CFB Zeitgeist Score
13
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 49th percentile.
Johnnie Daniels
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
44 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 9 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Tulane
2025Mississippi State
2026Tulane
RB · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC
Johnnie Daniels
- 4
- #20
- 5-10 | 200 lb
- Crystal Springs, MS
Heisman Heat
#3079
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Mississippi State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8714 | No. 29 recruit | JUCO | Mississippi State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Mississippi State -> Tulane | 3-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Mississippi State
Composite
0.8714
#29 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Johnnie Daniels
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Johnnie Daniels
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 3g
44Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
14.7Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
190.7Rush yards
39Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 44): needs 70.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 44): needs 95.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 44): needs 145.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 10.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Johnnie Daniels's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Mississippi State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
9 27th
YDS
44 27th
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
19 29th
YPR
6.3 42nd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17@ Southern Miss | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | 0 | 13 | Season-high 28 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 24-20vs Arizona State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | W 63-0vs Alcorn State | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 9 | 44 | 5.1 | 0 | 13 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 44 | #538/735 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.9 | #305/735 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 19 | #388/548 | 29th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.1% | #313/738 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 13 | #513/733 | 30th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 9 | #544/739 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 9 | #425/540 | 21st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.3 | #320/548 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 13.0 | #158/199 | 21st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 13 | #172/200 | 14th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.1% | #51/738 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.3% | #196/738 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.0% | #119/738 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 11.8% | #424/738 | 43rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.2% | #419/738 | 43rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.7% | #64/738 | 91st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.5% | #479/738 | 35th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 28.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 14.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 14.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
13Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Johnnie DanielsMississippi StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 45% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 44% simTae MeadowsTroy· 44% sim
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Lebby
Pass share
41.8%
390 pass / 543 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
308 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
Played his entire career under Jeff Lebby.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCrystal Springs, MS
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMississippi State
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Mississippi State | RB4 | #3079 | #3430 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 20 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Crystal Springs, MS |
| 2024 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 20 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Crystal Springs, MS |