The rest of the season
Three real tests left: No. 12 Ole Miss 1%, East Tennessee State 39%, Western Carolina 55%
Win out <1% · expect 1.0 of 3 more wins
Wofford's chance to win each game left, from our model: Western Carolina 55%, East Tennessee State 39%, Ole Miss 1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing JT Fayard 857 · Rushing Gerald Modest 927 · Receiving Isaiah Scott 311 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | The Citadel | W 42-14 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Pass Fayard 176 · Rush Modest 105 · Rec Modest 39 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | Gardner-Webb | W 17-13 | 2-0 | 1-0 | Pass Fayard 120 · Rush Modest 85 · Rec Alexander 35 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @Kent State | L 15-36 125 | 2-1 | 1-0 | Pass Drumm 100 · Rush Modest 56 · Rec Scott 47 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Chattanooga | L 7-41 | 2-2 | 1-1 | Pass Drumm 144 · Rush Timko 52 · Rec Honeywood 113 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | Tennessee Tech | L 38-42 | 2-3 | 1-2 | Pass Drumm 304 · Rush Modest 84 · Rec Alexander 100 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @Furman | W 32-25 | 3-3 | 2-2 | Pass Drumm 304 · Rush Modest 83 · Rec Scott 193 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Elon | W 16-0 | 4-3 | 2-2 | Pass Fayard 133 · Rush Modest 107 · Rec Aikens 51 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | VMI | W 41-14 | 5-3 | 3-2 | Pass Fayard 270 · Rush Modest 173 · Rec Aikens 105 |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @Samford | L 9-10 | 5-4 | 3-3 | Pass Fayard 125 · Rush Modest 197 · Rec Coleman Jr. 43 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Western Carolina | 1 pm ET55% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | East Tennessee State | 1:30 pm ET39% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Ole Miss | 12 pm ET1% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Wofford, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @Samford | L 9-10 | — | — | — | +0.170 | 45.2% | 1.17 | One-score loss |
| Oct 17 | VMI | W 41-14 | — | — | — | +0.546 | 52.6% | 1.47 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 10 | @Elon | W 16-0 | — | — | — | −0.270 | 26.4% | 1.10 | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 3 | @Furman | W 32-25 | — | — | — | +0.244 | 40.6% | 1.50 | One-score win |
| Sep 26 | Tennessee Tech | L 38-42 | — | — | — | +0.186 | 37.5% | 1.76 | Most explosive |
| Sep 19 | @Chattanooga | L 7-41 | — | — | — | −0.095 | 31.5% | 1.44 | Blowout loss |
| Sep 12 | @Kent State | L 15-36 | 173 | 2 | 22:38 | −0.423 | 29.6% | 0.83 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 5 | Gardner-Webb | W 17-13 | — | — | — | −0.073 | 33.3% | 1.10 | One-score win |
| Aug 29 | The Citadel | W 42-14 | — | — | — | +0.298 | 54.4% | 1.06 | Best success rate |
| Season average (9 games) | 173 | 2.0 | +0.065 | 39.0% | 1.27 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Range of outcomes · Wofford · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 27%; 6 wins 51%; 7 wins 22%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-4
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Southern teams the same season
Wofford is 5-4 and plays at Western Carolina next.
Wofford is 5-4 and plays at Western Carolina next.
Range of outcomes · Wofford · 2026