cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / London Montgomery /East Carolina

London Montgomery

RB · East Carolina · So · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

742 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 156 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred East Carolina → Florida for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Florida

2025East Carolina
2026Florida

RB · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

London Montgomery

  • 2
  • #7
  • 5-11 | 197 lb
  • Scranton, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 77th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3422

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#416 national
CFB
College
East Carolina
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey7
Measurements5-11 | 197 lb
HometownScranton, PA
Primary teamEast Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 416 recruit
Composite rating 0.8925 HighSchool
Signed with Penn State 2023
Origin Scranton Prep Scranton, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.8925 No. 416 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 East Carolina -> Florida 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate
2024 Penn State -> East Carolina 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3422Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3396Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (742).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Penn State

Composite

0.8925

#416 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on London Montgomery

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about London Montgomery

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
742Rush yards
156Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
61.8Rush yards
13Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
803.8Rush yards
169Carries
8Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 742): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 742): needs 258/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 742): needs 758/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

London Montgomery's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3422 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 18.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 416 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 818 742 rush | 76 rec | #81/735 (89th pct)
Rush TD 7 156 carries | #62/739 (92nd pct)
Yards/carry 4.8 Per-rush efficiency | #326/735 (56th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
156 92nd
YDS
742 89th
YPC
4.8 56th
TD
7 92nd

Receiving

REC
15 75th
YDS
76 61st
YPR
5.1 27th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-24@ NC State8324.0010
Wk 2W 56-3vs Campbell7172.424
Wk 3W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina15593.9010
Wk 4L 13-34vs BYU6437.2033
Wk 5W 28-6vs Army15583.908
Wk 7L 19-26@ Tulane9313.407
Wk 8W 41-27vs Tulsa161257.8151Season-high 125 yds
Wk 10W 45-14@ Temple14846.0128
Wk 11W 48-22vs Charlotte11857.7117
Wk 12W 31-27vs Memphis271033.8223
Wk 13L 24-58@ UTSA11524.7016
Wk 14W 42-3@ Florida Atlantic17533.109
Total1567424.8751
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina1567424.87--
Career1 loaded season1567424.87--
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina15765.10--
Career1 loaded season15765.10--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 15 76 rec yds | #140/552 (75th pct)
Usage 18.0% 30.3% rush share | #114/738 (85th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.16 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #111/362 (70th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 742 #81/735 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 7 #62/739 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.8 #326/735 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 15 #140/552 75th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 76 #214/548 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.16 #111/362 70th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 148 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 18.0% #114/738 85th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 156 #62/739 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 51 #155/733 79th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #218/540 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.1 #403/548 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 114 #55/200 73rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 22.8 #44/199 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 5 #59/206 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 30.3% #119/738 84th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.1% #123/738 83rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 18.8% #114/738 85th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 18.4% #166/738 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 16.9% #48/738 94th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 12.0% #132/738 82nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.9% #237/738 68th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g71.85.51.0
Road6g51.84.20.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins8g73.04.80.9
Losses4g39.54.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g40.04.10.3
Weeks 8+6g83.75.50.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

64Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (81st).

Carries#62 / 349 · 82nd pct
156rush
Rush TDs#62 / 349 · 80th pct
7rush
Rush yards#81 / 349 · 77th pct
742rush
Long run#138 / 349 · 60th pct
51rush
Receptions#132 / 338 · 59th pct
15rece
Yards / carry#189 / 349 · 45th pct
4.8rush
Rec yards#191 / 338 · 44th pct
76rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.16Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
London MontgomeryEast CarolinaSire GainesBoise State· 92% simTJ HardenSMU· 92% simTae MeadowsTroy· 91% sim
Carries
82
Montgomery
84
Gaines
87
Harden
84
Meadows
Rush TDs
80
Montgomery
84
Gaines
87
Harden
72
Meadows
Rush yards
77
Montgomery
82
Gaines
80
Harden
74
Meadows
Long run
60
Montgomery
51
Gaines
62
Harden
53
Meadows
Receptions
59
Montgomery
45
Gaines
75
Harden
45
Meadows
Yards / carry
45
Montgomery
53
Gaines
37
Harden
29
Meadows
Rec yards
44
Montgomery
41
Gaines
54
Harden
38
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Sheldon Evans’s 2020 season.

Sheldon Evans

72%match

Marshall · 2020

#2

Rodrigues Clark

Memphis · 2020

70%
#3

Daijun Edwards

Georgia · 2021

68%
#4

TJ Green

Liberty · 2021

68%
#5

TJ McDaniel

SMU · 2020

64%

Matches Sheldon on

Height
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate

Differs from Sheldon on

Receiving share (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Davion Ervin-Poindexter’s path through Western Kentucky.

Davion Ervin-Poindexter

90%match

Western Kentucky · 2023

#2

Kyle Porter

Houston · 2020

88%
#3

Kenan Christon II

San Diego State · 2023

88%
#4

Justin Johnson

West Virginia · 2023

88%
#5

Marcus Williams Jr.

Louisiana Tech · 2021

86%

Matches Davion on

Height
Yards per carry
Weight

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Johnson's sophomore season at West Virginia (2022).

Justin Johnson

76%match

West Virginia · 2022

#2

Anthony Carrie

Florida International · 2025

71%
#3

Jordan Gant

Akron · 2025

All-MAC
70%
#4

C.J. Hester

Massachusetts · 2024

71%
#5

Titus Swen

Wyoming · 2022

70%

Matches Justin on

Yards / carry
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Justin on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Pass share

44.5%

440 pass / 548 run

Plays / game

76.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

343 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Blake Harrell
East Carolina

Played his entire career under Blake Harrell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownScranton, PA
Height5'11"
Weight197 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 East Carolina RB2 #3422 #3396 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Penn State RB2 #1791 #1304 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 East Carolina American Athletic RB 2 No. 7 | 5-11 | 197 lb | Scranton, PA
2024 East Carolina American Athletic RB 2 No. 7 | 5-11 | 197 lb | Scranton, PA
2023 Penn State Big Ten RB 2 No. 7 | 5-11 | 197 lb | Scranton, PA