Georgia 27-8 Florida (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Florida · Georgia

No. 17 Florida5-38

No. 3 Georgia7-127Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Ga. (neutral site) · Crowd 72,541

No. 3 Georgia beat No. 17 Florida 27-8.

We had Georgia favored. It won.

Next: Florida vs Oklahoma, Sat Nov 7 · 7:45 PM ET · Florida favored by 6

Next: Georgia at Ole Miss, Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Georgia favored by 3.5

There it is ..the perfect pass

A Georgia fan

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia a 70% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.

Favored the whole way: Georgia never fell below 78%.

Florida never had better than a 22% chance.

FinalGeorgia 27-8 FloridaGeorgia wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

They throw that stat up of scoring in 480 games straight. Elite level voodoo from the broadcast to force the interception

Q3 6:12 · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 6:02Aaron Philo throws an underhand interception to Robinson IVPhilo putting his GT education to good user/CFB game thread
Q1 4:46Florida commits roughing the kicker penalty after a perfect puntClassic Gators football, getting a dumb penaltyr/CFB game thread"Somebody jump offsides damn."r/CFB game thread
Q2 10:59Georgia fans rip Bobo for QB runs while Florida fans blame receivers for Philo interceptionsBobo haters feasting todayr/CFB game threadBobo be like “what if I run him again”r/CFB game thread
Q2 0:29Georgia fans celebrate Chris Cole's fumble recovery touchdown to make it 24-0CHRIS COLE FOR HEISMAN DRAW HIM UP SOME PLAYS ON OFFENSE TO GET MORE TDs!r/CFB game threadUF players giving up immediately instead of running after the fumble is some weak effortr/CFB game thread
Q3 6:12Georgia intercepts Jones Jr pass as fans mock refs and chant ball don't lieLmao refs cant even gift you pointsr/CFB game thread

Georgia’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Georgia -11.5), at 84% for Georgia (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Georgia or Florida flair (3,340 and 1,125); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Georgia’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Georgia scored on 4 of its 10 drives; Florida on 1 of its 12.

Georgia’s drives are teal, Florida’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

When fans got loud

Busy

The first quarter is when fans got loud.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was loud.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Georgia fans

bobo“Bobo: after this 8 minute commercial break, they'll NEVER expect a 3rd QB draw!”

lie“Remember when Florida stopped us 89 times at first and goal a few years ago. Not gonna lie. That was amazing”

screen“Out of all these stupid Gemini commercials; the one with Mr. Beast makes me genuinely mad. Like I want it off my screen”

Florida fans

philo“I think Philo only has two more interceptions this game, we might have a chance.”

streak“If we lose the streak I'm not watching Florida for the rest of the season.”

starting“I’m starting a new political party and we are running on ending the Touchdown-commercial-kickoff-commercial tv sequence”

basketball“Wells Fargo commercial guy is the only person to ever wear a Georgia Basketball hoodie”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, don, call, back.

What it cost

Florida’s chance to make the playoff fell from 36% to 28%.

Make the playoff

Florida · lost36% → ▼28%

Georgia · won81% → ▲88%

Win the conference

Florida · lost5% → ▼1%

Georgia · won40% → ▲47%

Win the title

Florida · lost2% → 2%

Georgia · won16% → ▲18%

Before the game (October 30, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.

Florida plays vs Oklahoma on Sat Nov 7 with a 28% chance to make the playoff. Georgia plays at Ole Miss on Sat Nov 7 with an 88% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Georgia 27, Florida 8

Georgia covered −11.5 by 7.5. The total, 35, stayed under 56.5.

Team totals	Florida	Georgia
Total yards	252	318
Passing	23 of 32, 198 yds	13 of 23, 101 yds
Rushing	28 for 54 yds	42 for 217 yds
First downs	15	19
Third down	4 of 12	6 of 15
Fourth down	1 of 2	1 of 2
Turnovers	4	1
Penalties	8 for 78 yds	4 for 32 yds
Time of possession	27:50	32:10

Florida leaders

Passing Tramell Jones Jr. 18 of 25, 172 yds, 1 INT
Rushing Jadan Baugh 17 for 38 yds; Tramell Jones Jr. 9 for 17 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Bailey Stockton 8 for 76 yds; Amir Jackson 2 for 27 yds

Georgia leaders

Passing Gunner Stockton 13 of 23, 101 yds
Rushing Nate Frazier 12 for 67 yds, 1 TD; Dwight Phillips Jr. 8 for 67 yds
Receiving Craig Dandridge 3 for 39 yds; London Humphreys 2 for 16 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

This is Georgia-Florida — see the full head-to-head history →

Recent games

Last three games

Florida · 5-2

Rated 22nd in our preseason ratings, 21st now.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over Texas as a 13.5-point underdog.

W 27-24 @ TexasTop 25 No. 6 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 19-38 vs South CarolinaTop 25 No. 31 of 668 teams

lost by 19 as a 10.5-point favorite

L 17-45 @ MissouriTop 25 No. 28 of 668 teams

lost by 28 as a 5.5-point favorite

W 52-28 vs Ole MissTop 25 No. 19 of 668 teams

won by 24 as a 4-point favorite

W 44-39 @ Auburn No. 60 of 668 teams

won by 5 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 52-3 vs Campbell No. 196 of 668 teams

won by 49 as a 51.5-point favorite

W 66-21 vs Florida Atlantic No. 106 of 668 teams

won by 45 as a 26.5-point favorite

Last three games

Georgia · 6-1

Rated 2nd in our preseason ratings, 4th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Alabama as a 2.5-point underdog.

L 24-27 vs Auburn No. 44 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 19.5-point favorite

W 20-17 @ AlabamaTop 25 No. 6 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 38-14 vs Vanderbilt No. 43 of 668 teams

won by 24 as a 25.5-point favorite

W 41-13 vs OklahomaTop 25 No. 21 of 668 teams

won by 28 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 45-17 @ Arkansas No. 134 of 668 teams

won by 28 as a 24.5-point favorite

W 70-20 vs Western Kentucky No. 52 of 668 teams

won by 50 as a 40.5-point favorite

W 63-3 vs Tennessee State No. 191 of 668 teams

won by 60 as a 49.5-point favorite

Week by week

Georgia

Wk 3Wat Arkansas45-17
Wk 4Wvs Oklahoma41-13
Wk 5Wvs Vanderbilt38-14
Wk 6Wat Alabama20-17
Wk 7Lvs Auburn24-27

Florida

Wk 3Wat Auburn44-39
Wk 4Wvs Ole Miss52-28
Wk 5Lat Missouri17-45
Wk 6Lvs South Carolina19-38
Wk 7Wat Texas27-24

Power rating by week

Georgia is rated 5.6 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Georgia’s success rate against Florida, 69 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Georgia’s success rate against Florida’s defense
Georgia offense, 97th percentile · Florida defense, 28th
Georgia’s passing EPA against Florida’s defense
Georgia offense, 92nd percentile · Florida defense, 28th
Georgia’s explosive plays against Florida’s defense
Georgia offense, 24th percentile · Florida defense, 84th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

FloridaGeorgia

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Georgia leads the series 58-44-2

104 meetings since 1904 · Georgia has won the last 5

2025 · neutral siteGeorgia 24-20
2024 · neutral siteGeorgia 34-20
2023 · neutral siteGeorgia 43-20
2022 · neutral siteGeorgia 42-20
2021 · neutral siteGeorgia 34-7

Each line is Georgia’s chance to win through that meeting. Georgia is 2-0 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Florida fans are in a better mood than Georgia fans (47th percentile vs 26th among FBS fanbases), even with Georgia favored.

Georgia favored by 11.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Georgia by 11.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 448 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Florida.

The total rose 3 points.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Last meeting in our History pages

Georgia 24, Florida 20Nov 1, 2025

Our History pages cover 11 of their meetings since 2015.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Georgia2nd4-1
Florida6th3-2

Full SEC standings

No. 3 Georgia beats No. 17 Florida 27-8