cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / AJ Brown /UAB

AJ Brown

S · UAB · Jr · #20

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

53 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UAB for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UAB for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · UAB

Returning around him

  • 73% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (38 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UAB · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #103 · 2026 recruiting class #125

S · UAB · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

AJ Brown

  • 3
  • #20
  • 6-0 | 200 lb
  • Marietta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13178

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1492 national
CFB
College
UAB
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey20
Measurements6-0 | 200 lb
HometownMarietta, GA
Primary teamUAB

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1492 recruit
Composite rating 0.8411 HighSchool
Signed with UAB 2022
Origin Walton Marietta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8411 No. 1492 recruit | HighSchool | UAB

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13178Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13585Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UAB

Composite

0.8411

#1492 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on AJ Brown

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about AJ Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
53Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
63Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 53): needs 13.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 53): needs 23.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

AJ Brown is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UAB's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13178 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 53 29 solo | #525/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
53 89th
SOLO
29 88th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-42vs Alabama State100.00.00
Wk 3W 31-28vs Akron100.00.00
Wk 4L 24-56@ Tennessee300.00.00
Wk 6L 13-31vs Army840.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 7L 33-53@ Florida Atlantic730.00.00
Wk 8W 31-24vs Memphis210.00.00
Wk 10L 19-38@ UConn860.00.00
Wk 11L 17-24@ Rice310.00.00
Wk 12L 24-53vs North Texas440.00.00
Wk 13L 18-48vs South Florida860.00.00
Wk 14W 31-24@ Tulsa840.00.00
Total53290.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023UAB4-8HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
2024UAB3-9HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
2025UAB4-8HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UAB53290.00.0------
2024UAB31182.01.011--
2023UAB761.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons91533.01.011--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 53 #525/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 29 #559/4584 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.00.00.00.0
Road5g5.80.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g3.00.00.00.0
Losses7g5.90.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g4.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+6g5.50.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

35Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (81st). Strength: solo tackles (80th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Tackles#525 / 2975 · 82nd pct
53defe
Solo tackles#559 / 2975 · 80th pct
29defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
AJ BrownUABTyler MartinMassachusetts· 71% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 66% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 64% sim
Tackles
82
Brown
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Vaughns
Solo tackles
80
Brown
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
96
Vaughns
Forced fumbles
47
Brown
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Vaughns
Sacks
24
Brown
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Vaughns
QB hurries
22
Brown
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Vaughns
Passes defended
18
Brown
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
48
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
7
Brown
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
85
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dell Pettus’s 2021 season.

Dell Pettus

93%match

Troy · 2021

#2

Nate Bauer

Toledo · 2021

90%
#3

Antonio Clary

Virginia · 2022

87%
#4

Kendall Bournes

Massachusetts · 2025

86%
#5

Kendrick Simpkins

Western Kentucky · 2023

All-Conference USA
85%

Matches Dell on

Tackle volume
PD rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Caleb Ransaw's junior season at Troy (2023).

Caleb Ransaw

88%match

Troy · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 24
#2

Jaden Yates

Ole Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
85%
#3

Brenden Jordan

Texas Tech · 2025

85%
#4

Jace Bellah

Colorado State · 2025

84%
#5

Sharif Denson

Florida · 2025

84%

Matches Caleb on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Dilfer

Pass share

53.0%

438 pass / 389 run

Plays / game

68.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.5%

352 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Trent Dilfer
UAB
2024
Trent Dilfer
UAB
2025
Trent Dilfer
UAB

Played his entire career under Trent Dilfer.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMarietta, GA
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UAB S3 #13178 #13585 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UAB S3 #14831 #14931 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 UAB S3 #12178 #11978 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UAB American Athletic S 3 No. 20 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Marietta, GA
2024 UAB American Athletic S 3 No. 20 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Marietta, GA
2023 UAB American Athletic S 3 No. 20 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Marietta, GA
2022 UAB Conference USA S 3 No. 20 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Marietta, GA