception16.0 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Maurice Turner's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.30 EPA/play | 12 | 8 | 39 | 293 | 7.5 | 1 | 80 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.44 EPA/play | 2 | 7 | 32 | 390 | 12.2 | 2 | 61 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 32 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Hill wins underneath on volume and route precision. Clark is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume32 71th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate6.2% bottom 35th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Destyn Hill's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.15 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 23 | 277 | 12.0 | 1 | 47 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Anthony Brown's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.55 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 15 | 153 | 10.2 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Richardson moves the chains on third down. Clark is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception12.2 bottom 36th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Bredell Richardson's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.41 EPA/play | 16 | 6 | 10 | 135 | 13.5 | 0 | 56 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.96 EPA/play | 1 | 4 | 7 | 112 | 16 | 0 | 28 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.34 EPA/play | 17 | 4 | 8 | 105 | 13.1 | 0 | 41 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · -0.18 EPA/play | 19 | 6 | 9 | 74 | 8.2 | 0 | 29 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 126 of 166 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.2 bottom 23th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.2 bottom 3th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dawson Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| +1.03 EPA/play | 87 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 45 | 7 | 28 | 16 | 5.5 | 3 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — 28 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ed Smith IV's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 40 | 7 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.5% bottom 20th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Warren Roberts Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 96 | 7 | 19 | 8 | 2.5 | 2 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Geordan Guidry's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 70 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2022 class View Kameron Hamilton's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 48 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Jah'rie Garner's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 51 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Reshad Sterling's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.5% bottom 38th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Josh Lewis's full player page | |||||||
| 90 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 98 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 94 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 8 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — 78 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume78 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.6% bottom 11th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dickson Agu's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 42 | 8 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 46 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate15.2% 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Makai Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 11 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Dalton Hughes's full player page | |||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 7 | 8 | 72 | 0 | 2 #51 FBS | 3.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 72 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume72 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kevin Adams's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 45 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% bottom 44th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jack Tchienchou's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 2 #51 FBS | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 32 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Anthony Rogers's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 30 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Joshua Moore's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 5 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate16.7% 61th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View E'zaiah Shine's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Centerfielder· Takeaway threatSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tavare Smith's full player page | |||||||
| 27 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 26 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Leg | 35 | 6 | 10/12 | 83.3 | 13/13 | 43 | 58 |
| 96 | 3 | 1/3 | 33.3 | 6/6 | 9 | 37 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 34 | 8 | 38 | 1787 | 47 | 72 | 11 | 5 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centerfielder | 3 | 8 | 9 | 300 | 33.3 | 1 | 95 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.30 EPA/play | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 3.9 | 0 | 25 |
Biggest plays from Tulane’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Tulane’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q2, 4:01 · Charlotte down 4, takes the leadConner Harrell finds Jaden Barnes for a 22-yard touchdownTulane at Charlotte, week 9Q2, 4:01 · Charlotte 17, Tulane 14Charlotte took the lead in the second quarterCharlotte took the lead in the second quarterC.Harrell pass complete deep middle to J.Barnes caught at TLN00, for 22 yards to the TLN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 1:31 · South Alabama up 3PJ Martin runs 16 yards for a touchdownSouth Alabama at Tulane, week 2Q1, 1:31 · South Alabama 10, Tulane 0▲27%South Alabama’s chance to win, 34% to 61%▲27%South Alabama’s chance to win, 34% to 61%P.Martin rush middle for 16 yards gain to the TLN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference- Q4, 10:52 · Charlotte up 3Derrick Eley runs 1 yard for a touchdownTulane at Charlotte, week 9Q4, 10:52 · Charlotte 31, Tulane 21▲26%Charlotte’s chance to win, 62% to 88%▲26%Charlotte’s chance to win, 62% to 88%D.Eley rush right for 1 yard gain to the TLN00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 0:00 · Tulane up 6Tavare Smith takes an interception 76 yards for a pick-sixMemphis at Tulane, week 7Q2, 0:00 · Tulane 23, Memphis 1076Pick-six76Pick-sixPick-sixTJ Smith 76 yd Interception Return (Cooper Helmke Kick)▶Watch from this play- Q4, 0:10 · Tulane down 7, ties itTrace Johnson finds Cameron Roberts for an 11-yard touchdownTulane at Charlotte, week 9Q4, 0:10 · Tulane 31, Charlotte 310:10Game-tying touchdown for Tulane with 0:10 left0:10Game-tying touchdown for Tulane with 0:10 leftGame-tying touchdown for Tulane with 0:10 leftT.Johnson pass complete short left to C.Roberts caught at CLT00, for 11 yards to the CLT00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 14:08 · Memphis breaks the tieMarcus Stokes finds Braylon Burnside for a 76-yard touchdownMemphis at Tulane, week 7Q2, 14:08 · Memphis 10, Tulane 37676-yard touchdown pass7676-yard touchdown pass76-yard touchdown passM.Stokes pass complete short middle to S.Burnside caught at MEM40, for 76 yards to the TLN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Tulane lost at Army after being 87% to win; the closest win was at Charlotte, down to 3%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Tulane during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Tulane
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · TulaneDickson Agu leads Tulane with 78 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Tulane fields a limited explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Tulane reads strongest in explosive plays (top 1%) and rushing EPA (top 34%); the crux lives in success rate, where Tulane sits at the 2nd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Tulane is worth +5.7 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 79th percentile of 133 programs
69% at home, 50% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (35-16 home, 26-26 away). Interval ±3.6.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Tulane has beaten the number by +3.5 more at home than away over 108 games. That is inside the ±5.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Yulman Stadium seats 30,000 and has averaged 79% full (23,643, 32 games reported). Visitors cover a median 503 miles to get here since 2018 — 50th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 23% of the 2026 roster (26 of 115 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downAnthony Brown is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatOmari Hayes is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatShazz Preston is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Johnnie Daniels and Maurice Turner split the carries (76/118 vs 42/118) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Maurice Turner produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Destyn Hill (WR) and Dawson Johnson (TE) split the targets (45/63 vs 18/63) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Tulane actually scores
33rd percentile quality, 73rd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Tulane’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 50th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 40th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Tulane hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
12th percentile success on standard downs, 8th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Tulane by half
1st-half offense ranks 38th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 35th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Tulane’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.11; 40th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.18 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Tulane’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.2% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 205-play sample) — mid-pack, 28 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Tulane’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.3% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 190-play sample) — mid-pack, 68 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
22% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~52% league baseline.
2 of 9 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 13 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
16% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
5 interceptions of 31 disrupted passes (26 deflected, 5 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
55 penalties committed, 47 drawn on opponents — ceding 81 yards of field position.
438 penalty yards committed vs. 357 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Tulane
Most similar programs · TulaneReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Tulane’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Weather
Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 69°, between 59° and 79° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 70°, and 8 in 10 ran between 49° and 84° (54 of 60 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.